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Market behavior based on prospects for easier monetary policy, says Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders
CNBC Television· 2025-09-16 14:36
joining us as we said, Charles Schwab, chief investment strategist, Lisanne Saunders. Lisanne, good to see you. Important week.Good to good to see you. Thank you. Yeah, a very important week.Your thoughts about going into tomorrow and what the market's done say over the last 10 sessions. Yeah. So, I I think the Fed does cut by 25, but perhaps in in light of stronger consumption numbers, it wouldn't be surprising to see what is often deemed a uh you know, a hawkish cut uh given the commentary we could hear f ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-15 19:45
A Federal Reserve meeting this week is expected to deliver its first interest-rate cut since December and provide clues on how quickly the central bank will continue easing monetary policy. @lisaabramowicz1 explains https://t.co/RPy4Azn2Yb https://t.co/bYJ6IXlBeJ ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-15 16:30
The Bank of England should stop selling gilts from its quantitative-easing portfolio because the sales are distorting monetary policy, a former BOE rate-setter warned https://t.co/1D1AtykwBn ...
Dudley Says One or Two Fed Cuts After Sept. Is a 'Close Call'
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-15 13:08
Interest Rate Expectations - The market widely anticipates a 25 basis points (0.25%) interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week [1] - The debate centers on whether the Fed will signal one or two more rate cuts after September [2] - The market is pricing in rate cuts that could bring the federal funds rate down to approximately 3% by the end of next year [7] Labor Market & Economic Outlook - Softening labor market indicators, with payroll employment growth at only 30,000 per month in the last three months, are a key concern driving potential rate cuts [5] - The market generally agrees with the view that downside risks to the labor market outweigh upside risks to inflation, justifying rate cuts [11] - There's a possibility that steeper rate cuts could lead to a reacceleration of inflation and a deterioration in the dollar's value [10] Fed Policy & Internal Dynamics - Most members of the committee are expected to align with the Chairman's direction on rates, with disagreements primarily focused on timing [15][16] - The influence of a newly appointed member from the administration is expected to be limited during the upcoming meeting [19][21] - The degree of disagreement among members tends to be small, as everyone is evaluating the same economic information [22]
Wall Street’s Record Run Continues as Inflation Data Fuels Rate Cut Hopes
Stock Market News· 2025-09-11 21:07
Market Performance - U.S. equities experienced a robust rally on September 11, 2025, with all three major indices closing at record highs, driven by optimism over a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut [1][2] - The S&P 500 rose 0.9% to approximately 6586 points, marking a 17.69% increase year-over-year [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1.3%, closing above 46,000 for the first time, adding over 500 points [2] - The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.7%, achieving a new record high, influenced by mixed performances among technology stocks [2] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for August indicated a headline annual inflation of 2.9% and core inflation steady at 3.1%, with a monthly rise of 0.4% in headline CPI [3] - Initial jobless claims reached a near four-year high, signaling a softening labor market, which reinforced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut [3] - Treasury yields eased in response to the economic reports, as traders anticipated the Fed's first rate cut of the year [3] Upcoming Events - The Federal Reserve's meeting on September 17, 2025, is highly anticipated, with expectations for the first interest rate cut of the year [4] - Key economic data releases are scheduled, including the Michigan Consumer Sentiment report and Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and Housing Starts [5] Corporate News - Oracle (ORCL) shares fell 3.6% after a previous surge of nearly 36% due to excitement over AI-related contracts [6] - Tesla (TSLA) gained 6%, while Apple (AAPL) rose over 1%, and Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) saw slight increases [7] - Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) shares soared 29% following news of a potential takeover bid from Paramount Skydance [8] - Synopsys Inc. (SNPS) plummeted 35.8% after missing earnings estimates, while GameStop Corp. (GME) rose 3.3% after beating expectations [10] Earnings Announcements - Adobe Inc. (ADBE) is expected to report earnings with a forecasted EPS of $4.21, a 10.50% increase year-over-year [11] - Other companies reporting include RH and RF Industries, with RF Industries expected to show a significant 200% increase in EPS year-over-year [11]
Bitcoin To $200K This Year? Tom Lee Thinks So
It's important that you avoid getting lulled to sleep in financial markets. A great example where I potentially see this happening right now is with Bitcoin. The digital assets down 3% over the last month.Oh, the horror. And it's only up 20% since the start of the year. But this lack of significant appreciation over the last 8 months does not mean that we can expect the same thing to continue through the rest of the year.Fundrete's Tom Lee went on CNBC yesterday and he explained why he thinks Bitcoin could ...
全球观点:仍在走弱-Global Views_ Still Softening
2025-09-09 02:40
8 September 2025 | 4:25PM EDT Global Views: Still Softening 1. The August employment report confirms that the US labor market has softened materially. Nonfarm payroll growth slowed to just 22k, although our broader estimate of underlying trend job growth—which is based on moving averages of both the establishment and household survey—edged up to 41k because of stronger household employment. We are penciling in an upward revision to the August payroll estimate next month, as seen in 12 of the past 15 Septemb ...
X @The Wall Street Journal
From @WSJopinion: Presidential control of monetary policy would be a threat to financial stability and American prosperity. Congress must step up to protect its own authority, write Phil Gramm and Jeb Hensarling. https://t.co/YLfcaIp4fj ...
Trump’s Fed Pick Draws Democratic Fire at Confirmation Hearing
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-04 22:10
Nomination & Independence Concerns - Steven Myron's nomination as a Fed governor faces scrutiny due to his strong support for President Trump's economic policies, particularly tariffs [1] - Senate Democrats question Myron's independence, citing his proposed reforms that could increase presidential control over monetary policy [2] - Concerns arise over Myron's continued employment with the Council of Economic Advisers, even during his potential Fed term, raising conflict of interest issues [4][5] Confirmation Process - Despite concerns, Myron's nomination is expected to be approved by the Senate Banking Committee, where Republicans hold a two-vote majority, and sent to the Senate floor [5] Economic Policy & Data Integrity - Myron's views on the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and data integrity are under examination, particularly regarding claims of manipulated job numbers [3][4]
Trump Nominee Stephen Miran: ‘I Intend to Preserve’ Fed’s Independence | WSJ News
WSJ News· 2025-09-04 15:16
Monetary Policy & Central Bank Role - The central bank's most important job is to prevent depressions and hyperinflations [1] - Independence of monetary policy is critical for the central bank's success [1] - The Federal Open Market Committee is an independent group with a monumental task [2] Mandates & Responsibilities - The role will be carried out pursuant to the mandates assigned by Congress [2] - Opinions and decisions will be based on analysis of the macroeconomy and what's best for its long-term stewardship [2] - The intention is to preserve independence and serve the American people to the best of ability [2]