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中信证券:年内理财规模可能突破33万亿元
news flash· 2025-05-15 01:41
Core Insights - CITIC Securities reports that the scale of bank wealth management is expected to exceed 33 trillion yuan by the end of the year, driven by recent trends in deposit interest rates and asset management products [1] Group 1: Wealth Management Scale - As of the end of April, the bank wealth management scale increased by 2.1 trillion yuan to 31.3 trillion yuan, representing a month-on-month growth of 7.35% and a year-on-year growth of 6.83%, returning to historical highs [1] Group 2: Impact of Interest Rate Changes - The recent round of deposit interest rate cuts will help banks control interest costs but may increase the difficulty of attracting deposits, leading to an influx of funds into low-risk asset management products like bank wealth management [1] - The reduction in deposit rates is likely to push down broad interest rates, including government bond rates, and will continue to promote the "deposit migration" phenomenon [1]
1月降3次!中小银行“补降”存款利率,新一轮降息或将来临
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-12 11:24
超30家中小银行补降存款利率。 在福建工作的黄女士(化名)习惯每月将部分收入存进定期存款中。5月初,她发现原本一些主打高息的中小银行也在加速降息。 她告诉记者,自己常用的这家民营银行,去年5月份三年期、五年期存款利率分别为3.3%、3.8%。而今年4月初,她收到客户经理通知,三年期、五年期存 款利率将降为2.8%、2.9%。最近她去询问时,利率再降至2.45%、2.5%。 这并非个例。近期中小银行正加速"补降"。据第一财经不完全统计,4月起已有哈密市商业银行、聊城沪农商村镇银行、海伦惠丰村镇银行、福建华通银行 等超30家中小银行"补降"存款利率,下调幅度在10BP至100BP不等。有银行甚至在1个月内三次下调中长期限存款利率。 有业内分析人士认为,随着央行明确释放引导信号,叠加银行息差压力,市场预期二三季度或将迎来大行领衔的新一轮全面降息。 "补降"节奏明显加快 5月9日,聊城沪农商村镇银行宣布调整人民币存款挂牌利率,定存利率全线低于2%。其中,一年期定期存款利率下调15BP至1.8%,两年期定期存款利率下 调21BP至1.89%,三年期、五年期定期存款利率下调18BP至1.98%。 | 存款项目 | 年利率 ...
火爆!开售第一日,多处售罄
新华网财经· 2025-05-11 05:11
5月10日上午,新一批储蓄国债开售。 据财政部官网消息,2025年第三期和第四期储蓄国债(凭证式)于5月10日至5月19日发行, 5 月 10日为正式开售首日,记者致电多家银行网点了解到,本轮储蓄国债首日销售热度持续, 投资者认购热情仍高涨。 储蓄国债主要分为储蓄国债(凭证式)和储蓄国债(电子式),本月发行的储蓄国债为凭证 式,面向个人投资者发行,需投资者持有效身份证件前往储蓄国债承销机构营业网点柜台购 买。 认购起点方面,以100元为认购起点,并以100元的整数倍递增,单个人购买单期储蓄国债的 金额不得超过300万元,付息方式为到期一次性还本付息。 本轮储蓄国债票面利率与上一期持平。具体来看,两期国债均为固定利率、固定期限品种, 最大发行总额300亿元。其中,第三期期限为3年,最大发行额150亿元,票面年利率1.93%; 第四期期限为5年,最大发行额150亿元,票面年利率2%。 储蓄国债持有期内支持提前兑取、质押贷款。根据财政部公告,投资者购买两期国债后,可 到原购买机构办理提前兑取。但发行期最后一天(即5月19日)不办理提前兑取。提前兑取按 实际持有时间和相对应的分档利率计付利息,具体为:从购买之日起,两 ...
中信证券首席经济学家明明:预计存款降息将很快开始逐步推进
news flash· 2025-05-07 09:50
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China will guide commercial banks to lower deposit rates through a self-discipline mechanism, which is expected to reduce banks' funding costs and enhance profitability [1] Group 1: Impact on Banks - Lowering deposit rates will help banks increase their profit margins, especially in the context of declining loan rates, thereby stabilizing net interest margins and reducing operational pressure [1] - It is anticipated that deposit rate cuts will begin to be implemented soon, with adjustments ranging from 5 to 20 basis points depending on the term [1] - Large banks are expected to act first in adjusting rates, while smaller banks may follow based on their circumstances and market competition [1] Group 2: Recommendations for Banks - Banks are encouraged to diversify their funding sources beyond traditional deposit business, such as issuing financial bonds and engaging in interbank certificate of deposit activities, to reduce reliance on deposits [1] - This diversification aims to optimize the liability structure and enhance the stability and sustainability of funding [1]