Leverage
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Crypto Crash Coming? Signs The Bull Market Will Be OVER!
Coin Bureau路 2025-08-31 12:45
Market Cycle Analysis - Crypto market typically follows a 4-year cycle, consisting of 1 to 2 years of a bull market and 2 to 3 years of a bear market [3] - Historically, Bitcoin would top roughly 16 to 18 months after the halving, placing the potential top in August to October of the current year [5][6] - The monthly Bollinger Band moving average for Bitcoin is around $82,000, and for the total crypto index is around $2.7 trillion [13] - "Others" (cryptocurrencies outside the top 10) only has around 10% of wiggle room before technically entering a bear market, with the monthly Bollinger Band moving average at around $250 billion [15] Bearish Catalysts and Leverage - Bearish catalysts, such as regulatory actions (e.g., Treasury Department requiring KYC for onchain stablecoin activities) or geopolitical events (e.g., escalation between China and Taiwan), could trigger market downturns [20][22][23] - Liquidations in DeFi and CeFi are much deadlier than long liquidations on exchanges due to their larger size and prolonged unwinding process [25] - Excessive leverage, including institutional and crypto treasury companies' holdings, could exacerbate selling pressure during market downturns [27][28][29] Potential Bottom and Market Sentiment - Historically, Bitcoin tends to bottom around 1 year after it tops, with the rest of the crypto market following [32] - Bitcoin has historically bottomed to an RSI reading of around 40 on the monthly timeframe [33] - The market typically bottoms when a large overleveraged entity gets liquidated, accompanied by extremely bearish sentiment [35] Price Targets and Drawdown Scenarios - Historically, Bitcoin has never fallen below its previous cycle top, suggesting a potential bottom around $70,000 plus or minus $10,000 [44] - Most altcoins will fall by 90% to 95% from their cycle highs [45] - A severe market downturn could result in Bitcoin falling well below $70,000, potentially leading to regulatory intervention and a significantly altered market landscape [47][48]
X @aixbt
aixbt路 2025-08-30 16:56
i know 40m wallets getting perps feels bullish, but they don't want you winning. they want your funding payments, your liquidation fees, your blown accounts from 20x leverage you never learned to manage.. no education, no risk warnings, no mercy.. just extraction machines dressed as convenience. ...
X @Lookonchain
Lookonchain路 2025-08-29 02:29
More bullish on $SOL or $ETH?Whale 0x9e8b, who made over $15M in profit on Hyperliquid, opened a 20x leverage long on 141,611 $SOL($30.75M) and a 25x leverage short on 6,698 $ETH($30M).https://t.co/RLBYRUwCXP https://t.co/jArNluKaGS ...
X @Omni Network
Omni Network路 2025-08-29 00:39
RT Tyler Tarsi (@ttarsi_)perps 101perps are 90%+ of crypto volume today, they run the market. critical to understand, but most people working in crypto don't actually understand how they work.did a few sessions this week internally breaking them down. here's the tldr - not a guide, just my stream of consciousness notes.start with order books - they're universal, not specific to perps. bids = buy orders, asks = sell orders. difference between best ask and best bid is the "spread"there is no true singular "pr ...
X @Binance
Binance路 2025-08-28 00:00
Leverage & P&L - Leverage magnifies your Profit and Loss (P&L) [1] - The document discusses the impact of leverage, specifically in futures and margin trading [1] Risk Management - The content emphasizes understanding how leverage affects financial outcomes [1]
X @THE HUNTER 鉁达笍
GEM HUNTER 馃拵路 2025-08-27 22:20
Market Volatility - High volatility observed in the market, with altcoins like ETH, SOL, and XRP experiencing daily swings of 5%+ [1] - High leverage trading amplifies risk, emphasizing the need for capital protection [1] Risk Management - Smart risk management is highlighted as more crucial than individual trades [1] - Recommendations include setting stop-losses and managing position sizes to mitigate risk [1] - Emotional trading is discouraged to maintain a rational approach [1]