Core Viewpoint - Citigroup anticipates that the Japanese yen will strengthen against the US dollar as the US seeks to address the yen's weakness in upcoming trade negotiations [1] Group 1 - Citigroup analysts, including Osamu Takashima, suggest a more realistic compromise level for the yen to dollar exchange rate is around 120 yen per dollar, rather than the 100 yen per dollar being considered by the US [1] - On Tuesday, the yen rose by 0.7%, reaching an exchange rate of 139.89 yen per dollar [1] - The expectation of the Bank of Japan moving towards policy normalization is expected to support the yen [1] Group 2 - The trade negotiations may encourage the Trump administration to avoid increasing tariffs on Japan [1]

日元兑美元一度上涨0.5%至140.20。 ...

金十数据4月14日讯，高盛分析师表示，如果日元兑美元汇率升至130，日本持续通胀的前景变得暗淡， 日本央行可能会考虑暂停加息。Akira Otani为首的高盛经济学家写道，日元大幅升值可能挤压日本出口 商的利润、压低进口价格、抑制国内投资并削弱工资增长，给日本央行继续紧缩政策带来挑战。他们还 说，如果日元兑美元走强至130多的低位，日本央行可能会将2026财年的通胀预期下调至1.5%左右，低 于2%的目标。相反，如果日元跌破160——去年7月触发日本央行加息的水平——日本央行可能会考虑 进一步推进或加速加息。 高盛：如果日元接近130，日本央行可能考虑停止加息 ...

高盛：如果日元兑美元升值至接近130，日本央行可能考虑停止加息。 ...