Bitcoin, Ethereum Settle In, But Signs Point to Volatility Ahead: Analysis► https://t.co/N4gkHeeT9f https://t.co/N4gkHeeT9f ...

Bitcoin Bollinger Bandwidth on the monthly timeframe is at the tightest levels ever.HUGE VOLATILITY AHEAD! https://t.co/l9Oyf78TEb ...

The seasonality aspect is something we talk about post Labor Day a lot because since the 1950s it has been depending on time frame either the worst or one of the worst. If you juxtapose that with all of the market catalyst that we are anticipating for the coming few weeks. Do we think this is a weaker setup that deserves paying more attention to this time around.Uh I think most likely yes. I mean you know why do we have that seasonality. People people go away they go on vacation.They take a few weeks and th ...

Group 1 - ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (BATS: SVXY) is characterized as a high-risk investment due to the complexities of volatility in capital markets [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding market sentiment and the psychological aspects of investing [2] Group 2 - The author has extensive experience in the freight forwarding industry, which contributes to a unique perspective on investment opportunities [2] - The approach to investment is often contrarian, focusing on thorough due diligence to provide timely and relevant information [2]

“Bitcoins volatile!”So is your house you just can’t check the price.So are your dollars but they only go down.So are stocks you stupid piece of shit.Kill yourself. ...

Market Volatility & Economic Data - The market may experience increased volatility if economic data significantly surprises to the upside or downside, especially given equity valuations predicated on substantial Fed easing [2] - Hedge funds' significant short positions on the VIX suggest a widespread expectation of continued complacency in the market [1] Interest Rate Expectations - The market has priced in approximately five rate cuts by the July meeting, while inflation uncertainty remains [2] - The market is heavily invested in expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, influenced by Jerome Powell's comments at Jackson Hole [4] - The likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in September, or even a potential 50 basis point cut, depends on the magnitude of the miss or beat in upcoming payrolls and labor market data [7] Labor Market Analysis - Last month's payrolls data indicated a more precarious labor market due to significant downward revisions [6] - The key labor market indicators this week, including the payrolls print, will guide the September cut and further decisions [7] - Consensus expects approximately 100,000 job gains in August, with focus on the unemployment rate, currently at 42% [9] - An increase in the unemployment rate to 44%, especially amid immigration restrictions, is a key gauge closely monitored by the Fed [10] - Given revisions, the ADP print may be a more accurate gauge than the BLS data, potentially shifting market attention [11]

#Bitcoin ready to break upwards?Slight sweep of the low and a quick bounce. Again, I think that we're going to keep the volatility.September is usually a bad month, in that case, I'd be looking at $100-103K. https://t.co/8WwQdneQUi ...

Be prepared.Coming few days are going to be volatile.$WLFI is going to go live. It will probably be a fantastic launch, but it will drag the liquidity from other #Altcoins.Going to be fun! ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the **Chinese equity market**, particularly the recent rally in onshore equities and the factors influencing it [8][35]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Drivers of the Rally**: The recent rally in Chinese onshore equities has been primarily supported by: - Domestic retail margin traders - Inflows from foreign retail investors - Speculative investors via CSI 300 futures contracts - Short covering has played a minimal role [8][35]. 2. **Margin Purchases**: The ratio of margin purchases as a share of the free float in the onshore Chinese equity market currently stands at **3.6%**, which is below the local peak of **3.8%** in early April and well below the record high of **6.4%** in 2015 [8][24]. 3. **Market Liquidity**: The rally has likely been amplified by a deterioration in market liquidity conditions in CSI 300 futures, indicating that liquidity issues may have contributed to the price movements [8][35]. 4. **Institutional Investor Activity**: Domestic institutional investors, such as insurance companies, have played a significant role in the rally up until mid-2025 [19]. 5. **ETF Flows**: Onshore ETFs have seen relatively flat overall flows year-to-date, with modest outflows since July. Offshore ETFs have resumed inflows, particularly those tracking broader indices like MSCI China [13]. 6. **Short Interest Trends**: Despite the rally, short interest in Chinese equities has increased modestly, suggesting that short covering has not significantly contributed to the recent price increases [21]. 7. **Leverage Trends**: NYSE margin account leverage continues to drift higher but remains below previous peaks seen in mid-2018 and end-2021 [36]. 8. **Bitcoin Volatility**: Bitcoin's price appears low compared to gold, with its volatility dropping to historically low levels of **30%** from nearly **60%** at the beginning of the year. This decline in volatility is attributed to increased purchases by corporate treasuries [67]. 9. **Corporate Treasury Activity**: Corporate treasuries are increasingly acquiring Bitcoin, with significant purchases reported, such as a **$679 million** acquisition by Kindly MD, which is positioning Bitcoin as a primary treasury reserve asset [70]. 10. **Valuation Implications**: The current volatility ratio of Bitcoin to gold is around **2.0**, indicating that Bitcoin consumes twice as much risk capital as gold. This suggests that Bitcoin's market cap would need to rise by **13%** to match gold on a volatility-adjusted basis [77]. Additional Important Insights - The report highlights the importance of monitoring flows and liquidity conditions as they can significantly impact market dynamics. - The analysis of ETF flows provides insights into investor sentiment and market trends, particularly in the context of Chinese equities and global markets. - The ongoing trends in leverage and corporate treasury activities indicate a shift in how institutional and corporate investors are approaching risk and asset allocation. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, focusing on the Chinese equity market, the dynamics of margin trading, and the implications of corporate treasury activities in the cryptocurrency space.

Market Volatility - August 加密货币期权到期引发了市场波动 [1] - BTC 和 ETH 总计 150 亿美元的名义价值到期 [1]