But as well as these stocks have done or maybe because of it, the question many have, is evaluations gotten out of control. Well, we don't know. But let's ask somebody who does.Aswan is professor of finance at the NYU School of Business. They call him the dean of valuations for a reason. Oswath, great to have you on.Perfect day for it. Have valuations gotten a little bit stupid or are we okay. I think for the last 10 years, we've had this conversation over and over again.Markets reach a new high. >> We say ...

Can’t make this shit up 😂Alana Levin (@AlanaDLevin):Breaking: company with revenue model significantly harmed by lower interest rates up nearly 10% on news that the Fed might lower interest rates https://t.co/YrJvsoVq2v ...

Economic Outlook - The Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech addresses the shifting balance of risks, potentially warranting adjustments to the policy stance [1] - The labor market's unusual balance, resulting from slowing supply and demand for workers, suggests rising downside risks to employment [2] - Labor Department revisions in job growth figures for May and June altered the perception of the labor market's strength [3] Inflation and Tariffs - Tariffs are now feeding into goods prices, with the effects expected to be relatively short-lived, representing a one-time shift in the price level [4] - The impact of tariffs could take months or quarters to filter through the entire supply chain ecosystem [5] - Risks to inflation are tilted to the upside [6] Monetary Policy - A slowing labor market may lead the Fed to cut interest rates [6] - Intense pressure from President Trump and his senior economic advisors urging the Fed to cut interest rates [5]

Stocks surged Friday as investors breathed a huge sigh of relief after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that interest rates could be cut. https://t.co/oeM2wx26d3 ...

Inflation Concerns - Inflation is too high and has been trending higher [2][3] - The current inflation rate puts a real pinch on lower income households [4] - Inflation has been above the target for four years, requiring control [4] Monetary Policy Outlook - The Federal Reserve chair is open-minded about the right policy stance for September [2] - The current economic situation presents a challenging time for monetary policy [3] - Expectation is that inflation may continue to rise, and unemployment may also rise [3] Employment Situation - The employment side is reasonably close to full employment [2] - Employment has been balanced and healthy for the better part of a year [2] - Unemployment has been pretty consistent in the 4% to 43% range [3]

Market Expectations & Fed Policy - The market anticipates a potential rate cut, with initial euphoria possibly waning due to comments from a Fed president and resilient PMI data [2] - Expectations for a September rate cut have decreased to approximately 70% [3] - The market is awaiting Chair Powell's speech at 10:00 a m Eastern time for clarity on the Fed's stance, particularly regarding the labor market and inflation [1][3][4] - The investor community is particularly interested in whether the Fed will prioritize the jobs market over inflation, considering tariff-related price increases as potentially "transitory" [7] Economic Data & Analysis - Despite firming inflation, significant price increases expected from initial tariff deals have not materialized [6] - There have been massive revisions to jobs reports, including a large yearly revision of nearly 1 million jobs earlier in the year [6] - Carson Group's research indicates that historically, if the Fed cuts rates in September, the market tends to be down 1% the following month but up almost 13% the following year [9] Investment Strategies & Recommendations - The analysis suggests diversifying risk portfolios globally, by sector, and by factor, with a potential shift towards value investing [11] - Gold is suggested as a potential hedge against a weakening US dollar, especially as the Fed potentially enters a second phase of easing with GDP running at approximately 2% [12][14] - The expectation is for the Fed to implement a 25 basis points cut, primarily influenced by the labor market [11] Future Outlook - The key question is whether the market's expectation of two rate cuts by 2025 will be met or exceeded [10] - The US debt situation and its impact on the dollar's strength are significant factors influencing investment decisions [13]

ECB officials are increasingly convinced they can keep interest rates unchanged in September https://t.co/53Hcv0LZy7 ...

Bond investors are heading into Friday’s much-anticipated Jerome Powell speech largely expecting the Federal Reserve chair will indicate policymakers will start cutting interest rates next month. https://t.co/J9zuSxzk89 ...

Monetary Policy - The market anticipates Powell's speech to clarify whether the Federal Reserve will ease its monetary policy and reduce interest rates [1] - Interest rates have remained stable between 425% and 450% since December [1]

Market Trends - Cryptocurrency prices, including Bitcoin, experienced a decline [1] - The decline is attributed to Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack's stance against immediate interest rate cuts [1] Monetary Policy Impact - The Federal Reserve's potential decision on interest rates is influencing the cryptocurrency market [1]