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US, China Trade Talks Get Underway in London
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-09 03:21
Let's talk about objectives. We know the stage is set for the US and China. What is the ultimate goal this week.Well, Jonathan, it depends for Washington. The objective is really to make sure that they can get access to those rare earths, those magnets that are on things like mobile phones, the high tech and defense industries. And this is something we heard Kevin Hassett, the NSA director, talk about over the weekend.He wants to see a more advanced pace of those rare earths and magnets coming into the Unit ...
Nvidia's Jensen Huang Talks Up UK's AI Talent at London Tech Week | Bloomberg The Pulse 06/09
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-09 01:34
IS IT TECH, IS IT WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE TRADE TALKS. WE WILL DEBATE THAT NEXT. LET'S GET THE SHOW GOING.♪ >> NEWSMAKERS AND MARKET MOVERS, THIS IS THE PULSE WITH FRANCINE LACQUA. GUY: IT IS GUY JOHNSON. LET'S TALK ABOUT WHERE WE ARE GOING FROM HERE. U.S.STOCK FUTURES HOLDING FIRM, FAIRLY DECENT LEVELS. INVESTORS FOCUSING ON WHAT'S HAPPENING WITH THESE TRADE TALKS BETWEEN CHINA AND THE U.S. WE ARE LOOKING FOR SIGNS OF A COOLING IN THE TRADE STANDOFF BETWEEN THESE TWO HUGE ECONOMIES. JOINING US NOW, HEAD OF E ...
US, China to Resume Trade Talks, Rare Earths in Focus | Bloomberg: The China Show 06/09/2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-08 20:50
>> HAVE IT OUR WAY FROM THE OPEN IN HONG KONG, SHENZHEN, SHANGHAI , AND I AM STEPHEN ENGLE WITH YVONNE MAN. YVONNE: ASIAN STOCKS ARE WITH THE U.S. INTRANET READY TO RESUME TRADE TALKS, THE FLOW OF RARE EARTH MINERALS LIKELY TO BE A KEY FOCUS OF TALKS IN LONDON. >> CHINESE ECONOMIC NUMBERS OUT SAID TO SHOW A DISINFLATIONARY DRAG.YVONNE: PROTEST OVER IMMIGRATION RAIDS ESCALATING FOR THURSDAY IN LOS ANGELES AFTER PRESIDENT TRUMP CALLED IN THE NATIONAL GUARD, A MOVE THE CITY MAYOR SAYS IS CAUSING CHAOS. YVONNE: ...
中国经济:中国货币数据中的财政推动力
2025-05-18 14:08
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Chinese economy** and its monetary data, particularly the impact of fiscal policy on new credit and Total Social Financing (TSF) [1][3][18]. Core Insights and Arguments - **New Credit Missed Expectations**: In April, new RMB loans were only **RMB280 billion**, significantly lower than market expectations of **RMB800 billion** and prior month's **RMB3,640 billion**, marking the second lowest monthly reading since 2010 [3][8]. - **Total Social Financing (TSF)**: New TSF was reported at **RMB1,158 billion**, which was stronger than expected but still below market forecasts [3][5]. - **Fiscal Policy Dominance**: Fiscal policy has become the primary driver of credit expansion in China, with government bond financing being the main contributor to the increase in new TSF [1][3][5]. - **Government Bond Issuance**: In April, government bond issuance reached **RMB976 billion**, offsetting weaknesses in corporate borrowing. Over the past 12 months, government bonds contributed **RMB6.3 trillion** to new TSF [5][10]. - **Credit Impulse**: The credit impulse turned positive in April after being negative for 14 months, primarily driven by government bond issuance [5][14]. Household and Corporate Borrowing Trends - **Household Deleveraging**: Households are in a deleveraging mode, with both short-term and long-term loans contracting by **RMB402 billion** and **RMB123 billion**, respectively. The share of time deposits reached an all-time high of **74.2%** in April [5][17]. - **Corporate Borrowing Weakness**: Corporate borrowing was soft, with a significant impact from debt swaps that replaced corporate loans with government bonds. Corporate demand deposits contracted by **3.8% YoY** [5][19]. Future Outlook - **Fiscal Quota**: The government has approximately **RMB9 trillion** in bond quota remaining for May to December, but the fiscal boost to new credit may be nearing its peak [12][18]. - **Non-Government Credit Recovery**: The potential recovery of non-government credit depends on trade negotiations and domestic policy actions. The Phase 1.5 deal between the US and China may reduce tariff uncertainties, but overall corporate risk appetite remains cautious [19]. Additional Important Points - **M1 Growth**: M1 growth was lifted by statistical revisions, but corporate risk appetite appears weak, indicating a cautious economic environment [1][4]. - **Consumer Confidence and Corporate Profitability**: Future policy focus may shift back to enhancing consumer confidence and corporate profitability as the urgency for domestic policies has reduced [19]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the current state of the Chinese economy, the impact of fiscal policy, and the outlook for credit and borrowing trends.