Haha exactly 😂Yun-Ta Tsai (@YunTaTsai1):Designing an inference chip for robots is actually very difficult.In data centers each chip is bathed in jacuzzi and babysat by nannies. If they died it would be hot swapped by one of their clones.The fault rate of GPUs in datacenter is actually quite high. Industrial average ...

[Music] Hey, Morgan. Open AAI is asking the Trump administration to help lower the cost of AI infrastructure according to a letter obtained by Bloomberg. The startup wants the White House to expand a Key Chips Act tax credit to cover AI data centers and related components like transformers.Now, this comes just one day after OpenAI faced blowback over a comment made by its CFO implying that it would look for a government backs stop for its $1.4% trillion in comput deals. They have since been walking that bac ...

Hello everyone. The Treasury Secretary was all over television this weekend. He was hyping up the US economy.We saw multiple mega deals in the AI industry this morning. And Jordy Visser explains why Bitcoin is having its IPO moment. We're live today from the desk of Anthony Pmpliano.[Music] Before we get into today's show, I need your help. We currently have 36,021 subscribers on YouTube, but my goal is to get to 1 million. The people are saying it's not possible, but with your help, we're going to get ther ...

Power Demand Growth - Global power demand is projected to increase by approximately 30% in the next decade [1] - The growth is driven by factors such as the increasing adoption of EVs, the expansion of data centers, and the rising need for heating and cooling in buildings [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Reported sales for Q3 2025 were $5.6 billion, with adjusted operating profit at $823 million and adjusted EPS at $0.67, reflecting a year-over-year decline primarily due to lower volumes in the CSA residential business [16][17] - Total company organic growth was down 4%, with adjusted operating profit down 21% and adjusted EPS down 13% [16][17] - Free cash flow was approximately $225 million, impacted by lower operating profit and higher working capital levels [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in the CSA segment declined 8%, with residential sales down 30% due to a 40% decline in volume, while commercial sales increased by 30% [17] - CSE segment saw residential and light commercial sales down low single digits, while commercial declined mid-single digits [18] - CSAME segment organic sales declined 2%, with strong growth in India and the Middle East offset by weakness in China [18] - CSD segment organic sales were up 6%, led by strong growth in container sales [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, residential heat pump sales were up about 15%, with Germany seeing a 45% increase [9][10] - The overall market for heating units in Germany is at 15-year lows, indicating potential for recovery [10][11] - Commercial HVAC business in CSA has shown best-in-class performance, with expectations for continued growth driven by data centers [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three vectors of growth: products, aftermarket, and systems, with significant progress reported in each area [4][5] - A new $5 billion share repurchase authorization was approved, reflecting confidence in the company's strategy and execution [4] - The company aims to reduce overhead by eliminating about 3,000 indirect positions and is taking aggressive cost actions to right-size for demand [4][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges in the North American residential market, projecting a $500 million sales challenge and a 20% to 25% adjusted EPS headwind [3] - The company expects to end 2025 with CSA residential destocking behind it, anticipating a difficult comparison in the first half of 2026 [23][24] - Management remains optimistic about the recovery of the CSA residential business and expects continued strong performance in commercial HVAC and aftermarket segments [13][24] Other Important Information - The company is implementing significant cost actions expected to yield over $100 million in carryover savings for 2026 [21] - Adjusted EPS for the full year is projected to be about $2.65, with free cash flow expected to be around $2 billion [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inventory levels and sell-through dynamics - Management indicated that consolidated inventories are up about $500 million, primarily due to a sudden decline in residential volume and purposeful increases for components replacement [26][27] - They expect inventory levels to start reducing and aim for a 30% year-over-year decrease by year-end [29] Question: Pricing dynamics for 2026 - Management plans to announce a mid-single digit price increase for 2026, expecting to yield low single-digit range [34] Question: Structural cost reductions - The company is focused on structural cost reductions, targeting about 3,000 indirect positions, with a commitment to not add those back [35][36] Question: Outlook for CSA residential business - Management expects CSA residential volume to be flat to slightly up, with a focus on reducing inventory levels in the field [40][41] Question: Demand in non-data center verticals - Non-data center demand in commercial HVAC was up in the low teens, with mixed performance across various sectors [42][43] Question: Data center backlog and growth expectations - The company is on track to end the year with a backlog around $900 million, supporting growth expectations for 2026 [54][55]

Core Insights - The energy sector is experiencing significant demand growth driven by data centers and electrification, necessitating increased investment in transmission infrastructure [2][3] - First Energy plans to increase its capital expenditure (capex) for transmission by approximately 30% over the next five years, indicating a strong commitment to enhancing the transmission grid [3] - The company is actively addressing the labor force needs for infrastructure development through apprenticeship programs and hiring experienced personnel [5] Investment Opportunities - The investment in a robust transmission grid is seen as a critical opportunity for investors, particularly in light of the growing demand from AI and data center operations [3] - First Energy is ensuring that hyperscalers and data center developers commit to covering the costs of infrastructure investments, which mitigates the risk of overbuilding [7] Consumer Impact - There is a notable increase in customer bills, with generation costs accounting for 85% of the year-over-year increase in four out of five states where First Energy operates as a wire-only company [9] - In the state where First Energy is fully integrated, customer rates remained flat year-on-year, highlighting the impact of generation costs on utility bills [9] - The company is working with regulators and stakeholders to mitigate the impact of rising generation costs on consumers [10]

Energy Costs & Data Centers - Average electric bills in the US have jumped over 10% since last year, with some states seeing increases beyond 20% [1] - Lawmakers are blaming data centers supporting tech companies' AI projects for the soaring electric bills [2] - Republicans in Virginia and New Jersey are advocating for more energy exploration and building more energy sources, welcoming data centers for job creation [5][8] - Democrats are considering slowing down data center development, making companies pay more to the state, and questioning tax subsidies [6] AI & Economic Impact - The surge in electricity demand is likened to an egg shortage, suggesting market mechanisms will drive electricity prices down as it becomes more profitable to generate electricity [13][14][15] - The debate includes whether to invest in clean, renewable energy or continue using fossil fuels [16] - There are warnings about a potential AI bubble in the markets, but the potential value creation from AI could justify current investments and valuations [21][22][23][24] Political Considerations - Local communities are concerned about the limited long-term employment benefits of data centers compared to factories, along with noise and land usage [10][11] - The White House and some Republicans are focused on attracting companies and creating jobs, potentially overlooking local concerns about energy bills [9][12] - Democrats are exploring taxing data centers more and ensuring local communities benefit from their presence [18][19]

Core Insights - Defense spending remains resilient despite broader economic concerns, supported by bipartisan political backing and long-term contracts [2][3][14] - The defense sector is viewed as a stable investment opportunity, particularly in the context of emerging technologies like AI [2][5] Defense Spending - National defense spending is crucial for national security and is characterized by multi-year contracts that provide stability [2] - The defense sector is considered the most resilient area in investing, with ongoing bipartisan support from both major political parties [2] AI and Technology Deployment - Significant capital is being allocated to build data centers, which are essential for AI development and deployment [4][14] - AI is in its early stages, with substantial growth potential as it becomes more integrated into various sectors [5][15] - Companies like Palantir are leading in defense AI by effectively organizing diverse data types, which enhances decision-making capabilities [6][7] Investment Opportunities - Smaller startups are emerging alongside established companies like Palantir, focusing on niche areas within the defense technology ecosystem [10][11] - Startups are developing AI solutions that operate independently of internet connectivity, catering to specific military and commercial needs [10][12] Market Dynamics - The relationship between data centers and AI companies is symbiotic, with investments in one area driving growth in the other [14] - Concerns about an AI bubble are deemed overblown, with the current investment landscape being fundamentally different from past market bubbles [15]

Energy & Sustainability - Data centers consume a significant amount of power [1] - The Chinese government is investing heavily in clean energy [1] - The US investment in clean energy is lagging behind China [1]

Market Dynamics & Growth Drivers - Power has become a hot commodity due to its critical role in AI and overall economic function [2] - Increased demand for electricity is driven by AI, LNG exports, cryptocurrency mining, and onshoring of manufacturing [13] - Open AI's potential deals represent massive electricity needs, equivalent to millions of homes [9][10] Electricity Prices & Costs - In New Jersey, power generation accounts for roughly 30% of electricity bills, with transmission and distribution comprising 50% [5] - Transmission costs have increased significantly, with a 300% increase over the last 15 years due to infrastructure upgrades [6][7] - Power generation prices have decreased by 40-50% over the last 15 years, but overall electricity costs are expected to rise faster than inflation [4][8] Power Generation & Capacity - The US has approximately 1200 gigawatts (12 million megawatts) of power generation capacity [11] - Data centers currently consume about 2% (25 gigawatts) of US power generation, with potential to increase to 10% (additional 100 gigawatts) [11] - Nuclear and coal power generation has decreased from 70% to 40% and could potentially lose 150 gigawatts [12] Infrastructure & Reliability - Renewables are often located in remote areas, requiring thousands of miles of expensive transmission lines [8] - Aging power lines (60-75 years old) are prone to failure and pose a reliability risk [7] - Public Service Electric & Gas has invested and plans to invest billions in transmission and distribution upgrades (20-30 billion already, another 30 billion planned) [6]