US retail sales rose in August for a third month: Here's your Evening Briefing https://t.co/wYM6Heg1bl ...

U.S. Stock Market - U.S. stocks traded mostly lower, with the Dow Jones index falling more than 150 points, down 0.37% to 45,713.02 [1] - NASDAQ fell 0.03% to 22,341.05, and S&P 500 dropped 0.14% to 6,605.77 [1] - Energy shares increased by 1.1%, while utilities stocks fell by 0.8% [1] Company Performance - Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc. reported second-quarter revenue of $557.41 million, missing analyst estimates of $562.78 million [2] - Adjusted earnings for Dave & Buster's were 40 cents per share, below estimates of 92 cents per share [2] Commodities - Oil prices increased by 2.2% to $64.70, while gold rose by 0.2% to $3,726.00 [5] - Silver traded up 0.1% to $43.000, and copper fell 0.1% to $4.7120 [5] European Markets - European shares were lower, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 falling 0.86% [6] - Spain's IBEX 35 Index decreased by 1.30%, and London's FTSE 100 fell 0.74% [6] Asian Markets - Asian markets closed mostly higher, with Japan's Nikkei gaining 0.30% and India's BSE Sensex increasing by 0.73% [7] Notable Stock Movements - Turbo Energy, S.A. shares surged 408% to $13.72 after securing a $53 million contract for energy storage projects in Spain [8] - WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. shares rose 28% to $19.13 following a non-binding agreement with Disney [8] - Jumia Technologies AG shares increased by 22% to $11.90 after an upgrade from RBC Capital [8] - Bionano Genomics, Inc. shares dropped 41% to $1.6398 due to a $10 million public offering announcement [8] - GD Culture Group Limited shares fell 19% to $7.84 after entering a share exchange agreement [8] - Next Technology Holding Inc. shares decreased by 17% to $23.79 after filing for a stock shelf of up to $500 million [8] Economic Indicators - U.S. business inventories increased by 0.2% month-over-month in July, aligning with market estimates [11] - The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index remained steady at 32 in September [11] - U.S. industrial production rose by 0.1% in August, exceeding market expectations [11] - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.6% month-over-month in August, surpassing expectations [11] - Export and import prices both rose by 0.3% in August [11]

Economic Data Summary - Retail Sales for August increased by +0.6%, double the expected +0.3%, reverting to the baseline seen in late 2024 [1] - Excluding auto sales, Retail Sales rose by +0.7%, which is 10 basis points higher than the upwardly revised July figure, marking the second-highest increase this year [2] Inflation Indicators - The Import Price Index for August showed a positive change of +0.3%, contrasting with an expected decline of -0.2%, marking the first back-to-back positive reports since February [4] - Export prices also increased by +0.3% month-over-month and +3.4% year-over-year, the highest level seen in 2025 [5] Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Insights - The FOMC meeting is set to include 12 voting members, with new developments including the addition of a Fed Governor [6] - Stephen Miran, Chairman of the Presidential Council of Economic Advisors, is expected to advocate for a more significant rate cut than the anticipated 25 basis points [7] - The previous FOMC meeting saw dissenting votes for the first time in 30 years, indicating potential shifts in monetary policy perspectives [8]

Core Insights - The Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report for August indicates consumer spending exceeded expectations, with headline sales rising 0.6% month-over-month, matching July's revised growth [1] - Year-over-year, total retail sales for August 2025 reached $732.0 billion, reflecting a 5.0% increase compared to August 2024 [1] - Retail trade sales also increased by 0.6% from July 2025 and 4.8% from the previous year, with nonstore retailers showing a significant 10.1% increase [2] Retail Sales Trends - Monthly retail sales have consistently been above pre-pandemic levels since March 2021, indicating sustained consumer spending [3] - Core retail sales, excluding automobiles, rose 0.7% in August, marking a 4.9% increase year-over-year, the highest since February 2023 [4] - Retail sales control purchases, which provide a more stable economic reading, increased by 0.7% in August, with a year-over-year growth of 6.0% [5][6] Economic Indicators - The report highlights the reduced volatility of control purchases compared to headline retail sales, suggesting a more consistent economic outlook [7] - Long-term trends in retail sales are evaluated through various regression analyses, indicating the impact of significant economic events like the Financial Crisis and COVID-19 [8] Investment Implications - The positive retail sales data may influence interest in various retail-focused ETFs, including SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) and VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) [9]

Good morning, John. Well, there's an old saying don't stand between an American and a cash register. And it looks like that was the case.Retail sales, a much stronger, stronger than expected, 6/10 percent gain after a 5/10 in the month of July. The survey thought we'd only see 2/10 in. A lot of the weakness was expected to be in automobiles.Retail sales ex autos up 7/10 of a percent, ex autos and gas up 7/10 of a percent. The July numbers have been revised higher, with advance headline sales up 6/10 instead ...

Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 40 points, or 0.1% [2] - The S&P 500 also rose by 0.1% [2] - The Nasdaq Composite saw a gain of 0.2% [2] - Both the S&P and Nasdaq reached closing highs on Monday, indicating potential for further milestones [2] Treasury Yields - The yield on the 2-year Treasury note decreased to 3.54% after a brief spike due to stronger-than-expected retail sales [2] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note slightly increased to 4.05% [2] Federal Reserve Meeting - Market participants are awaiting updates from the Federal Open Market Committee's two-day meeting, which may influence stock performance [1][2]

Retail Sales - August retail sales increased by 06% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of 02% increase [1] - Excluding autos, retail sales rose by 07%, the highest since June [1] - Core retail sales, also known as control, increased by 07% [1] - July retail sales were revised upwards from 05% to 06% [2] Import and Export Prices - August import prices increased by 03% month-over-month, contrasting with the expected decrease of 02% [3] - Import prices year-over-year remained unchanged at 0% [3] - August export prices increased by 03% month-over-month, the highest since June [3] - Year-over-year export prices increased by 34%, the highest increase of the year [4] Bond Market - The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 404%, relatively unchanged [5]

Retail Sales Performance - US retail sales increased for the third consecutive month in August [1] - The increase indicates a resilient summer of spending [1]

U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August, but momentum could ease amid labor market weakness and rising goods prices because of tariffs on imports. ...

Core Insights - U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in August, driven by consumer spending across various goods and dining out, despite concerns over a weakening labor market and rising prices due to tariffs [1][2][3] Retail Sales Performance - Retail sales rose by 0.6% in August, following an upwardly revised 0.6% increase in July, surpassing economists' expectations of a 0.2% rise [4] - Year-over-year, retail sales increased by 5.0%, indicating strong consumer demand [5] - Adjusted for inflation, monthly sales growth was estimated at only 0.2% [5] Sector-Specific Trends - Sales at auto dealerships increased by 0.5%, reflecting higher prices despite a decline in units sold [5] - Clothing store sales advanced by 1.0%, while sales at sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores rose by 0.8% [5] - Online sales surged by 2.0%, following a 0.6% increase in July, suggesting a shift in consumer purchasing behavior [6] Economic Context - The increase in retail sales underscores the economy's resilience amid challenges, leading economists to upgrade GDP estimates for the third quarter [3] - The Federal Reserve's primary concern remains the softening labor market, but positive retail data may influence a cautious approach to interest rate cuts [4][6]