How the economic machine works in 30 minutes. The economy works like a simple machine, but many people don't understand it or they don't agree on how it works. And this has led to a lot of needless economic suffering.I feel a deep sense of responsibility to share my simple but practical economic template. Though it's unconventional, it has helped me to anticipate and to sidestep the global financial crisis and it has worked well for me for over 30 years. Let's begin.Though the economy might seem complex, it ...

Credit and Debt Dynamics - The US economy's total credit is approximately $50 trillion, significantly exceeding the total money supply of about $3 trillion [1] - Credit's impact is contingent on its use; it is detrimental when it fuels unsustainable overconsumption but beneficial when it efficiently allocates resources and generates income for debt repayment [3] - Borrowing facilitates increased spending, enabling incomes to temporarily outpace productivity, though this is unsustainable in the long term [2] Economic Cycles - Credit creation fosters self-reinforcing economic patterns, but borrowing inherently generates cycles, necessitating eventual corrections [5] - The economy demonstrates how credit amplifies spending and income, illustrated by examples of individuals leveraging credit cards to spend beyond their immediate earnings [4][5]

Investment Principles - Prioritize saving over spending to build wealth [1] - Understand that compounding is a powerful tool for long-term investment growth [1] - Recognize that behavior is more important than intelligence in investment decisions [1] - Focus on long-term investment strategies rather than short-term gains [1] - Maintain humility and stay invested in the market [1] Risk Management - Acknowledge the role of luck and risk in shaping investment outcomes [1] - Be aware that tail events can significantly impact investment success [1] Financial Planning - Understand that wealth is not the same as income [1] - Recognize that financial freedom is a valuable return on investment [1] - Appreciate that everyone has different financial experiences and perspectives [1]

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Market Volatility & Investment Strategy - Market volatility is expected to persist due to numerous policy changes [1][2] - The industry emphasizes staying invested with a focus on specific solutions and desired outcomes rather than avoiding risk [4] - Strategic anchors should be tailored to individual needs, such as income generation or specific life events [5] Portfolio Management & Retirement Planning - Traditional 60/40 portfolios may need to be re-evaluated, exploring alternatives to US Treasuries for income ballast [6][7] - The market is becoming more efficient, prompting a broader search for investment opportunities, including private credit [8] - The SECURE Income Act allows annuities and guaranteed income contracts in 401(k) portfolios, addressing the retirement crisis [8] Future Returns & Generational Skepticism - The industry anticipates lower and more measured returns in the next 10-20 years compared to the past 30 years [10] - Younger generations express skepticism about achieving the same portfolio gains as older generations [9] - Finding a specific investment strategy that guarantees high growth (e.g., 15-20%) is unlikely; a more active approach is needed [11]

Personal Finance & Investment Strategies - Prioritizing financial growth is crucial for individuals [1] - Avoiding unnecessary expenses, such as spending $28 on lunch, is important [2] - The mistake that people make is they buy too much house [3] - Marriages can survive infidelity, they can't survive financial stress [3] - Following a specific financial strategy can lead to accumulating over $1.5 million [3] Home Ownership - Mortgage and home maintenance costs should not exceed one-third of income [3] Entrepreneurship - Only about 33% of people possess the necessary traits to become successful entrepreneurs [4]

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Self-Employment Definition - A self-employed person is defined as an independent contractor or sole proprietor [1] - Self-employed individuals report income earned from self-employment [1]

What you are going to see as a result of the bill that's moving through the Senate that will then go back to the House is a $4 trillion deficit increase. And that's in the view of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. Our estimates at the Yale Budget Lab are very similar.So are those from the Tax Foundation. So are those from from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. So all of these groups are telling you one thing.This is a huge deficit increase. And then you have to ask the question it's ...

Income Trends - Gen Z 和 Millennials 正在通过副业或增加工资的方式，在 2025 年实现收入翻倍 [1] Generational Focus - 报告关注 Gen Z 和 Millennials 如何增加收入 [1]