I want to bring in Ron Insana, CNBC contributor and publisher of the message of the market on Substack. Peter Baker is New York Times chief White House correspondent and an MSNBC political analyst. Mark McKinnon is a former adviser to President George W.Bush and Senator John McCain as well as creator of the television series The Circus. So Ron, the president says we are the hottest economy in the world. What does this report tell us.Well, I would fly in the face of that analysis and and and I think you know ...

President Vladimir Putin rejected a top banker’s warning that Russia’s economy is showing signs of stagnating https://t.co/HI63DSCNVq ...

just said Ray Washurn and he's Red Lobster. He talked about Chili's and talked about how if it's a you get a dollar more at Chili's I guess that's a higher it's not a McDonald's it's thought of as a casual dining or something. So if it's only a dollar difference you might go to Chili.So you recognize that but and move quickly, right. Yeah. And and part of what we also saw was that particularly with middle and lower income consumers they're feeling under a lot of pressure right now.I think there's a lot of, ...

Some people say it's not doing good. Shut up. This is the worst economy of all time.It's not that's not true. If you take a look at I mean just like I mean I know the stock market is not the economy. We take a look at just the stock market.Our market is pretty good. Four trillion and S&P doing quite well as far as like the cost of consumer goods has gone down pretty well over the last six to eight months. um pay not pay raises but uh salaries have have maintained or gone up a little bit and then if we take ...

Our podcast on markets, the economy and business. This week, how Donald Trump’s fight with the Fed escalated in a usually quiet corner of Wyoming https://t.co/jUs00q1TQv ...

Fed Independence & Monetary Policy - The markets are currently focused on the short run, particularly the upcoming Fed meeting in September, while the long-run economic effects of current events, such as potential higher inflation and long-term bond yields, are being overlooked [2][3][4] - Maintaining an independent monetary policy is crucial because monetary policy affects the economy in the long run, and an independent central bank focuses on long-term price stability and maximum employment goals [4][5] - Concerns exist that the government is pressuring Fed members, escalating from earlier instances like considering firing the chair, potentially undermining Fed independence [5][6] - The public nature and vitriol of the attacks, based on allegations and innuendo without due process, are unprecedented and could lead to the removal of officials based on arbitrary reasons, jeopardizing Fed independence [7][8] - Undermining Fed independence could negatively affect the American economy, households, and businesses, even if policymakers remain unbiased, as the mere perception of political influence can impact markets [9] Political Influence & Board Composition - There is concern about the possibility of a political majority on the Fed board influencing the reappointment of the 12 Federal Reserve presidents, potentially leading to a significant shift in the Fed's composition [10][11][12] - The reappointment process involves an objective performance evaluation by the boards of directors of each reserve bank, but concerns exist that political considerations could override this process [13][14] - In a normal case, Fed governors would not refuse to reappoint someone based on a whim or policy views; there would have to be a substantive issue [15] Lisa Cook & Due Process - Lisa Cook is listening to her legal counsel, and it may not be the right time for her to publicly defend herself [19] - The situation has moved beyond a normal internal investigation process and has become a legal case, circumventing standard procedures [20][21] - If a president can remove someone based on allegations without facts, Fed independence is lost, highlighting the damaging nature of the situation [22]

Federal Reserve Independence & Policy - The market's calmness is partly attributed to ambiguity surrounding the President's power to fire a Federal Reserve governor and the definition of "for cause" [5] - The core concern for markets is a potential rupture in Fed independence, which could impact decision-making within the central bank [12] - Questioning the Fed's independence could hinder its ability to make decisions aligned with its legislative mandate [13] - An independent Fed is crucial for a well-performing bond market and economy, requiring respect and protection [14] Potential Rate Cuts & Economic Outlook - The Fed chair indicated openness to a potential rate cut in September, but several factors warrant caution, including inflation running above target and upcoming tariffs [16] - The possibility of a rate cut is viewed as roughly 50/50, and there's no strong support for a campaign of rate cuts [18] - Political pressure leading to a rate-cutting campaign to meet the President's requests would be detrimental to the economy, bond markets, and the Fed's credibility [19] Legal & Political Considerations - The legality of the President's actions and whether the alleged cause is sufficient for dismissal will likely be determined by the courts [2][4][10] - If the court ratifies the move, it would significantly impact Fed independence and trust in the institution as inflation fighters [19] - Accommodating political pressure for continuous rate cuts could shake the Fed's credibility, weaken the dollar, and impair the ability to finance US debt [21]

The European Central Bank officials can focus on monitoring the economy rather than actively intervening to change its course, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks https://t.co/T7JMl1CPn3 ...

To beat America, China must tend to a neglected part of its economy. Communist Party officials face a difficult ideological turn https://t.co/W7axvLAcS6 ...

Economic Outlook - The British Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to present the upcoming budget [1] - The budget presentation occurs amidst hopeful signs for the economy [1]