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建银国际:降中兴通讯目标价至38港元 料现处转型明年显成效
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 02:34
Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has downgraded ZTE Corporation's (00763) earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 by 23%, 7%, and 7% respectively due to conservative sales in the operator business and profit margin pressure from product structure changes, while maintaining an "outperform" rating with a target price reduction from HKD 40 to HKD 38 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The valuation benchmark for ZTE has been updated to 2026, reflecting the anticipated gradual effectiveness of its transformation into a provider of network, cloud, and computing infrastructure starting in 2026 [1] - The three major domestic telecom operators are expected to reduce their capital expenditure budget by 9% year-on-year in 2025, with actual spending likely to contract further [1] - ZTE's operator network sales are projected to decline by 12% year-on-year in 2025, followed by a growth of 5% in 2026 [1] Group 2: Market Expansion - ZTE has established a significant presence in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Africa, benefiting from 4G upgrades and initial 5G deployments in these regions [1] Group 3: Government and Corporate Business (G&C) - The demand for computing from domestic internet companies is expected to remain strong for the remainder of this year and into 2026 [1] - G&C business revenue is projected to grow by 134% year-on-year in 2025, followed by a 14% increase in 2026 [1] - Improvement in gross margin is anticipated as the scale expands and the usage rate of self-developed chips increases [1]