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X @mert | helius.dev
mert | helius.dev· 2025-06-28 19:05
it's also completely backwardsthe reason these people save is because they are pessimistic of the future — so they must keep whatever they canthe reason they're pessimistic of the future is because of the lack of growth opportunitiesthe reason for the lack of growth is because the bureaucracy punishes risk taking entrepreneurs on several cultural, financial, and regulatory dimensions ...
摩根士丹利:印度经济-政策推动助力增长
摩根· 2025-06-27 02:04
June 23, 2025 12:53 AM GMT India Economics – Macro Indicators Chartbook | Asia Pacific Policy Impetus to Bolster Growth Growth indicators exhibit a modest recovery led by domestic demand. Macro stability indicators have improved, increasing flexibility for policy makers. Uncertainty from external conditions continues to weigh on growth, even as India appears better placed on a relative basis. 1) Growth – uneven recovery: High-frequency data in May suggest a mixed trend across indicators, with ones such as G ...
How Trump's tax bill impacts markets, plus how a GOP accounting move hides trillions
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-26 23:40
The Congressional Budget Office, known in your hood as the CBO, estimated that the GOP's tax bill will increase the deficit by $2.4% trillion over the next 10 years. University of Pennsylvania's Wharton budget model estimates that estimates that it could increase by as much as $4.3% trillion with the Senate and House hoping to have a finished version of the tax bill ready by July 4th. This could be the next big piece of economic data.I want to bring in Brett Ryan, Deutschbank's senior US economist. And stil ...
Allianz's Mohamed El-Erian weighs the economic impact on Trump replacing Fed Chair Powell
CNBC Television· 2025-06-26 17:52
Let's bring in Muhammad Ali. Muhammad is gonna have a few thoughts on this for sure. Alian's chief economic adviser, Muhammad.And here's the thing with the president's um kind of furer at Powell who is is not being very dovish right now. And and we've seen this with Supreme Court picks as well. You know, you think you're getting a conservative and you know, so is the president going to go out of his way to get someone who he thinks is going to be Look at everyone he's appointed to his cabinet the second tim ...
Rep. Chris Roy: Senate tax bill 'needs to improve' before it comes back to the House
CNBC Television· 2025-06-26 12:42
Fiscal Policy & Deficit Concerns - The industry emphasizes the importance of avoiding tax increases for Americans [3] - The industry expresses concern that the Senate bill could add up to $1 trillion of additional deficits [5] - The industry believes deficits should go down to combat inflation and lower interest rates [8] - The industry highlights the need for more cost savings to combat inflation and lower interest rates [12] - The industry notes that the House bill assumed 26% economic growth and aimed to be roughly break-even, with a potential $72 billion increase in deficits over a decade [4] Welfare & Work Requirements - The industry advocates for work requirements for those receiving benefits like Medicaid and food stamps [15] - The industry aims to return to the common sense welfare reform of the 1990s [16] - The industry points out that Medicaid benefits are projected to increase by 30% over the next 10 years under the proposed bill [19] - The industry wants to ensure that food stamp dollars are redirected to those who most need them with appropriate eligibility checks [20] Energy Policy - The industry opposes subsidizing inefficient energy that enriches the Chinese [6] - The industry wants to terminate the Green New Deal subsidies [5][8] State and Local Tax Caps - The industry opposes rewarding blue state high tax jurisdictions with a big pop to the state and local tax caps, which could cost another $350 billion [17]
A broadening of the market is beginning, says Dynamic Funds' Noah Blackstein
CNBC Television· 2025-06-26 12:09
joining us now with more on the markets, Noah Blackstein, Dynamic Funds, senior portfolio manager. Uh, no, we u, you know, we looked into the abyss when we I think the S&P got down to God, was it 4,800. I don't know where it was.We're we're almost all the way back to new highs. More new highs or now we look around and say, "Okay, what do we do?" Um, we're back to where we started the year basically up a little. We're up just a little.I mean from from the abyss we're up a lot obviously but um you know just f ...
Not sure why the markets are leaning into a Fed rate cut so much, says BMO's Carol Schleif
CNBC Television· 2025-06-25 11:26
S&P as we've noted, is less than 1% from an all time high. Joining us now Carol Schleiff, BMO, BMO Private Wealth Chief Market Strategist the. Carol, it's good to see you the way the way that the journal I like summarized what Powell told lawmakers yesterday.It's kind of indicative of I think what we're talking about, he said, yeah, recent economic data would have likely justified some cuts, good cuts, I think because of inflation, not necessarily for because of bad reasons for weakness. However, higher tar ...
US strikes precise; markets muted as investors eye growth, wary of Iran risks
CNBC Television· 2025-06-23 12:04
morning. Thank you for joining us. Michael.If you don't mind, I'm going to begin with you. What do you just make of that social media post from the president over the weekend calling or kind of talking about potential regime change in Iran. And also based on reports, how effective do you think these U.S. Strikes really were.>> Well, thanks for having me on. Look, the effectiveness of the strikes, to take your second question first, I think remains to be seen from what we saw from the Pentagon. It seems as t ...
Economic forces are stronger and longer-lasting than political forces: Oakmark Fund's Bill Nygren
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 12:11
Welcome back uh to Squawkbox. Let's check the futures right now. Not a lot happening.A little bit of red across the board. Join us now with more on the markets. Bill Nyigan, Oakmark Funds uh portfolio manager.Sorry, I'm a creature of habit. I cannot intro you without mentioning that you were talking to Mark Haynes uh when the first plane hit and and um that's right. I was in the studio in Chicago uh talking about cable TV stocks or something like that and I said how long did you did they say just we we'll b ...
BOE's Lombardelli on Rate Cut, Labor Market, Inflation
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-19 14:04
We've had the decision from the MPC to keep interest rates unchanged by a margin of 6 to 3, a bit closer than some had expected. Just take us through the thinking there. So we decided to hold rates at 4.25%.Today, we have been able to cut rates four times over the last year. But given the uncertainty facing the economy, we decided to hold at this event. And one of those uncertainties, of course, are the unfolding events in the Middle East and the impact that could have on the oil price.At what point would t ...