Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that efforts may be needed to prevent Iran's nuclear program, emphasizing a pursuit of comprehensive victory and the non-acceptance of nuclear weapons existence [1]

Core Points - The article discusses the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran, focusing on the differing assessments of Iran's nuclear capabilities and the potential for U.S. military intervention under President Trump [1][2][4][5][9]. Group 1: U.S. Intelligence and Military Assessment - U.S. intelligence reports indicate that Iran is not actively seeking nuclear weapons and could take up to three years to develop the capability to produce and launch them [1]. - Contrarily, some U.S. officials believe Iran is close to the final stages of nuclear weapon development, suggesting a significant divide in intelligence assessments [1][4]. - The U.S. Central Command has expressed greater urgency regarding Iran's nuclear ambitions compared to the intelligence community, indicating a potential for faster nuclear development than previously anticipated [9]. Group 2: Trump's Position and Strategic Implications - Trump is weighing the option of supporting Israel in bombing Iranian nuclear facilities, viewing it as an opportunity to restore U.S. deterrence following perceived failures in Afghanistan under Biden [2][5]. - The article suggests that if Trump assists Israel in destroying Iran's nuclear program, it could help rebuild U.S. credibility and deterrence in the region [2][8]. - Trump's administration acknowledges that Israel may require U.S. military support to effectively dismantle Iran's nuclear capabilities, particularly the fortified Fordow facility [5][11]. Group 3: Regional and Global Reactions - The article highlights concerns that U.S. support for Israel could provoke Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces, potentially escalating the conflict [5][10]. - There is a fear that failure to act against Iran could embolden them to pursue nuclear weapons more aggressively, especially if key facilities remain intact [12][14]. - The geopolitical landscape is complicated by the involvement of other nations, with Russia and China closely monitoring U.S. actions and responses to the crisis [8][15].

Group 1: Israel-Iran Conflict - Israel's ambassador to Washington anticipates "surprises" in upcoming attacks on Iran, aiming to destroy its nuclear facilities before negotiations [1] - Israeli officials state that Trump did not pressure Israel to halt military actions against Iran [1] - Israel claims to have weakened the command chain of Iran's armed forces [1] Group 2: U.S. Position - Trump indicates he will not take action to remove Iran's supreme leader for now, seeking more proactive solutions beyond a ceasefire [2] - U.S. officials assert that the U.S. will not proactively join Israel's military actions [4] - U.S. Vice President Pence suggests Trump may take further actions to prevent Iran's nuclear program [4] Group 3: Iranian Response - Iran's military has launched new attacks, targeting strategic locations [4] - Iranian Revolutionary Guard has attacked Israeli military intelligence and Mossad centers [4] - Iran has reportedly launched at least 400 missiles and hundreds of drones towards Israeli territory [4] Group 4: International Reactions - The G7 has reiterated that Iran must not possess nuclear weapons and confirmed Israel's right to self-defense [4] - The EU's foreign policy chief emphasizes that diplomatic solutions are the best long-term approach to Iran's nuclear program [4] - Qatar warns against attacks on Middle Eastern energy and nuclear facilities [4]

此外，伊朗通信管理局当天发布声明称，禁止所有政府部门、安全部门人员使用连接到开放通信网络的移动设 备。 综合自：央视新闻 责编：李丹 校对：高源 当地时间6月17日，据当地消息人士的话称，伊朗已经准备好在领导人遇刺的情况下管理敏感部 门的计划。 稍早之前，以色列国防部长卡茨发表声明称，以军已摧毁了伊朗纳坦兹核设施的中心区域，并计划摧毁伊朗核 计划的所有基础设施。以方将继续针对伊朗军事领导人、核计划和导弹系统。 国际原子能机构就伊朗纳坦兹核设施遭袭情况发表声明称，纳坦兹反应堆下部遭受"直接破坏"，目前伊朗官方 尚未就此表态。 以军计划17日晚袭击德黑兰的"重要目标"，"以方将对任何重启伊朗核计划的企图作出回应"。 值得一提的是，在当地时间6月16日播出的美国广播公司的采访节目中，当被主持人问及以色列是否将目标继 续对准伊朗最高领导人哈梅内伊时，以色列总理内塔尼亚胡称，"我们会做需要做的事，我不打算谈论相关细 节"。 在谈到有媒体报道美国总统特朗普否决以色列刺杀哈梅内伊计划，主持人问这是否是因为特朗普担忧局势升 级？对此，内塔尼亚胡宣称，"这样不会升级冲突，这会结束冲突"。 END 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度 ...

埃及外交部：埃及外长在与美国中东事务特使和伊朗外长的两次电话中，敦促立即停火以应对伊朗-以 色列危机。埃及外长强调回到谈判是达成关于伊朗核计划可持续协议的唯一途径。 ...

德国总理默茨：如果伊朗不屈服，那么伊朗核计划的彻底摧毁将被提上议程，而以色列无法单独实现这 一点。 ...

以军计划17日晚袭击德黑兰的"重要目标"，"以方将对任何重启伊朗核计划的企图作出回 应"。 （本文来源：央视新闻） 当地时间6月17日，以色列国防部长卡茨发表声明称，以军已摧毁了伊朗纳坦兹核设施的中心 区域，并计划摧毁伊朗核计划的所有基础设施。 以方将继续针对伊朗军事领导人、核计划和 导弹系统。 ...

以色列军方官员：至少有10名对伊朗核计划至关重要的伊朗科学家被击杀。 ...

欧盟外交与安全政策高级代表卡拉斯：同意外交方案是长期解决伊朗核计划的最佳途径。 ...

Group 1 - Israel's recent airstrikes on Iran were aimed at preventing the country from advancing its nuclear weapons program, but U.S. intelligence suggests that Iran is not actively seeking nuclear weapons and is still years away from being able to produce and deliver them [1][2] - Despite significant damage to Iran's Natanz facility, the Fordow facility remains intact, which is crucial for Iran's nuclear ambitions, and experts indicate that Israel lacks the capability to destroy it without U.S. military support [1][8] - The U.S. military and intelligence community have differing interpretations of Iran's nuclear intentions, with some U.S. officials expressing urgency regarding Iran's potential nuclear capabilities [5][6] Group 2 - The U.S. is repositioning military assets in the region to support Israel and ensure the protection of U.S. forces, with the Nimitz carrier strike group moving towards the Middle East [4][3] - There is a debate within the Trump administration regarding the level of U.S. involvement in Israel's actions against Iran, with some advisors advocating for a more isolationist approach while others push for military support [2][3] - The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has raised concerns about Iran's accumulation of uranium, which is close to weapon-grade levels, indicating a potential for Iran to manufacture nuclear weapons if it chooses to do so [6][8]