Mostly everybody is aware by now that the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) is trading at a bubble-like valuation, given that the Shiller PE ratio is at 40.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial short position in the shares of SPX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. See ...

I wanted to title this article "The American Bubble", which seems to be the most commonly used term at present and in the last few months. It’s simple, everybody knows how to use it when they need to; every time stocksI’m a Portfolio manager (flexible equity funds and private clients), fundamental equity research, macro and geopolitical strategy.Over 10 years across global markets, managing multi-asset strategies and equity portfolios at a European asset manager.I combine top-down macro, bottom-up stock sel ...

The first quarter of the new century brought us a great financial crisis, a global pandemic and several revolutions in the ways markets coped with it all. Our colleague Romaine Bostick gives us highlights and lowlights. -How do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values.-You had a market that hit a peak in early 2000. It proceeded to drop by about 30 percent in the span of just a few months. -The big question is hard versus soft landing at this point.My expectation is the fundament ...

Company Overview - CoreWeave is a company that provides a cluster of supercomputers for rent, allowing users to access their processing power, particularly in the AI sector [2] - The company has experienced significant volatility, with a notable increase of approximately 108% since it began trading, outperforming the XLK Technology ETF and the S&P 500 [3] Market Performance - Despite a recent decline of 55% from its all-time highs, CoreWeave has managed to hold onto a critical support level, indicating potential resilience [5][6] - The company is currently facing a high-risk designation from analysts, with a renewed buy rating and a price target set at 135, although this represents a cut from previous estimates [4] Technical Analysis - Key resistance levels to watch include recent highs at 9066 and a gap near 98, with the 20-day simple moving average crossed above, indicating potential upward momentum [7] - Volume profile studies reveal significant trading concentration areas at 74, 90, 98, and around 105, which could influence future price movements [8] Options Market Activity - The options market for CoreWeave has seen substantial activity, with around 640,000 options traded, of which 62% were calls, indicating bullish sentiment [10] - Notably, a significant trade involved a long put option, suggesting some bearish sentiment, with a break-even point at approximately 4810, indicating a potential downside of 42% [12]

Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index declined to a reading of 43.7, entering the "Fear" zone from a previous reading of 46.9, indicating a shift in market sentiment [6] - U.S. stocks experienced a positive session, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining over 300 points, driven by a cooler-than-expected inflation report and strong earnings outlook from Micron Technology [1] Company Performance - Micron Technology's stock surged by 10% after exceeding earnings estimates and providing a positive outlook, alleviating concerns regarding the AI bubble [2] - Accenture Plc also reported better-than-expected first-quarter 2026 results, contributing to the overall positive market sentiment [2] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.7% year-over-year in November 2025, down from 3% previously and below the expected 3.1%, while core inflation fell to 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021 [2] - The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index dropped by 8.5 points to -10.2 in December, missing market expectations [3] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. decreased by 13,000 to 224,000 for the week ending December 13 [3] Sector Performance - Most sectors in the S&P 500 closed positively, with information technology, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks showing the largest gains, while consumer staples and energy sectors closed lower [4] - The Dow Jones increased by approximately 66 points to 47,951.85, the S&P 500 rose by 0.79% to 6,774.76, and the Nasdaq Composite jumped by 1.38% to 23,006.36 during the session [4] Upcoming Earnings - Investors are anticipating earnings results from Conagra Brands Inc., Paychex Inc., and Carnival Corp. [5]

The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in the overall market sentiment, while the index moved to the “Fear” zone on Thursday.U.S. stocks settled higher on Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining more than 300 points during the session as risk appetite snapped back after a cooler-than-expected inflation report revived hopes for rate cuts and a blowout earnings outlook from Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ:MU) eased AI bubble fears.Micron Technology rocketed 10% on Thursday after beating estima ...

Joining us now for a look at what is happening globally, Victor Schvetzet, a head of global desk of strategy McQuary Capital. Uh, very good morning to you, Victor. Thanks so much for joining me once again today.Uh, look, obviously it's been a very busy morning on the macro front with what we've heard out with regards to the inflation picture here, but let's shift our attention to obviously what we've heard out of the Bank of England and the ECB this morning. No surprises there, although maybe the Bank of En ...

Key Points The ETFs listed below pay dividends and invest in quality blue-chip stocks. They can provide investors with relatively safe ways to invest in the stock market today. They have either limited or no exposure to tech. 10 stocks we like better than Vanguard Whitehall Funds - Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF › Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks have been red hot in recent years, perhaps too hot. The problem is that has inflated the value of the S&P 500, which has historically been a safe i ...

Core Viewpoint - Investor apprehension surrounding Oracle has led to a significant decline in its stock price, which has fallen nearly 50% from its all-time high on September 10, and is now affecting its projects [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Impact - Oracle's shares fell 5.4% on Wednesday, contributing to month-to-date losses exceeding 11% [2] - The decline in Oracle's stock has negatively impacted related companies, including Broadcom, Nvidia, and Advanced Micro Devices [2] - Major U.S. indexes also experienced declines, with the S&P 500 retreating 1.16%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 0.47%, and the Nasdaq Composite losing 1.81% [3] Group 2: Project Concerns and Investor Sentiment - Blue Owl Capital withdrew from Oracle's $10 billion data center project due to unfavorable debt terms, raising concerns about Oracle's high level of debt [1] - There are worries that Oracle may delay the completion of data centers for OpenAI, although the cloud company has denied these reports [2] - Analysts at Bank of America suggest that despite recent pullbacks in AI stocks, the AI trade may still have potential until 2026, while cautioning that rising shares do not preclude the formation of a bubble [3][4]

Welcome to Market Catalysts. I'm Julie Hyman. Here's what we're watching today.First, we'll discuss the economic outlook for 2026 as investors prepare for the next read on inflation. Plus, could higher unemployment lead to a higher stock market. We'll have more on that ahead.and we'll discuss the future of Bergkshire Hathaway under Greg Ael as Warren Buffett prepares to hand over the reigns. Let's take a look at the major averages here today. We're sort of in between our two mark uh economic data days and w ...