Forecasters anticipate a monthly report on US employment will show slower hiring and the highest unemployment rate since 2021 as the Trump administration’s trade and immigration policy shifts start to leave an imprint https://t.co/bWU5uDfHjD ...

New Zealand filled jobs are down to levels last seen in early 2023 as global uncertainty makes employers cautious about hiring https://t.co/Hg0V16V24P ...

Well, last week we heard about how OpenAI CEO Sam Elman said that Mark Zuckerberg was offering some of his employees a hundred million B signing bonuses to switch teams and even higher salaries. Today we're talking about the intense fight for AI hiring beyond the tech superpowers. Matt Walsh is the founder and CEO of Blue Signal Search and he joins us live here at the NASDAQ.And Matt, this is pretty interesting. We hear about the headlines about these huge hundred million dollar signing bonuses, but no matt ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Soft data has historically indicated economic slowdowns earlier than hard data, but current hard data may take longer to reflect the impact of tariffs due to frontloading of imports and spending [3][6] - Surveys and management commentary can still provide valuable insights if interpreted carefully, focusing on concrete company decisions rather than general economic impressions [4][8] - The overall commentary suggests a forecast of slower hiring, slightly higher unemployment, minimal growth in investment spending, below-potential GDP growth, and a one-time inflation rebound to the mid-3s [4][46] Hiring Insights - Companies affected by policy uncertainty and reliant on sales to China and Europe have significantly reduced job openings, while total openings have only moderately declined [12][13] - The share of companies signaling layoffs has increased slightly, but remains low compared to historical peaks, and hiring freezes have risen but are still within expansion period ranges [14][19] Investment Insights - Analysts have lowered capital spending expectations for more companies than they have raised in the last three quarters, although total capital expenditure expectations have risen due to increased AI investment [20][22] - Companies most affected by tariffs and policy uncertainty have seen larger reductions in capital spending expectations, with a notable 5-6% decrease for those with significant sales exposure to China and the EU [22][27] Production and Supply Chain Insights - Companies are increasingly concerned about tariffs impacting their supply chains but have not reported significant shortages that could disrupt production [28][31] - The report assumes that tariffs will not lead to widespread shortages, which could otherwise pose risks to inflation and GDP growth [32] Pricing Insights - Companies have announced only modest price increases this year, with expectations that consumers will absorb about 50% of the direct tariff costs, lower than the previously assumed 70% [4][43] - The limited increase in price announcements reflects a cautious approach among companies, particularly those exposed to policy uncertainty [33][38]

If I want to hire, let's say, the next chief product officer at Get Your Guide, it's almost impossible to do that in Europe. I need to go to Silicon Valley because the density of people who have done that scale, have served tens of millions of customers a year, build a business that's 10 billion plus valuation that just doesn't exist to build the structures and the processes and everything to do That. ...