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McKnight: Retail sales could be particularly important this week
CNBC Television· 2025-11-24 11:58
So, I mean, it's a holiday shorten week. Uh, generally a lot less volume. Two reports coming out.They're delayed and a little bit backwardlookings. One hits inflation for producers. The other one retail sales.Either one of those market movers. Any other one of those that you really need to pay attention to this week. >> We think the retail sales numbers can be particularly important on the backs of what we heard last week out of Home Depot, Lowe's, Walmart, really to get a better sense of what's going on wi ...
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-11-23 13:00
Coming up: Thanksgiving holiday, retail sales, earnings from John Deere, Dell, Alibaba, Applied Digital, and Chinese EV makers. https://t.co/h30znhvJNe ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-21 07:18
UK retail sales fell far more than expected in October as consumers retreated ahead of the festive season https://t.co/V2uv5dLmbm ...
Latest NRF Retail Monitor report shows consumer spending bounces back
CNBC Television· 2025-11-10 16:41
Despite some growing consumer concerns, some signs of strength in CNBC's latest retail monitor report. For that, we'll turn to Steve Leeman this morning. Hi, Steve.Hey, Car. Yeah, consumer spending bounced back in October after a pretty sharp fall in September with gains in the CNBC NRF retail monitor across most sectors, adding up to a strong start for retail in the fourth quarter. That could be good for the holiday season.The retail monitor, we get actual credit card spending data from Affinity Solutions. ...
中国9 月工业生产超预期,投资不及预期;2025 - 26 年 GDP 预期调整至 4.9%-China_ September industrial production beat while investment missed; 2025_26 GDP forecasts adjusted to 4.9
2025-10-21 01:52
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the Chinese economy, particularly the industrial production, fixed asset investment, and retail sales sectors, as well as GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **GDP Growth**: China's Q3 GDP growth moderated to 4.8% year-on-year (yoy) from 5.2% in Q2, slightly above market consensus of 4.7% but in line with forecasts. Sequentially, GDP growth showed a slight acceleration to 1.1% quarter-over-quarter (qoq) non-annualized in Q3 from 1.0% in Q2 [1][10][20]. 2. **Industrial Production**: Industrial production (IP) growth rose significantly to 6.5% yoy in September, exceeding expectations, driven by stronger exports and increased auto output. Sequentially, IP gained 1.4% month-over-month (mom) non-annualized in September [3][13][20]. 3. **Fixed Asset Investment (FAI)**: FAI growth remained depressed at -0.5% year-to-date (ytd) yoy in September, with a notable single-month decline of -6.7% yoy. This was attributed to ongoing "anti-involution" policies and a prolonged downturn in the property sector [8][14][20]. 4. **Retail Sales**: Retail sales growth slowed to 3.0% yoy in September from 3.4% in August, impacted by weaker offline sales and the fading effectiveness of the consumer goods trade-in program. Online sales showed slight improvement [9][15][20]. 5. **Services Sector**: The Services Industry Output Index remained stable at 5.6% yoy in September, indicating resilience in the services sector despite challenges in retail sales [16][20]. 6. **Property Market**: The property market continued to show weakness, with significant year-on-year declines in new home starts (-14.4%) and property sales (-10.5% in volume) [11][18][20]. 7. **Unemployment Rates**: The nationwide unemployment rate decreased slightly to 5.2% in September from 5.3% in August, although youth unemployment remains a concern at 18.9% for the 16-24 age group [19][20]. Adjustments to Economic Forecasts - Full-year real GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 4.9% and 4.3%, respectively, reflecting adjustments based on Q3 GDP outcomes and historical data revisions. The growth target of "around 5%" for the year remains on track despite US-China tensions [1][20][37]. Additional Important Insights - The effectiveness of existing easing measures is diminishing, necessitating targeted easing to ensure stable growth and employment in the coming quarters [20]. - The majority of recent easing measures' growth impulses are expected to materialize in late 2025 or early 2026 [20]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the Chinese economy and its outlook.
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-13 23:10
Retail Sales Performance - UK retail sales growth slowed in September [1] External Factors - Warm weather delayed purchases of expensive coats and boots [1] - Shoppers braced for the government's November budget [1]
全球经济指标 2025 年 8 月图表集_图说世界-Global Economics_ Global Indicators August Chartbook_ The World in Pictures
2025-09-23 02:34
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on global economic indicators, particularly in the context of the services and manufacturing sectors, as well as retail sales trends. Core Insights and Arguments - **Global Services PMI**: The global services PMI in August was above its solid average from the past few years, indicating resilience in the services sector [1][4] - **Global Manufacturing PMI**: The global manufacturing PMI reached its highest level in over a year, suggesting a positive trend in manufacturing activities [1][4] - **Retail Sales**: Retail sales in the US have shown surprising strength, performing well globally despite challenges [1][4] - **Global Exports**: Although global exports have declined from recent peaks, they remain elevated compared to last year's figures, despite high US tariffs [1][4] - **Forward-Looking Trade Indicators**: New export orders are in contraction for most major economies, indicating potential future challenges due to "payback" from US frontloading of purchases and tariff-related issues [1][4] Additional Important Content - **Economic Resilience**: The overall resilience observed in Q3 is highlighted, with various indicators suggesting a mixed but generally positive outlook for the global economy [1][4] - **Potential Risks**: The report warns of potential strains in global trade, emphasizing the need for monitoring forward-looking indicators closely [1][4] - **Data Sources**: The insights are derived from Citi Research, S&P Global, and Haver Analytics, ensuring a robust analytical foundation [1][4]