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美国政府停摆时间持续至史上第二长 经济冲击加剧
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 11:08
Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown has lasted for 22 days, becoming the second-longest in history, primarily due to a stalemate over healthcare subsidies for 22 million Americans [1] - President Trump is expected to visit Asia soon, and there are concerns that the shutdown may extend into November, potentially surpassing the previous 35-day shutdown during his first term [1] - Trump has refused to negotiate with Democrats until the government reopens, despite requests for a meeting from Democratic leaders [2] Economic Impact - The economic effects of the shutdown are expected to worsen this week, as federal employees will lose their first full paycheck [2] - Over 2 million federal employees are on unpaid leave, with approximately 750,000 forced to take furloughs, leading to financial strain such as mortgage and loan deferments [3] - The unemployment rate may see a slight temporary increase, particularly affecting the Washington D.C. area, but is expected to return to 4.3% once the government resumes operations [3] Legislative Dynamics - Senate Republicans need at least 8 Democratic votes to pass a temporary funding bill, which is set to expire on November 21 [2] - House Speaker Mike Johnson has indicated that no modifications to the temporary funding bill are necessary to gain Democratic support, emphasizing a lack of need for negotiations [3] - The White House has threatened to impose stricter penalties on Democrats, including cutting federal projects in states where they hold a majority [3][4] Budgetary Actions - The White House budget office has canceled or postponed projects worth $28 billion and plans significant layoffs in various domestic agencies [4] - A legal dispute is ongoing regarding whether large-scale layoffs during the shutdown violate federal budget laws [4] - Some Democrats are now demanding restrictions on the powers of budget officials in any potential shutdown agreement [5]