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美股异动 | 甲骨文(ORCL.US)跌近5% 月内累涨38%
智通财经网· 2025-09-23 14:45
智通财经APP获悉,周二,甲骨文(ORCL.US)跌近5%,月内累涨38%,现报313.60美元。消息面上,近 日,穆迪评级点名提示了甲骨文签署的约 3 000 亿美元 AI 合同所潜藏的多项风险,但并未对这家软件 巨头采取任何评级行动(即未下调评级、也未调整展望)。不过,分析师同时重申了7月将甲骨文评级展 望由"稳定"下调至"负面"时列出的风险:甲骨文商业模式高度依赖少数人工智能企业的大额承诺,存在 显著"交易对手风险"——这种风险在项目融资中尤为关键,尤其在收入高度依赖单一客户时。目前,甲 骨文的穆迪发行人评级为Baa2,处于投资级信用评级的低端区间。 ...
【保险学术前沿】文章推荐:再保险实践与趋势的全面回顾
13个精算师· 2025-07-26 02:58
Core Viewpoint - Reinsurance serves as a critical risk management tool for insurance companies, allowing them to transfer risk and manage capital requirements effectively, thereby enhancing their overall stability and capacity to pay claims [2][33]. Group 1: Overview of Reinsurance - Reinsurance is an agreement between insurance underwriters and reinsurance companies, allowing insurers to transfer part or all of their risk to reinsurance firms [2]. - The primary functions of reinsurance include increasing underwriting capacity, stabilizing loss experience, limiting liability from single events, and protecting both insurers and policyholders from catastrophic events [2][3]. - Modern technology has simplified risk assessment processes, making reinsurance more efficient [2]. Group 2: Risks Associated with Reinsurance - Key risks in reinsurance include reinsurance recoverables risk, which occurs when a reinsurer defaults, causing the risk to revert to the original insurer [6]. - Counterparty risk is another significant concern, as insurers face credit risk when selecting reinsurers [6]. - Strategies such as collateral accounts can be employed to mitigate these risks by ensuring funds are available to cover claims in case of reinsurer default [6]. Group 3: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Reinsurance - While reinsurance provides benefits such as capital relief and risk diversification, it also incurs high costs, often exceeding the actuarial value of the risks transferred [7]. - The strategic value of reinsurance remains significant, as it enhances insurers' risk tolerance and provides financial buffers during extreme events [7]. Group 4: Catastrophe Risk and Reinsurance - Catastrophe risks, including natural disasters and man-made events, significantly influence the demand for reinsurance [9]. - Following catastrophic losses, insurers often increase their reinsurance purchases to enhance risk resilience, although post-disaster reinsurance can be costly and difficult to obtain [9][10]. - The structure of reinsurance contracts, including proportional and non-proportional contracts, plays a crucial role in managing catastrophe risks [11]. Group 5: Life and Non-Life Insurance - Reinsurance plays a vital role in both life and non-life insurance sectors, helping insurers manage capital guarantees and reserves effectively [14][16]. - The use of reinsurance can prevent the decline of capital guarantees in life insurance products, thereby maintaining their value [15]. - In non-life insurance, reinsurance is used to provide overall protection for risk portfolios, with different factors influencing reserve formation [16]. Group 6: Compensation Mechanisms in Reinsurance - Compensation mechanisms in reinsurance contracts are essential for risk transfer and can be optimized using various approaches [18][20]. - Structured reinsurance contracts can be designed to provide higher compensation during financial distress, benefiting both insurers and reinsurers [20]. Group 7: Financial Performance Indicators and Reinsurance - Financial performance metrics such as liquidity creation and financial flexibility are critical in assessing the impact of reinsurance on insurance companies [22]. - There exists a structural bidirectional causality between liquidity and reinsurance demand, indicating that insurers with higher risk exposure are more likely to seek reinsurance [23]. - The relationship between reinsurance and debt capacity varies based on a company's financial flexibility, affecting how insurers manage their capital structures [24]. Group 8: Mathematical Modeling in Reinsurance - Mathematical models are increasingly used to analyze reinsurance processes, aiding in decision-making and risk assessment [30][31]. - These models help predict claims payments and optimize investment-reinsurance strategies, enhancing overall financial performance [30][31]. Conclusion - Reinsurance is a fundamental tool for insurance companies to manage risks and capital requirements, ensuring they can meet claims even in the face of significant losses [33]. - The collective research highlights the importance of understanding reinsurance's core concepts, its strategic value, and the associated risks, providing a comprehensive view of the reinsurance landscape [34].