人均GDP达到2.3万美元
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专家:2035年人均GDP完全可能达到2.3万美元
21世纪经济报道· 2025-12-17 05:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that achieving a per capita GDP of $23,000 by 2035 in China is entirely possible, given an average GDP growth of around 5% per year over the next 11 years [1][4][5] - The article discusses the significance of achieving a per capita GDP that aligns with the average of middle-income countries, which is projected to be $23,000 based on current data [3][5] - It is noted that to reach a per capita GDP of $20,000 by 2035, an increase of $6,500 is required, necessitating an average annual growth rate of 3.7% over the next 11 years [3][5] Group 2 - The article highlights that China's total population has experienced negative growth for three consecutive years, which may lead to a higher growth rate in per capita GDP than the overall GDP growth rate [4][5] - Current GDP growth data indicates a 5.2% year-on-year increase for the first three quarters of the year, with projections suggesting that the annual growth target of around 5% is achievable [5] - The article mentions that if the fourth quarter GDP growth can reach between 4.5% and 5.0%, the overall annual growth could be adjusted to approximately 5.1% [5]