Market Dynamics - Technical Analysis (TA) performs exceptionally well when a billionaire invests significantly [1]

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Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy involves identifying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off to ensure credibility [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but may also invest in companies from less stable economies [1]

Group 1 - Friedrich Global Research aims to identify the safest and best performing companies for stock investment, focusing on free cash flow, efficient capital allocation, and superior results to find high-quality management teams [1] Group 2 - The founder of Bern Factor LLC has nearly 40 years of investing and analysis experience, with expertise in both quantitative and qualitative analysis, as well as technical analysis [2] - The founder has a diverse background, having worked in various sectors including retail, military, and management, which provides a broad perspective on macroeconomics and detailed operational insights [2]

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Core Insights - Dr. Duru has been blogging about financial markets since 2000, providing unique perspectives that challenge conventional market wisdom [1] - The blog "One-Twenty Two" covers a variety of financial topics including stocks, options, currencies, and Bitcoin, utilizing both technical and fundamental analysis [1] - Dr. Duru's educational background includes a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering from Stanford University and a Ph.D. in Engineering-Economic Systems [1] Company and Industry Analysis - Dr. Duru's experience includes independent consulting in operations research, management consulting in product development, and business intelligence [1] - The blog aims to deliver narratives that are different from mainstream financial analysis, appealing to both students and fans of financial markets [1] - The content is also featured on Seeking Alpha, indicating a broader reach and potential influence in the investment community [1]

Market Trends & Analysis - The market is experiencing a persistent uptrend with major averages hovering near all-time highs, and a breakout in June fostered additional upside momentum [1][2] - Technical analysis suggests a price objective of approximately 6880 with a timeframe of 2026 for the S&P 500, with support around 6130 [2] - The 20-day moving average is pointing higher for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, advising clients to stay invested as long as this trend continues [12][13] - August and September typically carry seasonal headwinds and volatility [11] - October tends to carry volatility but also major lows, potentially offering a reset for Q4 [13][15] Oil & Energy Sector - Crude oil showed an oversold indication on the monthly chart around April-May lows, but needs to break above resistance in the mid $70s to reverse the downtrend [5] - The energy sector continues to underperform [5] Yield Curve & Interest Rates - The yield curve is considered important, especially with events like Jackson Hole, employment reports, CPI, and PPI, but remains at the low end of the range [6] - A neutral bias on yields has been maintained for most of the year [7] - Peaks in the fed funds rate tend to be associated with peaks in the S&P 500 [8] Bitcoin Analysis - Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase with a neutral short-term bias, having broken out above former resistance at approximately 108,000 [19] - Bitcoin has support around 111,000 and a potential objective of approximately 134,000 to 135,000 based on the breakout [19]

Technical Analysis Foundation - OHLCV (Open, High, Low, Close, Volume) data serves as the foundation for cryptocurrency technical analysis [1] Data Acquisition - The guide details how to download OHLC and OHLCV data to XLSX & CSV formats using Python, Excel, and Google Sheets [1] - CoinGecko API is used in conjunction with the aforementioned tools for data retrieval [1]

Group 1 - The investor has a deep value investment approach, focusing on a 50%-50% allocation between shares and call options [1] - The investment strategy is contrarian and involves high risk, often dealing with illiquid options [1] - The investor prefers stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 2 - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs [1] - Technical analysis is used to optimize entry and exit points, utilizing multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]

Sure. Let's get right to it. We have four identical charts and um annotated different ways, but what we know is this stock had its peak in February uh as annotated there by those converging or in line.It dropped 41% in the tariff selloff, double the S&P, and it's recovered but has not made a new high. Uh the next way to draw the lines again lines are subjective in the eye of the practitioner. You can see the second iteration here.uh whether you want to call that a cup and handle or you want to call it uh co ...