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5 stocks to consider right now amid volatility and uncertainty: Portfolio manager
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-12 20:07
Market Volatility & Investment Strategy - The market has shown resilience with a V-shaped recovery, and investors should embrace volatility as it favors long-term value buyers [1] - Despite major market averages being in the black for the year, many individual stocks, especially in the Russell 2000, are still down significantly, presenting value opportunities [4] - Stock picking is expected to outperform buying indexes, offering better sleep-at-night valuations and generous dividend yields [11] Undervalued Sectors & Stocks - The energy sector, particularly Sevitas Resources, is attractive due to being hit hard, offering a big dividend yield and low PE ratio while remaining profitable [5][6] - Pharmaceutical companies like Merc are viewed as high quality, trading at a PE around 11 with a 4% dividend yield, lower than its historical valuation [6] - Whirlpool, the appliance maker, offers a yield over 7% with a PE in the 9-10 range, anticipating support from lower interest rates later in the year [8] - Target, the discount retailer, has a low valuation relative to its history and a dividend yield pushing 5% [8][9] - UPS, the package shipping company, aligns with the theme of low valuations and generous dividend yields [9] Economic Outlook & Fed Policy - Good news rate cuts are anticipated throughout the year, although immediate cuts are unlikely due to tariff uncertainties and high inflation expectations [12][13] - Historically, stocks have performed well regardless of Fed tightening or easing, rising or falling interest rates, or high or low inflation [14] - Value stocks have historically lost only a couple percent on average during recessions, with spectacular returns of 30-40% coming out of recessions [15][16] Portfolio Valuation - The portfolio's forward earnings trade at 14 times, compared to the S&P 500's 23 times forward earnings [10] - The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 250 basis points (25%) versus 130 basis points (13%) for the S&P 500 [10]
APA Corporation: Strong Pick In Oil/Gas, With A Reversing Chart Pattern
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-09 07:45
Core Insights - Paul Franke is a seasoned investor with 39 years of trading experience, recognized for his stock picking and macro views, having been ranked among the top investment advisors nationally during the 1990s [1] - Franke developed a stock selection system called "Victory Formation," which focuses on supply/demand imbalances indicated by specific stock price and volume movements [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles highlight deep value stocks or those showing significant upward technical momentum reversals, while "Volume Breakout Report" articles discuss positive trend changes supported by strong trading action [1] Investment Strategy - Franke recommends a diversified approach, suggesting investors hold at least 50 well-positioned stocks to achieve consistent outperformance in the stock market [1] - A stop-loss level of 10% to 20% on individual stock choices is advised to manage risk effectively [1]
The Bottom Fishing Club - Shoals Technologies: American Made Solar Play
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-28 10:37
Core Insights - The article highlights the investment strategies and achievements of Paul Franke, a seasoned investor with 38 years of trading experience, emphasizing his contrarian stock selection style and algorithmic analysis for identifying investment opportunities [1] Group 1: Investment Strategies - Paul Franke developed a system called "Victory Formation," which focuses on supply/demand imbalances indicated by specific stock price and volume movements [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles target deep-value stocks or those showing significant positive technical momentum reversals [1] - The "Volume Breakout Report" articles analyze positive trend changes supported by strong price and volume trading activity [1] Group 2: Performance and Recognition - Franke was consistently ranked among the top investment advisors nationally during the 1990s and achieved the 1 position in the Motley Fool® CAPS stock picking contest in 2008 and 2009 out of over 60,000 portfolios [1] - As of September 2024, he was ranked in the Top 3% of bloggers by TipRanks® for 12-month stock picking performance over the last decade [1] Group 3: Risk Management - Franke advises investors to implement stop-loss levels of 10% or 20% on individual stock choices and to maintain a diversified portfolio of at least 50 well-positioned stocks to enhance regular stock market outperformance [1]