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A Smarter Play on Fed Rate Cuts with Cherry Hill Mortgage – Initiation Report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-06 20:30
Core Insights - Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp. (CHMI) is positioned to benefit from anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts through 2026, making it a noteworthy investment opportunity [1][5] Company Overview - Cherry Hill operates as a dual-sleeve strategy REIT, with a portfolio that includes 77% agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and 23% mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) as of Q2 2025 [2] - The business model is sensitive to market interest rate changes, which can impact asset valuation positively in favorable conditions [3] Risk Management - Cherry Hill actively manages interest rate risks by utilizing a natural hedging relationship between MSRs and RMBS to mitigate volatility [3] Financial Performance - The company has fully internalized its operating structure, aiming for better alignment between management incentives and shareholder interests, which is expected to lead to annualized cost savings [4] - Cherry Hill anticipates core earnings growth from $12.1 million in 2024 to $20.2 million in 2026, supported by a strong dividend yield of 16.2% [4] Market Opportunities - With the Fed's first rate cut initiated for 2025, further cuts are expected, which will lower borrowing costs, improve refinancing costs, and enhance asset valuations for Cherry Hill [5] - Currently, Cherry Hill trades at a discount across several key valuation metrics, presenting an opportunity for investors before broader market recognition [5]
Market outlook for October: Can the rally keep going amid the government shutdown?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-04 02:34
Yahoo Finance speaks with market insiders about the outlook for stocks and Fed rate cuts in October amid the US government shutdown. #youtube #stocks #investing About Yahoo Finance: Yahoo Finance provides free stock ticker data, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, comprehensive market data, advanced tools, and more information to help you manage your financial life. - Get the latest news and data at finance.yahoo.com - Download the Yahoo Finance app on Apple (https://apple.co/3Rten0R) or Androi ...
Small cap earnings recession is over, says Citi's Chronert
CNBC Television· 2025-10-02 17:58
Uh the S&P 500 and NASDAQ hitting new highs uh this morning as the government shutdown is in its second day. Our next guest says the deadlock in Washington doesn't change his overall strategy, but he did make some moves uh for Q4, including lowering communication services to a market weight from overweight for the first time since 2023. Joining us now is Scott Croner, US equity strategist at City.Uh Scott, great to have you on here. So big picture, it feels as if I mean the constructive forces remain in pla ...
Gold Drops as Dollar Gains, Investors Take Profits After Rally
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-02 16:20
Gold retreated as the dollar pushed higher and investors booked profits after a five-day rally that saw it reach fresh records. Traders also sought clues on the US economy as the government shutdown delayed key data. In the absence of a weekly initial jobless claims report from the government, data from a private outplacement firm got more attention than usual. US employers dialed back hiring plans in September and announced fewer job cuts, according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Mos ...
"No News is Good News" for Now, Fed Commentary Under Watch Without Ecodata
Youtube· 2025-10-02 14:35
Economic Data and Market Reactions - The government shutdown has delayed key economic data releases, including jobless claims and the non-farm payroll (NFP) report, leading to increased focus on Federal Reserve commentary [1][2][4] - Market participants are anticipating Fed rate cuts, with over a 95% chance perceived for this month, as labor market weakness is expected to push equity markets higher [5][7] - The Challenger job cuts report showed a year-over-year drop of 25.8%, indicating a deceleration in layoffs, with reported job cuts at 54,064, significantly lower than the previous month's 85,975 [14][15] Federal Reserve Commentary - Fed members, including Logan and Goulsby, are expected to provide insights on alternative data sets due to the lack of official reports, with a focus on the ADP report and PMI data [3][11][12] - The ADP report indicated a loss of 63,000 jobs in the Midwest, reflecting a potential disconnect with the upcoming BLS data due to adjustments [9][16] - The Fed is likely to discuss the implications of the current labor market trends and their impact on inflation and economic outlook [10][11] Commodity Market Insights - Oil demand remains weak globally, with prices influenced by supply-side factors such as disruptions in Russian oil exports and refinery outages in the U.S. [21][22] - China's recent behavior of importing crude oil for storage rather than consumption suggests a weakening demand picture in the near term [22] - Seasonal trends typically lead to pricing weakness in oil and petroleum products during winter, but geopolitical risks, particularly related to Ukraine, could create upward pressure on prices [23][24]
Markets React to Trump Policy Shifts
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-01 20:48
Market Trends & Sentiment - Despite anxieties around government shutdowns and trade deals, Nvidia and Micron are at record highs, indicating continued allocation to the AI trade [1] - Tech stocks, particularly big tech in the US, remain attractive to investors seeking solid trades [3] - Optimism surrounding potential Federal Reserve rate cuts is supporting the tech sector [3] - There's a pull from the US into tech stocks in Europe, showing encouraging signs for the European tech sector [4][5] Policy & Geopolitics - US administration policy is a central part of how markets are responding and affecting sentiment [7] - The market's response to policy announcements is more relaxed compared to the beginning of the previous administration [8][9] - The US government may proactively seek stakes in sectors and companies, potentially to enhance competitiveness against countries like China [10] - Taiwan rejects a US demand to bring 50% of semiconductor manufacturing into the United States, impacting trade negotiations and the technology sector [6] Valuation & Risk - High valuations are noted, but it's crucial to focus on earnings season and forward guidance [11][12] - The market is considered overstretched in some areas, but a big collapse is not necessarily expected; consolidation is possible [13] - Positive earnings reports in the coming months and further Federal Reserve interest rate cuts could catalyze another leg higher [13]
Markets React to Trump Policy Shifts
Youtube· 2025-10-01 20:29
We talk about anxiety in the market, we talk about a government shutdown. We worry about maybe the push and pull of trade deals, whether it's with Taiwan, whether it's with South Korea, and yet it is at a record high today. Micron's at a record high today.Fiona, do you just keep on allocating to the trade. It feels like it's that way. I mean, whilst we are seeing pockets of safe haven demand, so obviously we've seen gold trading at record high.We've seen the Japanese yen is strengthening against the US doll ...
X @Decrypt
Decrypt· 2025-09-29 17:35
Government shutdown threat could delay jobs data Bitcoin traders need to predict Fed rate cuts, spiking crypto volatility this week.Read more: https://t.co/HsdStVK6fD ...
Stocks Supported by Hopes of Additional Fed Rate Cuts
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-29 14:03
Rising corporate earnings expectations are a bullish backdrop for stocks. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, more than 22% of companies in the S&P 500 provided guidance for their Q3 earnings results that are expected to beat analysts’ expectations, the highest in a year. Also, S&P companies are expected to post +6.9% earnings growth in Q3, up from +6.7% as of the end of May.A potential negative factor for market sentiment is the likelihood that the US government will shut down on Wednesday if lawmakers fa ...