Summary of Jerry Holdings Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jerry Holdings - **Industry**: Oil and Gas Equipment Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments Industry Dynamics - Saudi Aramco's capital expenditure is expected to grow steadily, with a growth rate of 3% to 15%, driven by the economic transformation in the Middle East, which is beneficial for Jerry Holdings' natural gas compressor orders [2][4] - Saudi Aramco announced a large-scale plan involving over 80 projects, with around 20 related to oil and gas, which is significant for Jerry Holdings' order growth in natural gas compressors [4] Order Growth and Performance - Jerry Holdings reported a cumulative order growth of approximately 30% from January to August, with pure equipment orders increasing by about 25% [2][4] - Although the growth rate slowed after April, it is expected that overseas orders will accelerate, particularly due to the bidding rhythm of China's three major oil companies [2][4] - Major overseas orders are anticipated in Q4, including a 900 million yuan contract in Algeria and several Middle Eastern projects worth 200 to 300 million USD each [2][5] Revenue and Profitability - Revenue growth for July and August was between 20% and 30%, with similar targets set for September [2][6] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve year-on-year, despite a 3.6 percentage point decline in the first half of 2025 due to changes in delivery structure [2][6][7] - The company forecasts a revenue growth of 20% to 30% for Q3 2025, with a potential market capitalization of 60 billion yuan by year-end if performance continues [2][8] Future Projections - Full-year performance for 2025 is projected at approximately 3.1 billion yuan, with expectations to reach 3.9 to 4 billion yuan in 2026, potentially leading to a market capitalization of 80 billion yuan by 2026 based on a 20x valuation [3][9] - The company anticipates a 15% growth in 2025, accelerating to around 30% in 2026, and maintaining a growth rate of about 25% in subsequent years [10] Capacity and Operational Challenges - Jerry Holdings faced capacity issues that affected performance over the past year, with initial production capacity for natural gas compressors at only 1 billion yuan, while orders reached 3 to 4 billion yuan [10] - The company has been expanding capacity, with theoretical production capacity expected to reach 4 billion yuan by the end of 2024, and additional production from a new Middle Eastern gas plant expected to contribute 2 billion yuan in value [10] Business Segments Contribution - The natural gas compressor business has shown strong performance, with orders growing over 50% year-on-year from January to July [11] - The EPC business is also expected to contribute significantly to future performance, alleviating concerns about revenue growth [11]

Core Insights - Middle Eastern countries are accelerating their economic diversification, moving from traditional energy reliance to technology innovation and sustainable development [1] - China is becoming an ideal strategic partner for the Middle East due to its advanced infrastructure, mature manufacturing system, and cutting-edge digital technology [1] - The investment landscape is evolving with increasing capital linkage through innovative models like joint funds, leading to mutual benefits [1] Investment Trends - The investment heat in the Middle East is expected to remain high through 2025, driven by regional supply chain localization and economic transformation [2][3] - The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is actively seeking to diversify its economy, particularly in non-oil sectors, with significant opportunities for Chinese companies [2] - The ongoing collaboration between Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia's capital markets is enhancing mutual understanding and investment opportunities [3] Key Investment Areas - Focus areas for investment include high-growth sectors such as digital infrastructure, smart technology, fintech, digital healthcare, education technology, and agricultural technology [3][4] - Saudi Arabia has allocated over $15 billion for digital infrastructure, with the GCC's digital economy projected to exceed $500 billion by 2030 [4] Successful Case Studies - Sahm Capital, a fintech company backed by 易达资本, has rapidly gained traction in Saudi Arabia, becoming one of the fastest-growing members of the Saudi stock exchange [6][7] - The company's success is attributed to early market entry, effective localization strategies, competitive pricing, and strong local presence [7] Strategic Positioning - 易达资本's new office in Hong Kong aims to serve as a bridge for Chinese enterprises to expand internationally and for international capital to enter the Chinese market [8] - The office will leverage Hong Kong's mature financial system and international advantages to enhance connectivity between global markets and the Middle East [8]