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Welcome back to Squawkbox right here on CNBC. Bitcoin down more than 22% in a month. Joining us right now is Anthony Poniano.He's the founder and CEO of Professional Capital Management. Pomp, we need to understand sort of where where you stand on all this. Also, I should say there's been a a bigger even uh fall in some of the other cryptocurrencies, but you've been a Bitcoin man.So, um where do you see the floor at this point and where do you see the upside. >> Yeah. Well, let's put this all in context real ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin has experienced a significant decline of over 22% in the past month, with other cryptocurrencies facing even larger drops [1] - The volatility of Bitcoin is a well-known characteristic, with historical data showing 21 instances of 30% or more drawdowns over the last decade, including seven instances of 50% or more [2] - The current market sentiment is influenced by new investors from Wall Street who are less accustomed to such volatility, leading to increased fear and potential selling pressure as year-end bonuses approach [3] Market Dynamics - The recent 35% drawdown from Bitcoin's all-time high is viewed as a healthy reset, raising questions about whether this will lead to a larger bear market or a return to previous highs [4][5] - Bitcoin's volatility has reportedly decreased, with drawdowns now expected to be around 40% instead of the historical 80%, suggesting a potential shift in market behavior [6][7] - The fear and greed index for Bitcoin is at a notably low level, indicating that the market may not remain in this fearful state for long, potentially leading to sideways movement before a gradual recovery [8][11] Leverage and Market Sentiment - Increased leverage in the Bitcoin market was noted prior to significant liquidations, but the current environment is seen as more normalized, reducing the risk of extreme downside movements [9][10] - The fear and greed index serves as a strong indicator of market sentiment, with extremely low values suggesting a lack of high leverage and a potential bottoming of prices [11] Long-term Outlook - The long-term growth potential for Bitcoin remains strong, with historical performance showing a 240x increase over the last decade, translating to a 70% compound annual growth rate [14] - Future expectations suggest a more moderate growth rate of 20-35% annually over the next decade, which could still outperform equities [15] - Bitcoin is expected to maintain its dominance in the cryptocurrency market, with its unique position as a store of value attracting significant capital inflows [17][18]

has there ever been a crypto meltdown that wasn't caused by leverage and/or an exchange? ...

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Where is the leverage that we should be worried about if we should be at all. Do you worry about private credit and how connected that is to the banking system or not. >> Um I think we have a a challenge in private markets.If you're looking at the private equity markets, >> okay, >> they have a bunch of problems. Um in other words, can't sell deals, uh pricing of deals, returns and so on. Can't get cash out of them.And then of also um you're looking at venture >> venture is having uh problems >> and um a lo ...

stream finance's $93m recursive leverage implosion took ethena's usde from $14.8b to $8.1b in pure guilt by association. stream was printing fake yield through leverage loops. ethena captures real funding rates through delta-neutral positions. market can't tell the difference so usde supply dropped 45%. same panic that sold luna contagion into maker at $400 ...

Bitcoin derivatives market forming 'dangerous' setup as hopes of a swift bounce fuel rapid leverage climb: K33 https://t.co/VafJhHiBnN ...

The rally in crypto prices this year was boosted by a large heap of debt, with traders using leverage to amplify their gains. Now the dangers of those bets are becoming apparent. https://t.co/4erW01kK8R ...

By Mike Dolan - What matters in U.S. and global markets today By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets Persistent tech sector valuation and leverage jitters, a deepening crypto drawdown and trepidation ahead of Nvidia's quarterly results all stoked the highest volatility in a month on Wall Street. The main U.S. equity indexes swung back and ​forth intraday on Monday but ended almost 1% in the red, and futures remained lower ahead of Tuesday's bell. The VIX "fear index" of S&P500 implied vola ...