Unemployment Rate

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Liesman: State, local government hirings buoyed nonfarm payroll data
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 13:33
off in the equity trade. Back to you. >> All right, Steve, let's bring you in here.What's your outlook in terms of the impact on July September, which was pretty much a foregone conclusion. >> I think this is a very mixed report, Melissa. I, I, I have to point out, I don't even know if President Trump is going to like this report.Why 73,000 of the job gains were government. Now it was minus eight on the federal side, plus 40 on the state side. I think it was plus 20 or 30 on the local side.So what you have ...
US Adds 147,000 Jobs in June, Unemployment Rate Falls to 4.1%
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-03 12:50
A lot of numbers to go through here. 147,000 jobs created, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is above the 106 estimate that we got from Bloomberg Economics and the economists. We surveyed private payrolls up 74,000.Let's take a look here at the unemployment rate. It falls to 4.1%. There was some thought it was going to go maybe as high as four four.The forecast was four for three. So much better number than anticipated. We also see and I'm going to jump here to jobless claims, a big drop in ...
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-07-03 12:31
BREAKING:🇺🇸 US UNEMPLOYMENT RATE CAME IN AT 4.1%EXPECTATIONS: 4.3% ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-03 12:31
RT Bloomberg Opinion (@opinion)BREAKING: Jobs Day Data 📊*US JUNE AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS RISE 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3%*US JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 4.1%; EST. 4.3%https://t.co/YQY6XVjGCR ...
The Fed really can't cut until they see solid evidence of weakening, says MetLife's Drew Matus
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 11:12
Investors are watching the House of Representatives as it prepares to vote on President Trump's mega bill while also awaiting the June jobs report. Let's bring in Drew Mattis, head of the global economic and market strategy team at Metife Investment Management. Drew, great to have you with us.Um, first, because they're discussing it as we speak in Congress, the bill, how important is that to your overall market outlook for later this year in terms of getting those tax cuts extended. Well, without the tax cu ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-03 09:45
The unemployment rate in America’s auto heartland is among the highest in the country, @conorsen says (via @opinion) https://t.co/e2zjTt3z4h ...
Magnificent 7 Now The Troubling 3, Underscores Market Weakness
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-02 22:00
Market Overview - The market recovery in the first half of the year has been surprising, with many stocks returning to or exceeding pre-crisis levels despite ongoing uncertainties [5][12] - The focus has shifted from the "Magnificent Seven" to the "Troubling Three," which includes NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta as the primary drivers of market performance [10][11] NVIDIA and AI Sector - NVIDIA's performance is seen as a key indicator for the S&P 500, with its stock movements significantly influencing broader market trends [7][52] - Concerns are raised about the sustainability of NVIDIA's high valuations and the potential for commoditization in the AI space, which could lead to lower profit margins [19][20][33] Technology Sector Dynamics - The technology sector is experiencing high concentration, with a few stocks dominating market performance, reminiscent of historical trends seen in the past 40-50 years [12] - The liquidity in the marketplace is poor, with fewer buyers and sellers, leading to exaggerated market movements [53][54] Economic Indicators - The health of the US economy, particularly employment rates, is critical for market stability; rising unemployment could lead to significant shifts in bond yields and equity valuations [64][70] - Monitoring continuing claims for unemployment benefits is essential, as an increase could signal a downturn in consumer spending and economic health [71][72] AI in Healthcare - There is a growing belief that AI will have a more significant impact in healthcare and drug discovery than in consumer-facing applications, with potential for rapid advancements in diagnostics and treatment [38][41][45]
Home builders facing more competition from existing homeowners selling: Zillow's Orphe Divounguy
CNBC Television· 2025-06-26 13:38
Housing Market Trends - New home sales experienced a nearly 14% month-over-month decline in May, marking the biggest drop in three years [1] - Existing home sales managed a slight increase in May despite headwinds [5] - Resale inventory is up 20% compared to last year [5] Affordability and Demand - Housing affordability has improved slightly from a year ago, but home sales continue to "bounce along the bottom" [3] - Consumer confidence dropped drastically in April, impacting housing demand [4] - A frozen labor market and a potentially rising unemployment rate pose headwinds for housing demand [4][6] Seller and Buyer Dynamics - The market is rebalancing, with bargaining power shifting towards buyers [10] - There were the most price cuts for any May since 2018, indicating sellers and buyers are coming back together [9] - Sellers are facing more competition and need to be more strategic [10] Economic Factors - The labor market is a key factor to watch, potentially more important than higher interest rates [6] - Inflation is roughly 21%, as measured by PCE [7] - The impact of tariffs is already playing itself out [8] Future Outlook - Zillow's forecasting team believes home sales could increase slightly and finish the year slightly higher than in 2024 [12]
Why the Fed is 'late to the game'
CNBC Television· 2025-06-24 20:45
So, one of the very valid criticisms of the Federal Reserve, where I worked for nearly a decade, is that they're looking at very lagged data that really is backward-looking as opposed to trying to pay closer attention to some of the especially rich realtime economic data that we have in hand right now. Unfortunately, it feels like the Fed is pretty much what we call behind the curve. So, they should be lowering interest rates and yet because they're driving using the rearview mirror, they're late to the gam ...
S&P 500: Year-To-Date Returns
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-06-19 20:42
Hey everyone, and thanks for jumping back into the Equityverse. Today we're going to talk about the year-to- date ROI of the S&P 500. If you guys like the content, make sure you subscribe to the channel, give the video a thumbs up, and also check out the sale on into the cryptoverse premium at into the cryptoverse.com. Making a lot of short videos. As I said, I'll be traveling uh for the next week or so.Uh so, by the time you see these videos, you know, who knows how old they're going to be, but I just want ...