Group 1 - Xi Jinping emphasized the need to strengthen confidence in promoting high-quality development and efficient governance during his inspection in Henan, aiming to write a new chapter for the modernization of the Central Plains [1] - The new season's summer grain purchase volume is expected to reach approximately 200 billion jin [7] - From January to April, the national railway has cumulatively sent 1.299 billion tons of goods [9] Group 2 - Multiple macroeconomic policies continue to exert positive effects, leading to an improved economic operation [6] - In April, China's cross-border capital flow showed a net inflow [11][11] - The loan market quotation rate decreased by 10 basis points in May [11]

Group 1 - Xi Jinping emphasized the need to strengthen confidence in promoting high-quality development and efficient governance during his inspection in Henan, aiming to write a new chapter in advancing Chinese-style modernization [1][1][1] - Multiple macroeconomic policies are continuously being implemented to improve economic performance [6][6][6] - The new season's summer grain purchase volume is expected to reach approximately 200 billion jin [7][7][7] Group 2 - From January to April, the national railway sent a total of 1.299 billion tons of goods [9][9][9] - In April, China's cross-border capital showed a net inflow overall [11][11][11] - The loan market quotation rate decreased by 10 basis points in May [13][13][13]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, along with multiple departments, introduced the "Opinions on Continuing to Promote Urban Renewal Actions," focusing on financial support for urban renewal projects [1] - In 2024, the first batch of 15 cities will be selected for urban renewal, with an additional 20 cities to be chosen later this year [1] - Key areas of focus include upgrading urban infrastructure such as drainage, gas, and heating systems, as well as promoting consumer-oriented infrastructure in old neighborhoods [1][2] Group 2 - A total of approximately 600 billion yuan has been allocated for central subsidies during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period to support the construction of sponge cities across 60 cities, leading to a total investment of 1,600 billion yuan [2] - In 2024, over 4,250 billion yuan will be allocated for urban gas pipeline updates and urban drainage improvement projects [2] - The government aims to enhance the collaboration between fiscal and financial policies to establish a diversified financing mechanism for urban renewal projects [2][3] Group 3 - The central government plans to establish a special fund for urban renewal in 2025, focusing on public infrastructure and services, expanding support to include dilapidated housing and old neighborhoods [3] - Innovative financing models will be promoted to engage market participation and improve investment efficiency, including public-private partnerships and real estate investment trusts (REITs) [3] - Financial institutions will be guided to support urban renewal projects through various financial instruments, including loans and investments from insurance and trust companies [4] Group 4 - The financial regulatory authority will encourage financial institutions to increase credit support for urban renewal, particularly in areas like infrastructure and major project construction [4] - There is a need to attract bank credit and social capital for urban renewal, emphasizing the importance of creating shared benefits for residents and investors [4] - The government aims to establish a comprehensive funding mechanism by 2030, involving multiple stakeholders in urban renewal financing [4]

5月20日，国新办就《关于持续推进城市更新行动的意见》有关情况举行新闻发布会。财政部经济建设 司司长郭方明会上介绍，2024年，为引导部分大中城市探索建立可持续的城市更新模式，启动实施城市 更新行动，首批确定了15个城市。今年，住建部将和财政部再选拔第二批20个城市。同时，财政部也将 对相关城市的工作进展、资金使用管理等开展绩效评价，强化追踪问效，高质量推进城市更新行动。 (大河财立方) ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Natural Resources is implementing a unified spatial planning approach, referred to as "one map," to support urban renewal initiatives by enhancing resource management and spatial planning [1] Group 1: Urban Renewal Support - The initiative aims to strengthen the investigation of existing resource assets, clarifying their quantity, ownership, and usage [1] - The "one map" approach will facilitate comprehensive lifecycle management, including investigation, registration, rights, planning, usage control, and law enforcement [1] - The Ministry plans to collaborate closely with the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development to identify issues and enhance policy supply for effective urban renewal [1]

房地产 房地产 新房二手房成交面积环比增长，持续推进城市更新行 《物管发展节奏更沉稳，Reits 迎来新 机遇—行业深度报告》-2025.5.16 《新房二手房成交面积同环比下降， 央行再度下调 LPR 25BP—行业周报》 -2025.5.11 《2025 年 1-4 月百强销售金额点评： 1-4 月百强销售同比收缩，建发华发单 月销售表现靓眼—行业点评报告》 -2025.5.8 齐东（分析师） 胡耀文（分析师） 杜致远（联系人） qidong@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522010002 huyaowen@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790524070001 duzhiyuan@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124070064 核心观点：新房二手房成交面积环比增长，持续推进城市更新行动 2025 年 05 月 18 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 房地产 沪深300 相关研究报告 投资端：2025 年第 20 周，全国 100 大中城市推出土地规划建筑面积 1 ...

国内市场综述 弱势整理 缩量回调 周四（5 月 15 日）大盘弱势整理，缩量回调。截至收 盘，上证综指收于 3380.82 点，下跌 0.68%；深成指 收于 10186.45 点，下跌 1.62%；科创 50 下跌 1.26%； 创业板指下跌 1.92%，万得全 A 成交额共 11904 亿元， 较前一日有所下降。 行业方面，30 个中信一级行业有 27 个行业收跌，其 中综合金融、计算机及通信跌幅居前，仅有煤炭、农 林牧渔、电力及公用事业小幅收涨。概念方面，动物 保健精选、医美及乳业等指数表现活跃。 海外市场综述 美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，思科涨近 5% 周四（5 月 15 日），美国三大股指收盘涨跌不一，道 指涨 0.65%，标普 500 指数涨 0.41%，纳指跌 0.18%。 思科涨近 5%，可口可乐涨超 3%，领涨道指。万得美国 科技七巨头指数跌 0.86%，亚马逊、脸书跌超 2%。中 概股普遍下跌，老虎证券跌超 8%，阿里巴巴跌逾 7%。 新闻精要 1. 李强在做强国内大循环工作推进会上强调：把做强 国内大循环作为推动经济行稳致远的战略之举 2. 最高法、证监会联合发布《关于严格公正执法司法 服 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Overall, various sectors in the market are influenced by multiple factors including economic policies, international trade negotiations, and supply - demand dynamics. Different sectors show different trends and risks. For example, in the financial market, the Fed's potential policy framework changes affect the performance of the US dollar index and US stock index futures; in the commodity market, supply - demand relationships in industries such as steel, copper, and agricultural products determine price trends [14][22][31]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Financial News and Comments 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - The release of the urban renewal action plan clarifies the path for domestic economic support, and fixed - asset investment will maintain a high proportion in the economy. Attention should be paid to the marginal change of PPI to determine the elasticity of corporate profit margins. It is recommended to allocate large, medium, and small - cap stock indices evenly [14][15]. 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Gold) - Gold prices fluctuated sharply, first falling then rising and finally closing higher. With the easing of tariffs and geopolitical military conflicts, funds are flowing out of gold. The short - term gold price is still in the adjustment process, not fully stabilized, and the increased volatility makes trading more difficult. It is recommended to be cautious about the risk of price decline and wait before bottom - fishing [18][19]. 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - The Fed is preparing to modify its policy framework, which means a significant change in future policy thinking. The US dollar index will fluctuate in the short term. It is recommended to expect the US dollar index to oscillate [22][23]. 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - The Fed's change in the monetary framework may increase its tolerance for inflation, and high inflation and high interest rates may exist for a longer period. Economic data shows that inflation and consumption data continue to weaken, and market expectations for interest rate cuts have increased. The short - term market sentiment is optimistic, and the stock index fluctuates strongly, but it is recommended to treat it as range - bound due to potential negotiation uncertainties [26]. 3.2 Commodity News and Comments 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - Market concerns about the US biodiesel policy have led to a significant decline in the prices of US soybean oil and US soybean futures. Brazilian soybean production and export forecasts have been raised. The price of soybean meal futures is expected to fluctuate, and attention should be paid to Sino - US relations, US biodiesel policy, and weather conditions in US soybean - producing areas [28]. 3.2.2 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - The inventory of five major steel products decreased this week, but the marginal weakness in the manufacturing terminal has not been completely reversed. Steel prices are in a stage of rebound, but lack the momentum for a sharp rise. It is recommended to hold a light position in the short term, wait for the market to rebound, and pay attention to changes in the export end [31][32]. 3.2.3 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - The operating rate of the corn starch industry has declined, and inventory has decreased slightly. The factors affecting the CS - C futures spread are complex, and it is recommended to wait and see [33]. 3.2.4 Black Metals (Coking Coal/Coke) - The coking coal market in Lvliang is oscillating weakly. With the improvement of the macro - environment, coking coal may stabilize with the overall black metal sector in the short term, but the medium - to - long - term fundamentals have not changed, and attention should be paid to demand changes [34][35]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products (Corn) - The inventory days of feed enterprises have slightly increased, while the raw material inventory of deep - processing enterprises has declined. It is recommended to hold the previously entered 07 long positions, 7 - 9 positive spreads, and 7 - 11 positive spreads, and pay attention to the results of import auctions [36][37]. 3.2.6 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - Foran Mining is promoting the McIlvenna Bay copper - zinc project. US economic data is weakening marginally, and the expectation of Fed interest rate cuts is rising. Domestic short - term inventory is still being depleted. Copper prices are likely to continue to oscillate at a high level. It is recommended to conduct short - term band operations and wait and see for arbitrage [42]. 3.2.7 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - Considering the delayed resumption of production at the southwest base of leading enterprises and the planned production cuts and overhauls of some enterprises, the polysilicon production plan for May has been revised down. It is recommended to take profit on previous long positions and focus on arbitrage strategies [44]. 3.2.8 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - There are rumors that northern large - scale factories plan to resume production, and some silicon factories in Sichuan are gradually resuming production. Demand is still weak. It is not recommended to go long on the left side, and consider short - selling opportunities during rebounds [45][46]. 3.2.9 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - The market risk appetite has been repaired, but the mine price has not stabilized, and the fundamentals are difficult to support continuous price rebounds. It is recommended to pay attention to short - selling opportunities on price rebounds [49]. 3.2.10 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - The social inventory of lead ingots has increased significantly. Under the intertwined situation of multiple factors, there is no clear unilateral logic for lead prices. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and pay attention to high - level internal - external positive spread opportunities [52]. 3.2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The domestic social inventory of zinc has increased. The short - term spot market is under pressure. It is recommended to wait and see for previous short positions, and consider short - selling opportunities on price rebounds for those not yet entered [56]. 3.2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - The price of nickel is expected to oscillate in the range of 122,000 - 128,000 yuan/ton. It is recommended to pay attention to band operations within the range [59]. 3.2.13 Energy and Chemicals (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) - The domestic LPG commodity volume has increased, and both refinery and port inventories are accumulating. The price has insufficient upward driving force, and attention should be paid to changes in Shandong spot prices and factory warehouse behaviors [61]. 3.2.14 Energy and Chemicals (Carbon Emissions) - The CEA price is expected to oscillate weakly in the short term [65]. 3.2.15 Energy and Chemicals (Natural Gas) - It is recommended to continue to be bearish on NYMEX natural gas [67]. 3.2.16 Energy and Chemicals (PTA) - After a short - term rapid rise, PTA prices may start to oscillate and adjust. It is recommended that long positions consider taking profit and waiting and seeing [69][70]. 3.2.17 Energy and Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - The spot price of caustic soda is still strong in the short term, and the futures price is also expected to be strong [71]. 3.2.18 Energy and Chemicals (Pulp) - The decline in Sino - US tariffs has warmed market sentiment, which may drive the pulp futures price to stabilize and rebound [73]. 3.2.19 Energy and Chemicals (PVC) - The decline in Sino - US tariffs has warmed market sentiment, which may drive the PVC price to stabilize and rebound [75]. 3.2.20 Energy and Chemicals (Bottle Chips) - Due to supply pressure, the processing fee of bottle chips is expected to remain low [78]. 3.2.21 Energy and Chemicals (Soda Ash) - Short - term maintenance of soda ash plants may support the spot and futures prices, but the medium - term view is to short on price rebounds [79]. 3.2.22 Energy and Chemicals (Float Glass) - Under the situation of weak reality and the absence of favorable policies, the glass futures price will remain in a low - level range, and attention should be paid to changes in real - estate policies [81].

预告：国新办5月20日举行新闻发布会 介绍《关于持续推进城市更新行动的意见》有关情况 智通财经5月15日电，国务院新闻办公室将于2025年5月20日（星期二）上午10时举行新闻发布会，请住 房城乡建设部副部长秦海翔和国家发展改革委、财政部、自然资源部、金融监管总局有关负责人介绍 《关于持续推进城市更新行动的意见》有关情况，并答记者问。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The document outlines the government's commitment to advancing urban renewal actions through diversified financing methods and increased fiscal support [1] Group 1: Financing and Investment - The government will enhance support for urban renewal projects by increasing central budget investments and utilizing special long-term bonds for eligible projects [1] - Local governments are encouraged to increase fiscal input and integrate funds, while issuing special bonds for qualifying urban renewal projects, ensuring that debt risks remain controllable [1] - There will be implementation of tax and fee reduction policies related to urban renewal [1]