Well, stocks do typically perform better in the wake of cuts from the Federal Reserve. My next guest has a playbook for how ETF investors can potentially take advantage of any postcut bump. Marissa Anel, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, head of ETF investment strategies, joining me uh now on set for this week's ETF report brought to you by Invesco QQQ.Marissa, thanks for being here. >> Thanks for having me. >> So, I I guess first of all to set the table, we should talk about what the Fed is going to do today ...

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Economic Principles - Productivity growth, driven by innovation and hard work, is the primary driver of rising living standards over time [1] - Credit's impact is more significant in the short term due to its ability to create economic swings, allowing consumption to exceed production temporarily [2] - Borrowing is essentially pulling spending forward, creating a future obligation to spend less than one earns to repay the debt, thus forming a cycle [5][6] Credit and Debt Dynamics - Credit differs from money; money settles transactions immediately, while credit creates an asset and a liability, representing a promise to pay in the future [7] - The total amount of credit in the United States is approximately $50 trillion, significantly exceeding the total amount of money, which is about $3 trillion [8] - Credit is beneficial when it finances productive investments that generate income to repay the debt, but detrimental when it funds overconsumption that cannot be sustained [10] Economic Cycles - Economic swings are primarily influenced by the availability of credit, not by fluctuations in innovation or hard work [4] - Borrowing sets in motion a predictable series of events, making understanding credit crucial for anticipating future economic outcomes [6] - An economy with credit experiences increased spending and faster income growth than productivity in the short run, but this is unsustainable in the long run [9] Example of Credit Amplification - An individual earning $100,000 annually can borrow $10,000, enabling them to spend $110,000, which in turn becomes another person's income [11][12]

How the economic machine works in 30 minutes. The economy works like a simple machine, but many people don't understand it or they don't agree on how it works. And this has led to a lot of needless economic suffering.I feel a deep sense of responsibility to share my simple but practical economic template. Though it's unconventional, it has helped me to anticipate and to sidestep the global financial crisis and it has worked well for me for over 30 years. Let's begin.Though the economy might seem complex, it ...

Credit and Debt Dynamics - The US economy's total credit is approximately $50 trillion, significantly exceeding the total money supply of about $3 trillion [1] - Credit's impact is contingent on its use; it is detrimental when it fuels unsustainable overconsumption but beneficial when it efficiently allocates resources and generates income for debt repayment [3] - Borrowing facilitates increased spending, enabling incomes to temporarily outpace productivity, though this is unsustainable in the long term [2] Economic Cycles - Credit creation fosters self-reinforcing economic patterns, but borrowing inherently generates cycles, necessitating eventual corrections [5] - The economy demonstrates how credit amplifies spending and income, illustrated by examples of individuals leveraging credit cards to spend beyond their immediate earnings [4][5]

Investment Principles - Prioritize saving over spending to build wealth [1] - Understand that compounding is a powerful tool for long-term investment growth [1] - Recognize that behavior is more important than intelligence in investment decisions [1] - Focus on long-term investment strategies rather than short-term gains [1] - Maintain humility and stay invested in the market [1] Risk Management - Acknowledge the role of luck and risk in shaping investment outcomes [1] - Be aware that tail events can significantly impact investment success [1] Financial Planning - Understand that wealth is not the same as income [1] - Recognize that financial freedom is a valuable return on investment [1] - Appreciate that everyone has different financial experiences and perspectives [1]

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Market Volatility & Investment Strategy - Market volatility is expected to persist due to numerous policy changes [1][2] - The industry emphasizes staying invested with a focus on specific solutions and desired outcomes rather than avoiding risk [4] - Strategic anchors should be tailored to individual needs, such as income generation or specific life events [5] Portfolio Management & Retirement Planning - Traditional 60/40 portfolios may need to be re-evaluated, exploring alternatives to US Treasuries for income ballast [6][7] - The market is becoming more efficient, prompting a broader search for investment opportunities, including private credit [8] - The SECURE Income Act allows annuities and guaranteed income contracts in 401(k) portfolios, addressing the retirement crisis [8] Future Returns & Generational Skepticism - The industry anticipates lower and more measured returns in the next 10-20 years compared to the past 30 years [10] - Younger generations express skepticism about achieving the same portfolio gains as older generations [9] - Finding a specific investment strategy that guarantees high growth (e.g., 15-20%) is unlikely; a more active approach is needed [11]