Market Overview - The market is experiencing significant volatility, with major averages down more than 1% following reports from Alphabet and Qualcomm, indicating a "tummy tester" scenario for investors [1][2] - Consumer staples and utilities are showing resilience, with consumer staples performing higher on the day [2] Johnson & Johnson - Johnson & Johnson has shown strong performance year-to-date, up approximately 15%, and is considered a defensive holding amidst market volatility [4][5] - The stock is maintaining upward momentum, with technical indicators suggesting further upside potential [5][12] - Key price levels to watch include 220, 225, and a recent high of 239.58, with an RSI of 85.8 indicating strong momentum [9][10] Exxon Mobil - Exxon Mobil is also experiencing upward momentum, benefiting from a rotation in the energy sector and recent earnings reports [13][15] - The stock has shown a notable breakout, with key price levels between 117 to 120 acting as previous resistance [17] - A risk reversal trade is suggested, involving selling a 135 put and buying a 155 call, allowing for potential upside capture while providing a cushion against weakness [22] Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola is adapting its product lineup to align with consumer preferences, positioning itself well within the consumer staples sector [24][25] - The stock is expected to maintain upward momentum, with a similar technical setup to Exxon Mobil, characterized by a narrow upward channel [26][28] - A call spread trade is proposed, buying a 77.5 call and selling an 85 call, which defines risk while allowing for upside capture [32][34]

Core Viewpoint - Nacco Industries (NC) is experiencing significant growth, with a market capitalization of $412 million and a strong performance in the natural resources sector, including aggregates, minerals, fuels, and environmental solutions [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - NC stock has increased by over 70% in the past year and is currently trading at a new 3-year high of $56.29, achieved on February 4 [7][5]. - The stock has shown robust technical momentum, with a 100% "Buy" opinion from Barchart and a recent price of $53.17, compared to a 50-day moving average of $48.42 [8]. - Since the Trend Seeker issued a "Buy" signal on January 22, shares have risen by 8.26% [2]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - Nacco has a Weighted Alpha of +80.99 and a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72.93, indicating strong upward momentum [8]. - The stock has made 9 new highs and is up 16.18% over the past month, with a technical support level around $52.41 [8]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Individual investors are optimistic about NC, viewing its recent results as a compelling buying opportunity, with 344 investors on Motley Fool believing it will outperform the market [7][10]. - Value Line rates the stock as "Above Average," while CFRA's MarketScope rates it a "Sell," and Morningstar considers it 19% overvalued [10]. - Short interest in the stock is low at 0.25% of the float, with 2.05 days to cover [10].

Michael Burry, the investor who anticipated the 2008 mortgage crisis, issued a stark warning on February 5 about Bitcoin : the cryptocurrency could be replicating the 2021-2022 collapse pattern, which would imply an additional drop toward $50,000 or even lower. Burry posted on X a comparative chart with the simple message “$BTC Patterns,” where he draws structural similarities between the current drop—from $126,000 to $70,000—and the previous brutal plunge that took Bitcoin from $35,000 to below $20,000. ...

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns, indicating a systematic approach to technical analysis [1]

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is currently in a critical phase of finding its balance after experiencing significant volatility, with recent gains in gold and silver not indicating the end of adjustments [1][3] Market Analysis - Gold has rebounded approximately 20% from its low on Monday, but still has a 12% decline compared to last week's historical high, while silver has dropped 29% from its peak despite a rapid rebound [1][3] - The current buying momentum appears to be a "counter-trend rebound," suggesting that the market's clearing process may be more complex than investors expect due to previously crowded positions and excessive momentum [1][3] Macroeconomic Factors - The recent weakness in the US dollar index may have been overvalued by the market, as data shows the US economy is slowing less than expected, leading to a cooling of optimistic sentiment regarding aggressive rate cuts [2][4] - If the dollar rebounds in the short term, it will create upward pressure on precious metals priced in dollars [2][4] Technical Analysis - Gold is currently operating within a short-term ascending wedge, which typically signals a continuation of bearish trends rather than a rebound, with significant supply accumulated in the $5000 to $5100 range, making it susceptible to selling pressure [2][4] - Key support levels to watch are $4900 and $4800; if gold breaks below $4800, it may test deeper support at $4500 [2][4] - The market is in a fragile "bottom testing" phase, and without new geopolitical tensions or a shift in monetary policy, gold is unlikely to initiate a new upward impulse [2][4] Investment Strategy - Investors in gold should shift from seeking capital gains to cautious risk management, emphasizing patience until a true market bottom is confirmed rather than blindly attempting to buy the dip [2][4]

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A key criterion for stock selection is insider buying after a sell-off, which may indicate confidence in the company's future performance [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and assess potential motivations [1]

Core Viewpoint - US Foods (USFD) is experiencing strong growth and positive market sentiment, reflected in its stock performance and technical indicators [2][7]. Group 1: Company Overview - US Foods is valued at $18.64 billion and operates as a foodservice distributor serving various sectors including independent and multi-unit restaurants, healthcare, hospitality, government, and educational institutions [1]. - The company has achieved a new all-time high stock price of $86.35, with a recent 5-year high of $88.32 [5][8]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - US Foods has a 100% "Buy" opinion from Barchart, indicating strong technical momentum [7][8]. - The stock has gained 20.61% over the past 52 weeks and 16.13% over the past month, with a current Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 64.65 [8]. - The stock maintains a Trend Seeker "Buy" signal, and the technical support level is around $85.51 [8]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow by 4.36% this year and an additional 6.23% next year [8]. - Earnings are estimated to increase by 25.13% this year and an additional 19.35% next year [9]. - The trailing price-earnings ratio for US Foods is 24.31x, reflecting its valuation relative to earnings [8].

Core Viewpoint - Bloom Energy Corp's shares experienced a significant decline after reaching an all-time high, as investors await a critical earnings report that may not meet expectations [1][2]. Stock Performance - The stock surged 6.83% to $166.79 on Tuesday, marking an all-time high, but fell 18.51% to $137.71 on Wednesday [2][6]. - The stock's current price action indicates a mixed momentum with a neutral RSI of 69.16 and a bullish MACD [5]. Earnings Expectations - Analysts expect earnings per share (EPS) of 24 cents for the upcoming report, a decline from 43 cents year-over-year [3]. - Revenue is projected to be $646.84 million, an increase from $572.39 million in the same period last year [3]. Recent Performance - The company has shown strong execution, beating estimates in four consecutive quarters with an average EPS surprise of 1.8% [4]. - In the most recent quarter, Bloom Energy reported an EPS of 15 cents, exceeding the estimate of 5 cents, and revenue of $519.05 million, surpassing expectations of $420.79 million [4]. Analyst Consensus - The stock holds a Hold Rating with an average price target of $79.81 [6]. - Recent analyst actions include a neutral rating from Roth Capital with a target raised to $133, a Buy initiation from China Renaissance with a target of $207, and an Equal-Weight initiation from Barclays with a target of $153 [6].

Tuesday afternoon, a friend from central Nebraska called with a market question, but rather than corn, soybeans, cattle, and so on, he asked about coffee. Tuesday's close saw the market sharply in the red (per pound): March (KCH26) was down 16.15 cents (4.9%) May (KCK26) was down 14.15 cents (4.5%) July (KCN26) was down 12.85 cents (4.2%) We can see commercial interests were selling alongside noncommercial traders, as indicated by nearby contracts listing ground to deferred issues Keeping in ...

Gold bugs and silver bulls had a lot to cheer about this year... until last week. The surprise decision by President Donald Trump to nominate inflation hawk Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman sparked a rally in the U.S. Dollar, putting the kibosh on the gold and silver rally. The drop was so bad that silver's decline was the worst since 1980, when the Hunt brothers' attempt to corner the silver market was derailed by a ratcheting of margin requirements higher (sound familiar?), Blondie's "Call Me" was to ...