The market expects Heico Corporation (HEI) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended January 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if ...

Core Viewpoint - Choice Hotels International, Inc. (CHH) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 19, with expectations of earnings per share (EPS) of $1.56, reflecting a 0.7% increase year-over-year, while revenues are projected to decline by 2.4% to $380.3 million [1][2][8]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CHH's EPS has remained unchanged at $1.56 over the past week, indicating a slight increase from $1.55 in the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue expectations for the upcoming quarter are pegged at $380.3 million, which represents a 2.4% decline compared to the previous year [2][8]. Group 2: Factors Supporting Revenue Growth - Revenue growth in the fourth quarter is likely to be supported by net room growth in higher-revenue segments such as extended stay, upscale, and midscale, which generate higher royalty income [3]. - An improvement in small and medium business travel and group demand is expected to contribute positively to occupancy and fee growth [3]. - The expanding international portfolio, where revenue per available room (RevPAR) trends are stronger than in the U.S., is anticipated to add incremental revenues [3]. Group 3: Challenges Impacting Revenue - Top-line growth may face pressure from a softer U.S. RevPAR backdrop, attributed to weaker government travel and subdued international inbound demand [4]. - Comparisons to hurricane-related demand from the previous year and cautious consumer spending are likely to limit revenue upside during the quarter [4]. Group 4: Profitability Factors - Earnings are expected to benefit from Choice's asset-light, fee-based model and higher average royalty rates from a richer brand mix [5]. - Continued strength in international operations, which carry higher margins, along with tight cost control and productivity gains, are likely to help offset U.S. RevPAR pressures [5]. Group 5: Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Choice Hotels this quarter, as the company has an Earnings ESP of -2.38% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6].

Core Viewpoint - Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is set to report its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on February 23, with earnings estimated at 98 cents per share and revenues at $1.95 billion [1]. Group 1: Previous Quarter Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ovintiv achieved adjusted earnings per share of $1.03, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 97 cents, driven by increased plant condensate production and higher average realized natural gas prices [2]. - The company's total revenues for the third quarter were $2.1 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.1% [2]. - Ovintiv has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 11.06% [3]. Group 2: Upcoming Quarter Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings has remained unchanged over the past week, indicating a 27.41% year-over-year decrease, while the revenue estimate suggests a 10.96% increase from the previous year [3]. - Ovintiv's revenues are expected to decline in the upcoming quarter, primarily due to the company's focus on production volumes and market prices of energy commodities [4]. Group 3: Cost Management - Total operating expenses for the fourth quarter are projected to be $1.6 billion, reflecting a 28.2% decrease from the previous year's $2.2 billion [5]. - Production, mineral, and other taxes are anticipated to fall by 14.9% year-over-year to $63.9 million, while transportation and processing expenses are expected to decrease by 14.3% to $341.8 million [5]. - The cost of purchased products is forecasted to drop by 34% to $251.5 million, with depreciation, depletion, and amortization charges expected to be $433.9 million, marking a 20.4% reduction [6].

Core Insights - Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 18, with earnings estimated at 35 cents per share and revenues at $446.15 million [1] Financial Performance - The fourth-quarter earnings estimate has remained stable over the past 60 days, indicating a 25.5% year-over-year decrease in earnings, while revenues are projected to grow by 13.1% year-over-year [2] - For the full year 2025, the revenue estimate stands at $1.85 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15.8%, whereas the earnings per share estimate is $1.52, suggesting a decline of 20% from the previous year [3] Earnings Prediction - The model indicates that OBDC has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), suggesting no clear odds for an earnings beat [4][7] - The consensus estimate for non-controlled, non-affiliated interest income suggests a 16.3% year-over-year growth, while the model projects a 19.8% increase [6] - The total operating expenses for the fourth quarter are estimated to be $260.7 million, reflecting a 24.3% year-over-year growth due to higher management fees and interest expenses [9] Industry Context - Major peers such as SLR Investment Corp. (SLRC), Blackstone Secured Lending Fund (BXSL), and FS KKR Capital Corp. (FSK) are also set to report earnings, providing insights into industry trends [10] - Blackstone Secured is predicted to have an earnings beat with an Earnings ESP of +0.76% and a Zacks Rank of 3, while SLR Investment and FS KKR Capital have uncertain earnings beat prospects with Earnings ESP of 0.00% [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - Evergy, Inc. (EVRG) is expected to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 19, with a consensus estimate for earnings at 57 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 62.86% and revenues projected at $1.29 billion, indicating a 2.20% rise from the previous year [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is set at 57 cents per share, which represents a significant year-over-year surge of 62.86% [2]. - Revenue expectations are pegged at $1.29 billion, indicating a 2.20% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Earnings - Evergy's earnings are anticipated to benefit from ongoing investments in grid modernization and improvements in service reliability, along with energy efficiency programs and cost-saving initiatives [3]. - The Kansas Central Rate Case approval is expected to positively impact earnings, with updated rates effective from October 1, 2025 [4]. - Economic development in service territories and increased demand for data centers are also likely to contribute to earnings growth [5]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Despite the positive factors, higher interest expenses are expected to offset some of the gains in the fourth quarter [5]. - The company's Earnings ESP is currently at -6.20%, indicating that the model does not predict an earnings beat for this reporting period [6]. - Evergy holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), suggesting a less favorable outlook compared to other industry players [7]. Group 4: Industry Comparisons - IDACORP (IDA) and Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) are highlighted as potential outperformers in the same industry, with IDA expected to report an earnings beat and a Zacks Rank of 2 [8][10]. - PNW is also anticipated to report an earnings beat, with a Zacks Rank of 2 and a positive Earnings ESP of +7.94% [10].

Core Insights - Diamondback Energy (FANG) has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, making it a strong candidate for investors looking for reliable performance in the energy sector [1][2]. Earnings Performance - In the last two quarters, Diamondback has exceeded earnings estimates by an average of 4.80% [2]. - For the most recent quarter, the expected earnings were $2.85 per share, but the company reported $3.08 per share, resulting in a surprise of 8.07% [3]. - In the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $2.63 per share, while the actual earnings were $2.67 per share, leading to a surprise of 1.52% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Diamondback have been increasing, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [6][9]. - The current Earnings ESP for Diamondback is +0.91%, suggesting that analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) indicates a high probability of a positive earnings surprise, with historical data showing that nearly 70% of stocks with this combination beat consensus estimates [7][9]. Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]. - A positive Earnings ESP enhances the predictive power of earnings surprises, while a negative value can diminish it, although it does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [10].

Core Insights - SiriusPoint (SPNT) has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, averaging a 29.52% beat over the last two quarters [1] - The company reported earnings of $0.72 per share for the most recent quarter, exceeding the expected $0.51 per share by 41.18% [2] - For the previous quarter, SiriusPoint reported $0.66 per share against an estimate of $0.56 per share, resulting in a 17.86% surprise [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for SiriusPoint have been increasing, with a positive Earnings ESP of +8.41%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high probability of another earnings beat, with historical data showing nearly 70% success in similar scenarios [6][8] Earnings ESP Explanation - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - Analysts revising their estimates close to the earnings release are likely to have more accurate information, enhancing the predictive power of the Earnings ESP [7]

Core Insights - Deere & Company (DE) is set to report its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on February 19, with earnings expected to be $1.92 per share, reflecting a 39.8% decline year-over-year, while revenues are projected to increase by 11.7% to $7.60 billion [1][4]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deere's earnings has decreased by 4.5% over the past 60 days [1]. - The earnings estimates for the upcoming quarters are as follows: Q1 at $1.92, Q2 at $5.55, F1 at $16.82, and F2 at $21.92 [2]. - The average earnings surprise over the last four quarters has been 5.2%, with three quarters beating estimates and one missing [2][3]. Segment Performance - The Production & Precision Agriculture segment is expected to generate revenues of $3.05 billion, a 0.6% decrease year-over-year, with operating profit projected to drop by 53% to $159 million [8]. - The Small Agriculture & Turf segment is anticipated to see revenues of $2.16 billion, indicating a 23.7% increase, with operating profit expected to rise by 49.2% to $185 million [9]. - The Construction & Forestry segment's sales are projected at $2.37 billion, an 18.7% increase, with operating profit estimated at $84 million, up from $65 million in the prior year [10]. - The Financial Services segment is expected to report revenues of $1.38 billion, a 5.9% decline, with operating profit projected at $238 million, down from $266 million [11]. Market Context - Deere's stock has increased by 27.3% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 24.9% [12]. - The company is currently facing challenges due to weak farmer spending amid low commodity prices, which has led to production adjustments [6].

Core Viewpoint - Quanta Services, Inc. (PWR) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 19, 2026, with a record backlog and raised guidance for 2025 following the third quarter [1] Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, adjusted earnings and revenues exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.5% and 2.4%, respectively, with year-over-year growth of 22.4% in earnings and 17.6% in revenues [2] - The company reported revenues of $7.63 billion and a record backlog of $39.2 billion, indicating strong demand in the Electric segment [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share (EPS) has decreased slightly to $3.00, reflecting a 2% increase from the previous year's EPS of $2.94, while revenue estimates are set at $7.28 billion, indicating an 11% year-over-year growth [3] Segment Performance - The Electric Infrastructure Solutions segment, which contributed 80.9% to third-quarter revenues, is expected to be the main growth driver due to ongoing demand for upgrades in transmission, substations, and distribution, as well as renewable energy integration [4] - The Underground Utility and Infrastructure Solutions segment, contributing 19.1% to revenues, may benefit from ongoing infrastructure projects and recent acquisitions, with additional support from technology and healthcare-related markets [5] - Revenue estimates for the Electric Infrastructure Solutions segment are expected to rise by 76% to $6 billion, while the Underground Utility and Infrastructure Solutions segment is projected to increase by 16.7% to $1.37 billion [8] Margin Analysis - Fourth-quarter margins are anticipated to be supported by the Electric Infrastructure Solutions segment's strength, with favorable project mix and operating leverage contributing to profitability [10] - However, margins may face pressure from inflation, supply chain constraints, and project timing variability, which could impact overall profitability [11] - Operating profit in the Electric Infrastructure Solutions segment is expected to grow to $647 million from $445 million year-over-year, while the Underground Utility and Infrastructure Solutions segment's operating profit is projected to increase to $111 million from $42.6 million [12]

Core Insights - Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) is expected to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 19, with earnings anticipated to show operational momentum supported by stable production and disciplined cost control amid favorable gold prices [1][6]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter earnings has increased over the past 30 days, now projected at 34 cents per share, indicating a 100% year-over-year increase [2][6]. - The earnings estimate trend shows a significant upward revision, with a 30.77% increase for Q1 and an 81.82% increase for Q2 [3]. Operational Performance - CGAU's performance is driven by solid production at Mount Milligan and Oksut, with all-in sustaining costs (AISC) in the mid-$1,600s range [5][6]. - The company faced a structurally higher cost base, with gold production costs around the mid-$1,300s per ounce, influenced by mine sequencing and inflationary pressures [7]. Market Position and Valuation - CGAU's stock has increased by 193.2% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's 140% rise and the S&P 500's 13.9% increase [9]. - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month sales multiple of 3.00, which is approximately 15% lower than the industry average of 3.52 [12]. Investment Thesis - Centerra Gold is positioned for steady production and improving cost visibility, with a balanced exposure to gold and copper, supported by stable grades and disciplined cost control [15]. - The company is expected to maintain positive momentum into the fourth quarter, bolstered by operational consistency and favorable pricing dynamics, reinforcing a buy recommendation [16].