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X @Arkham
Arkham· 2026-02-05 14:38
DID YOU GET LIQUIDATED?Liquidation is one of the fastest ways to wipe out a trading account. High leverage, or poor risk management, can force positions closed in seconds.Our research team wrote a guide on how liquidations work, why they happen, and how traders can manage their risk. Check it out: ...
Itau Unibanco S.A.(ITUB) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-05 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consolidated net income for 2025 reached BRL 46.8 billion, doubling the value created compared to 2021, with a significant increase in ROE from 19.3% in 2021 to 23.4% [8][9] - The efficiency ratio improved from 44% to 38.8%, indicating a strong focus on cost management and operational efficiency [8][9] - The company distributed BRL 105 billion in cash dividends, resulting in a payout ratio of 57.9% [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The loan portfolio grew by 40% during the period, with a significant de-risking of certain portfolios to enhance quality [6][7] - In retail banking, the migration of 15 million clients to the Super App resulted in an NPS of 80 points, reflecting improved client experience [12] - The corporate segment achieved BRL 1 trillion in transaction volume in acquiring, maintaining market leadership in credit and acquiring [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a 26% market share in wholesale banking, with BRL 124 billion in originated transactions [16] - In the insurance segment, recurring results increased by 130%, indicating strong growth prospects [13][14] - The bank's total shareholder return over the past five years has been outstanding, demonstrating its ability to deliver value [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes client centricity, risk management, and capital allocation as key pillars of its management model [3][4] - A significant investment in technology and digital transformation has been made to enhance operational scalability and efficiency [5][6] - The company aims to maintain a long-term perspective while optimizing its business model and service delivery [39] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the potential of ongoing technological advancements and the centralized data architecture [5] - The company anticipates a dynamic environment in 2026, with expected GDP growth of 1.9% and a year-end Selic rate of 12.75% [48][49] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong capital base to navigate potential volatility in the market [52] Other Important Information - The company achieved a 99% reduction in incidents due to its modernization agenda, significantly enhancing operational efficiency [11] - The bank's delivery speed increased by 2,600%, showcasing a transformational shift in service delivery [11] - The company plans to continue investing in technology and digitalization to enhance client service and operational efficiency [64] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can the bank maintain ROI at 24%-25%? - Management indicated that they are optimistic about maintaining profitability levels close to those observed in 2025, but they do not provide long-term ROI guidance [54][55] Question: Will there be a review of leverage? - Management acknowledged the importance of maintaining a strong capital base and indicated that discussions about leverage are ongoing, but no immediate changes are expected [56][60] Question: How will efficiency improvements impact future performance? - Management confirmed that investments in technology and operational efficiency are expected to yield significant benefits, leading to a more streamlined cost structure [61][63]
ServiceNow: AI Demand Soars While Investors Fear The Wrong Risk
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-05 11:56
Group 1 - ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW) stock is facing pressure along with the overall software sector due to investor concerns about AI technology potentially rendering software solutions obsolete across companies [1] - ServiceNow asserts that its software solutions are enhanced with AI capabilities, positioning itself as a leader in the evolving software landscape [1]
X @Binance
Binance· 2026-02-05 08:00
Proactive protection at scale.In 2025, Binance's risk measures and proactive controls prevented $6.69 billion in potential fraud and scam losses, protecting over 5.4 million users from bad actors.Read more 👉https://t.co/e4XtQK2kYC https://t.co/pQuqmtHWUX ...
X @Mayne
Mayne· 2026-02-04 23:51
RT Breakout (@breakoutprop)The small account trap:You want to trade BTC. The setup is there.But 1% risk on a $2,000 account is $20.Even if you're right, the win doesn't move the needle.So you do one of two things:1. Trade shitcoins because that's the only way the math works2. Overleverage BTC and hope it doesn't stop you outNeither is a real strategy. Both are symptoms of not having enough capital.With a $50k funded account, 1% risk is $500.You can trade majors with proper sizing and let winners develop.The ...
X @Ivan on Tech 🍳📈💰
Follow the trendAnd BULLMANIA will come into your lifeDarius Dale (@DariusDale42):I hope this latest 40% plunge in Bitcoin teaches you that "HODL'ing" is merely a marketing tool used by everyone who bought a lot of Bitcoin before you and not an effective risk management strategy.We'll be here when you're ready to take your financial future seriously: https://t.co/wcAC8XyOM2 ...
Bitmine Immersion: Extreme Fear, Asymmetric Setup
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 15:22
Core Insights - Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. (BMNR) has experienced a significant decline of 43% since the last coverage, attributed to weakness in the broader cryptocurrency market, particularly with Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin (BTC) also showing downward trends [1]. Company Performance - The company's stock performance is closely tied to the overall cryptocurrency market dynamics, indicating a high correlation with major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Bitcoin [1]. Investment Strategy - The investment approach focuses on identifying high-potential opportunities with an asymmetric risk-reward profile, aiming for a minimum upside potential of 3-5 times the downside risk [1]. - Emphasis is placed on leveraging market inefficiencies and contrarian insights to maximize long-term compounding while safeguarding against capital impairment [1]. - A 2-3 year investment horizon is adopted to endure market volatility, highlighting the importance of patience, discipline, and intelligent capital allocation for achieving superior returns over time [1].
CME Group(CME) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - CME Group achieved record revenues of $6.5 billion in 2025, a 6% increase compared to 2024, with annual revenue records in five out of six asset classes [11] - Adjusted net income for 2025 was $4.1 billion, resulting in a 9% growth in adjusted earnings per share [11] - Average daily volume increased by 6% to 2,128.1 million contracts, marking the fifth consecutive year of record volume [5][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Market data revenue surpassed $800 million for the first time, up 13% from 2024 [11] - Average daily margin savings for customers reached $80 billion, an increase of approximately $20 billion over the past year [6] - Retail-focused products saw significant growth, with microproducts up 59% in Q4 to a record 4.4 million contracts per day [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International business averaged 8.4 million contracts per day, up 8% from the previous record set in 2024 [5] - Average daily volume in cryptocurrency trading reached 379,000, up 92% in Q4, representing over $13 billion in notional value traded per day [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - CME Group is focused on expanding its customer base through innovative products, including event contracts and 24/7 trading for cryptocurrency [8][10] - The company received approval for CME Securities Clearing, set to launch later this year, enhancing capital efficiencies for clients [7] - CME Group aims to continuously evolve its product offerings, requiring strategic investments for growth [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the health of the customer base, noting growth in both retail and institutional segments [18][19] - The company remains focused on providing premier risk management tools to navigate a complex macro landscape [10] - Management is encouraged by strong activity in early 2026, indicating a solid foundation for continued growth [101] Other Important Information - CME Group repurchased $256 million in shares during Q4 and an additional $276 million in 2026 [12] - The board approved the use of OSTTRA proceeds for share repurchases over time [12] - The company plans to evaluate transaction fees regularly, moving away from annual consolidated changes [13][39] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Health of customer base amid volatility - Management indicated that the customer base is healthy, with open positions around 125 million and significant growth in silver contracts despite margin changes [18][19] Question: Engagement with prediction markets - Management noted increased interest from new individual participants and institutional market makers in prediction markets since the launch [25][26] Question: Pricing changes and transparency - Management explained that pricing changes will be made based on business performance rather than a fixed schedule, allowing for more flexibility [44] Question: Progress on Google Cloud migration - The migration is on track, with $29 million spent in Q4 and around $100 million for the year related to cloud expenses [76][77] Question: Tokenized collateral and its implications - Management is exploring tokenized cash initiatives and will assess the risk associated with accepting different types of tokens for margin [82] Question: Cross-margining programs and collateral balances - CME Group's cross-margining program is operationally ready, with significant savings generated for participating firms, and the company anticipates further growth in collateral balances with new offerings [89][94]
CME Group(CME) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - CME Group achieved record revenue of $6.5 billion in 2025, a 6% increase compared to 2024, with annual revenue records in five out of six asset classes [10] - Adjusted net income for 2025 was $4.1 billion, resulting in a 9% growth in adjusted earnings per share [10] - In Q4 2025, revenue reached $1.65 billion, an 8% increase from Q4 2024 [10][11] - Average daily volume increased 6% to 2,128.1 million contracts, marking the fifth consecutive year of record volume [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Market data revenue surpassed $800 million for the first time, up 13% from 2024 [10] - Average daily margin savings for customers reached $80 billion, an increase of approximately $20 billion over the past year [5] - Microproducts saw a 59% increase in Q4 to a record 4.4 million contracts per day [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - International business averaged 8.4 million contracts per day, up 8% from the previous record set in 2024 [4] - Cryptocurrency trading volume in Q4 averaged 379,000 contracts, up 92%, representing over $13 billion in notional value traded per day [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - CME Group is focused on expanding its customer base through innovative products, including event contracts and 24/7 trading for cryptocurrencies [6][9] - The company received approval for CME Securities Clearing, set to launch in 2026, enhancing capital efficiencies for clients [5] - CME Group aims to continuously evolve its product offerings, requiring strategic investments for growth [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the health of the customer base, noting growth in both retail and institutional segments [18] - The macro landscape is becoming increasingly complex, but CME Group remains focused on providing premier risk management tools [9] - Strong activity in January 2026 indicates continued momentum from the record-setting year [9] Other Important Information - CME Group repurchased $256 million in shares during Q4 and an additional $276 million in 2026 [11] - The company paid dividends of approximately $3.9 billion in 2025 [12] - Transaction fee changes are expected to increase total revenue by approximately 1%-1.5% on similar activity to 2025 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Health of customer base amid volatility - Management indicated that the customer base is healthy, with open positions around 125 million and strong performance in silver despite margin changes [17][18] Question: Engagement with prediction markets - CME Group has seen new individual participants and institutional market makers interested in prediction markets since the launch [25][26] Question: Pricing changes and transparency - Management stated that pricing changes will be made based on business performance rather than a fixed schedule, allowing for flexibility [44] Question: Google Cloud migration progress - Migration is on track, with $29 million spent in Q4 and approximately $100 million for the year related to Google Cloud [78] Question: Tokenized collateral and its implications - CME Group is exploring tokenized cash initiatives and will assess the risk associated with different types of tokens before acceptance [84][85] Question: Cross-margining programs and collateral balances - CME Group's cross-margining program is operationally ready, with significant savings generated for participating firms [90][96]
Enact (ACT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-04 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the full year 2025, the company reported adjusted operating income of $688 million or $4.61 per diluted share, with a year-end adjusted book value per share increasing by 11% to $37.87 [4][12] - In Q4 2025, adjusted operating income was $179 million or $1.23 per diluted share, compared to $1.09 per diluted share in the same period last year [12][14] - Adjusted return on equity for Q4 was 13.5% [7][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New insurance written in Q4 was $14 billion, up 2% sequentially and 8% year-over-year [13] - The primary insurance in force reached $273 billion in Q4, up $1 billion from Q3 2025 and $4 billion year-over-year [14] - Operating expenses for Q4 were $59 million, with an expense ratio of 24%, compared to $53 million and 22% in Q3 2025 [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Persistency was 80% in Q4, down 3 points sequentially and 2 points year-over-year [13] - The risk-weighted average FICO score of the insurance in-force portfolio was 746, with a risk-weighted average loan-to-value ratio of 93% [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined capital allocation, supporting existing policyholders, and investing in business growth while returning excess capital to shareholders [9][10] - The company plans to return approximately $500 million to shareholders in 2026, supported by a strong capital position and effective risk management [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the uncertain macro environment and highlighted strong long-term housing demand driven by demographic trends [23] - The company remains engaged with policymakers regarding housing affordability and supply constraints, indicating a proactive approach to evolving regulatory environments [31][32] Other Important Information - The company received multiple credit ratings upgrades and industry awards, reflecting its commitment to excellence and employee experience [6][7] - The PMIER sufficiency ratio was 162%, providing significant financial flexibility [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital return guidance for 2026 - Management is confident in delivering $500 million back to shareholders but will evaluate market dynamics and business performance throughout the year [25][26] Question: Regulatory environment concerns - Management is actively engaged with policymakers on various topics, including affordability and inventory challenges, and is monitoring potential regulatory changes [30][32] Question: Mortgage market expectations for 2026 - The company anticipates a 10%-15% increase in mortgage insurance market size based on external forecasts, with a focus on purchase originations [33][34] Question: Default rates and delinquency trends - Management expects new delinquencies to moderate, with current levels in line with expectations and historical patterns [36][38] Question: Performance of new book years - Recent book years are performing in line with pricing expectations, with no significant negative variations noted [42][44] Question: Areas of heightened risk - Management is monitoring housing markets with increased supply and declining prices, particularly in certain states, to manage risk effectively [46][47]