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永大股份IPO:产业链短板与业绩不稳定性
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 09:01
Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Yongda Chemical Machinery Co., Ltd. (Yongda) is facing significant structural risks despite achieving revenue growth in pressure vessel manufacturing, particularly in the chemical and photovoltaic sectors. The company's financial data and strategic positioning reveal vulnerabilities that investors should be cautious about [1]. Industry Chain Weakness - Yongda's position in the industry chain is precarious, characterized by high customer concentration and lack of bargaining power. The top five customers accounted for 85.36%, 67.32%, and 66.47% of sales revenue from 2022 to 2024, with key clients like YN Group and Hengli Petrochemical exiting the top list in 2024, indicating instability in customer structure [2]. - The company struggles with bargaining power, facing rising raw material costs influenced by oil market fluctuations while being at a disadvantage in negotiations with major clients in the chemical and photovoltaic industries. This is reflected in financial metrics, with accounts receivable growing by 29.12% in 2024, outpacing revenue growth of 15.04%, and a cash collection ratio of only 0.46 [3]. Performance Instability - Yongda's financial performance shows volatility, with revenue increasing from 696 million to 819 million CNY from 2022 to 2024, while net profit decreased from 112 million to 107 million CNY, highlighting a "growth without profit" scenario in 2024, where revenue grew by 15.04% but net profit fell by 18.35% [4]. - The company's reliance on the chemical and photovoltaic sectors exposes it to cyclical pressures, with significant fluctuations in revenue from the photovoltaic sector, which dropped from 94.94 million to 25.61 million CNY between 2022 and 2024 due to oversupply and price wars [5]. Strategic Risks - Despite declining capacity utilization, Yongda plans to increase production capacity by 1.2 times through an IPO fundraising of 558 million CNY, which may lead to resource wastage if market demand does not meet expectations. The company’s capacity utilization dropped from 106.64% to 83.83% in 2024 [6]. - Yongda's R&D investment is insufficient, with R&D expenses as a percentage of revenue at 3.2%, 3.43%, and 3.13% from 2022 to 2024, consistently below industry averages. The company has a low number of patents and faces challenges in product competitiveness, which could marginalize it in a market that demands high-performance and high-safety products [6]. Governance and Financial Chain - Yongda's governance structure raises concerns, with significant cash dividends totaling 203 million CNY from 2021 to 2024, of which approximately 179 million CNY benefited the controlling shareholder's family. This raises questions about the company's cash flow management amid high accounts receivable and inventory levels [7]. - Control risks are evident as the founder transferred 71% of shares to his father, who is now 81 years old, potentially affecting decision-making efficiency and long-term strategic execution due to unclear governance within the family business [7]. Conclusion - Yongda faces multiple challenges, including over-reliance on cyclical industries, weak bargaining power in the supply chain, and insufficient investment in technological innovation. While the company may maintain short-term revenue, high customer concentration, rising accounts receivable, and slow inventory turnover threaten operational efficiency. The combination of strategic expansion in a declining market and cyclical pressures poses significant risks to future performance stability [8].