Core Viewpoint - The current financial conditions are favorable, and the Federal Reserve's rate cuts may not have been necessary, leading to market volatility and presenting investment opportunities outside speculative assets [4][6]. Financial Sector Analysis - The financial sector is not experiencing a hiccup that would inhibit lending or slow GDP growth, as financial conditions remain easy with tight credit spreads [3]. - Prior to the pandemic, GDP was tracking around 3.5% to 4%, indicating a strong economic backdrop [4]. Investment Opportunities - There is a significant speculative nature in the market, with record participation in options and leveraged ETFs, suggesting a potential for volatility that could highlight alternative investment opportunities [5][6]. - The focus should be on boring investments such as dividends and quality stocks, particularly outside the tech sector, where non-US quality stocks are growing faster than major US tech companies [5][6]. Geographic Focus - Increasing non-US exposure is recommended, particularly in quality large-cap stocks in Europe and Asia (excluding Japan), which offer higher dividend yields, faster growth, and attractive valuations [8]. - The current market conditions present a growth story for non-US investments that was previously lacking [8]. Crypto and AI Investment Stance - The company has historically been critical of crypto and has not engaged in it, suggesting a cautious approach to speculative assets [9]. - For AI investments, diversification is advised, with a recommendation to take profits from significant gains and reallocate into a more balanced portfolio [10].

🚨 ALERT: $1.08B liquidated in the last 24 hours. Volatility is back, manage risk. https://t.co/QKJS4Noi4F ...

Hey, Scott. So, Scott, Bitcoin has now erased all of its gains since President Trump's inauguration as forced liquidations accelerate. Volatility spikes and risk appetite fades across the market.More than $1.3% billion in leveraged crypto bets were wiped out in the past 24 hours alone, pushing those funding rates negative and thinning out market depth. Liquidity has dropped sharply and traders are rushing to hedge, driving short-term volatility even higher. Meanwhile, a key support for Bitcoin, those spot E ...

Market Volatility and Economic Uncertainty - Federal Reserve commentary is causing market volatility, casting doubt on potential December rate cuts [1] - The government shutdown has created a data vacuum, leading to uncertainty about the economy's performance and impacting the odds of a rate cut, which fell below 5% from near certainty a month prior [2][3] - The market anticipates a cluster of volatility due to the compressed timing of data releases [5] - There are concerns about the accuracy and consistency of delayed data, making the economic outlook cloudy for several months [6] Federal Reserve Policy and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve is signaling caution in the data desert, emphasizing the need to tread carefully with limited room to ease policy without becoming overly accommodative [4] - The market is pricing in a 50% probability of a December rate cut, but some believe the Fed is in no rush to cut rates [8][9] - The outlook for 2025 indicates a real GDP growth of about 2%, with expectations of equal or slightly higher growth the following year [11] - Companies are generally still frozen, and the economy is K-shaped, but tax refunds could invigorate consumers [12][13] Credit Market and Investment Grade Bonds - A rare wholesale pull in high-grade bonds indicates unsteady credit markets [1] - The market saw the first market RADEAL, indicating a crack in high yield [18] - Applied Digital selling at 97 cents on the dollar with a yield of around 10% struggled to generate demand, signaling caution among credit investors [19] - No companies are considering new investment-grade bonds today, and wobbliness in the market could impact issuance [23] - Supply has been well absorbed, but spreads have pulled back slightly from all-time lows of 72 to about 80 [25][26]

Last time our next guest was on CNBC, he was expecting Bitcoin to be $150,000 by the end of the year. Want to find out if he's changed his tune uh since late October given the recent move in the crypto space. You're looking at Bitcoin right now at $94,000 632.Michael Sailor is here, strategy founder and executive chairman. Good morning to you. What do you think.150 by the end of the year. What do you think's happening here. You know, I think um we all want to go to the moon, but if you want to ride the rock ...

You go out and you buy Bitcoin on an ETF or you buy exchange. You kind of have 1 to 1 Bitcoin, right. You go out and you buy one Bitcoin. You're always going to have one Bitcoin.Our entire ethos is increasing Bitcoin per share. Right now, every day we're mining bitcoin or mining bitcoin at roughly 50% of spot prices of bitcoin, so roughly about $56,000 per bitcoin. That's what we're able to mine and we're able to mine because we have the best facilities anywhere on earth. We've got some of the cheapest ener ...

Volatility is essential for a portfolio to avoid death by debasement. ...

James, we had Reeves saying in her speech last week or at least hinting that she was going to break the manifesto. Then it seemed she wasn't going to raise income tax in the budget and now we've got these latest developments on forecasts. What's going on. What's the thinking behind all of this.>> Well, do you understand the thinking. There are three constituencies you need to bear in mind. The public, Labour MPs, and the markets.Reeves is trying to keep all of them happy. And so that was why two weeks ago s ...

“Volatility is a gift to the faithful.” — Michael Saylor ...

It's an easy bear market because we've all made itIt's a hard bear market because everything trades completely schizoIt's an easy bear market because BTC is still at like $100kIt's a hard bear market because alts are at zero ...