21 May 2025 | 7:59PM HKT China Battery Cathode Raising LFP demand and reiterate cyclical recovery view; Buy Yuneng Following our initiation report this Feb, we continue to highlight cyclical recovery opportunities in China's LFP (Lithium ferrous phosphate) cathode sector on the basis of: 1. Stronger demand outlook from both BESS and NEV based on compelling cost advantages. We raise LFP cathode demand by c.24% in 2025E-2026E to factor in the latest market momentum, implying 2024-2026E volume CAGR of 31%, on ...

Gates Industrial (GTES) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Gates Industrial Corporation (GTES) - **Conference Date**: May 21, 2025 Key Industry Insights - **Automotive Replacement**: Strong performance noted, particularly in North America and China, driven by new customer acquisitions and high used car sales prices [2][9] - **Mobility Sector**: Experienced double-digit growth, especially in e-bikes, with a positive outlook for continued strength [3][4] - **Industrial Recovery**: Gradual recovery observed, particularly in Asia, but tempered expectations for growth due to global trade uncertainties [6][12] - **Geographical Performance**: - **North America**: Positive trends in automotive replacement; industrial side expected to be challenging [11] - **EMEA**: Slight decline of 1% in Q1, but mobility business expected to provide tailwinds [3][11] - **Asia**: Positive core growth in China and India, with signs of industrial recovery [12][14] Financial Performance and Guidance - **Q1 Performance**: Exceeded expectations with a 1.5% organic growth; Q2 guidance remains flattish [1][5] - **Full Year Guidance**: Targeting approximately 1.5% organic growth for the year, with expectations for acceleration in the second half [17][21] - **Pricing Strategy**: Implemented $40 million in price increases to offset tariffs, anticipating some demand headwinds [20][27] Operational Challenges and Strategies - **Inventory Levels**: Destocking in agriculture and construction sectors is nearing completion, with confidence in distribution inventory levels [22][23] - **Tariff Impact**: Ongoing adjustments to pricing strategies in response to tariffs, with a focus on maintaining margin neutrality [29][34] - **Debt Management**: Aiming to reduce gross debt below $2 billion while balancing stock buybacks and potential M&A opportunities [46][48] M&A and Growth Opportunities - **M&A Strategy**: Open to strategic acquisitions that align with growth objectives, particularly in underrepresented segments or geographies [49][52] - **Data Center Market**: Targeting $100 to $200 million in incremental revenue by 2027, focusing on organic growth through existing product lines [41][42] Conclusion - **Outlook**: Gates Industrial remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, particularly in automotive replacement and mobility sectors, while navigating challenges in industrial recovery and global trade dynamics. The company is committed to strategic pricing, operational efficiencies, and exploring M&A opportunities to enhance its market position [35][54]

More importantly, Carnival is slowly addressing my concerns about the company, which center around its debt- saddled balance sheet. Carnival has paid its long-term debt down from $35 billion in 2023 to approximately $27 billion today. Carnival's post-pandemic comeback story is the stuff of legends. Now, it's about seeing where the stock can go from here. You've got to give credit where it's due. I was skeptical of Carnival Corp. (CCL -2.14%), the popular cruise line company, coming out of the COVID-19 pande ...

Market Performance - Major market indexes started the trading day in the red, with the Dow down 114 points (-0.27%), S&P 500 down 0.39%, and Nasdaq down 72 points (-0.38%). Only the Russell 2000 managed a slight gain of 1 point (+0.05%) [1] - The S&P 500 ended its six-day winning streak, indicating a potential shift in market momentum [1] Economic Context - No significant economic data was released, and there were no updates on tariff negotiations. Concerns are rising regarding a proposed tax bill that could significantly increase the federal deficit [2] - The U.S. credit rating has been downgraded by major credit agencies, reflecting growing fiscal concerns [2] Recovery Outlook - The anticipated "V-shaped recovery" appears to be stalling, particularly in the absence of major trade agreements. Major indexes have seen double-digit gains over the past month, but only the Dow and S&P 500 are positive year-to-date [3] Earnings Reports - Palo Alto Networks reported mixed fiscal Q3 results, with earnings of $0.39 per share, missing expectations by $0.02, but revenues of $2.3 billion exceeded consensus, marking a 15% year-over-year increase [4] - Toll Brothers exceeded earnings expectations with $3.50 per share against a consensus of $2.86, and revenues of $2.71 billion surpassed the $2.50 billion forecast. However, signed contracts were down 13% [4] Upcoming Market Events - The upcoming week lacks major economic reports until Thursday's Weekly Jobless Claims, with focus shifting to potential trade deals and the implications of the new tax bill on the federal deficit [5] - Big-box retailers are concluding the earnings season, with Lowe's and Target expected to report negative earnings estimates, while TJX Companies anticipates a 4% revenue growth [6]

Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) recently announced that it has expanded its collaboration with Cignal TV, a leading pay-TV provider in the Philippines, to modernize its channel origination, playout and disaster recovery workflows. The initiative leverages Harmonic’s VOS360 Media Software-as-a-Service platform, which runs on the public cloud, to enhance Cignal TV’s ability to deliver premium video streaming and broadcast services with greater efficiency and reliability.The fully managed VOS360 platform provides high-qu ...

Core Viewpoint - PPL Corporation has shown a mixed performance in the stock market, with a 2.5% increase in shares over the last three months, underperforming the Zacks Utility-Electric Power industry's 5.2% rally, while maintaining strong financial discipline and efficient execution of plans [1][2]. Price Performance - PPL shares have gained 2.5% in the last three months compared to the Zacks Utility-Electric Power industry's 5.2% increase [1]. - The average trading volume for PPL in the last three months was approximately 5.83 million shares per day, significantly higher than DTE Energy's 1.56 million shares [5]. Factors Supporting PPL Stock - PPL's service areas in Pennsylvania and Kentucky are seeing increased demand from data centers, with projected new requests reaching 50 gigawatts (GW) in Pennsylvania and 6 GW in Kentucky between 2026 and 2034 [7]. - The company plans to invest $20 billion from 2025 to 2028 to meet rising demand and improve service quality, with over 60% of this investment benefiting from "contemporaneous recovery" to minimize regulatory lag [8]. - PPL aims to reduce expenses by at least $175 million by 2026 compared to 2021 levels, which is expected to strengthen profit margins [9]. - PPL plans to invest over $8 billion in electric and gas distribution infrastructure between 2025 and 2028 to enhance system reliability [10]. Earnings Estimates - PPL expects earnings per share (EPS) of $1.75-$1.87 for 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate currently at $1.82 per share [11]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year EPS increases of 7.5% for 2025 and 8.26% for 2026 [11]. Earnings Surprise History - PPL has outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 8.84% [12]. Capital Return Program - PPL continues to return value to shareholders through dividends, with a current annual dividend of $1.09 and projected growth of 6-8% per year through 2027 [14]. - The targeted dividend payout ratio is expected to be in the range of 60-65% [15]. Valuation and Performance Metrics - PPL is currently valued at a premium compared to its industry on a forward 12-month P/E basis [17]. - PPL's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) is 9.14%, lower than the industry average of 10.05% [19]. Strategic Outlook - PPL's investments in clean energy generation and infrastructure are expected to support reliable service, aided by efficient operational management and a supportive regulatory environment [21].

旧的路径不通了，新的路径尚未确立，投资人开始从路径依赖走向身份重构——这既是被动 的自救，也是主动的探索。 一级市场久违地热闹了起来。展会排上了日程，投决会议重新回到线下，朋友圈里晒路演、投后图的更 新频率也明显高了。仿佛一切都在告诉人们：市场在复苏。 这些变化看起来是个体的调整，实则反映的是一级市场在缺乏明确趋势时的"生态自我修复"机制。旧的 路径不通了，新的路径尚未确立，投资人开始从路径依赖走向身份重构——这既是被动的自救，也是主 动的探索。 但从GP视角来看，故事并不那么线性。 一些机构已经恢复出差节奏，一些IR开始重新联系老LP，还有更多的GP则在犹豫，要不要再坚持一个 募资周期，再信一次"下一轮政策利好"；与此同时，也有人开始盘点开副业的可行性——搞并购中介、 做FA、甚至去开餐厅、做直播。 在过去两年，从"GP要活下去"到"活下去也不够"，每一位投资人都在经历一种更微妙的变化：他们不 再只是传统意义上的资本分配者，而正朝着内容生产者、市场组织者、甚至行业IP的方向游移。这不是 简单的"转型"，而是一种"非线性生存"：不是被市场淘汰，就是被身份重构。 没人能给出标准答案。不同人眼里的市场，甚至仿佛是 ...

Shares of ImmuCell Corporation (ICCC) have gained 3.9% since reporting results for the first quarter of 2025. This compares with the S&P 500 index’s 5.5% rise over the same time frame. Over the past month, the stock has jumped 11.2% against the S&P 500’s 13.5% rally.Revenue & Earnings SurgeImmuCell posted a strong financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, delivering a record $8.1 million in product sales, up 11% from $7.3 million in the prior-year period. The rise marked a continuation of momentu ...

本期导读： 旧的路径不通了，新的路径尚未确立，投资人开始从路径依赖走向身份重构——这既是被动的自 救，也是主动的探索。 作者丨Eyan 本期推荐阅读5分钟 一级市场久违地热闹了起来。展会排上了日程，投决会议重新回到线下，朋友圈里晒路演、投后图 的更新频率也明显高了。仿佛一切都在告诉人们： 市场在复苏。 但从GP视角来看，故事并不那么线性。 一些机构已经恢复出差节奏，一些IR开始重新联系老LP，还有更多的GP则在犹豫，要不要再坚持 一个募资周期，再信一次"下一轮政策利好"；与此同时，也有人开始盘点开副业的可行性——搞并 购中介、做FA、甚至去开餐厅、做直播。 在过去两年，从"GP要活下去"到"活下去也不够"，每一位投资人都在经历一种更微妙的变化：他 们不再只是传统意义上的资本分配者，而正朝着内容生产者、市场组织者、甚至行业IP的方向游 移。 这不是简单的"转型"，而是一种"非线性生存"：不是被市场淘汰，就是被身份重构。 但这种"热"并非全面复苏， 更多是结构性活跃。 募资难依然是行业主旋律，LP信心的修复远未完 成。2025年第一季度，不少GP表示"机构在看，但投的很少""走得动的是几个头部在募老基金，新 基金 ...

Australian office indicators Key leasing and capital markets metrics across the Australian office market Improving sentiment driving greater liquidity RECENT DEALS INDICATE THAT PRIME YIELDS HAVE STABILISED Markets have shown improving sentiment resulting with momentum in office investment continuing in Q1 2025. Several large deals occurred in Q1, with almost all activity located in Sydney. We consider that prime yields have stabilised for core assets, led by Sydney which has seen higher deal volumes and he ...