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《外交事务》杂志封面文章丨掠夺性霸权:特朗普如何运用美国力量!
美股IPO· 2026-03-14 05:01
Core Argument - The article argues that Donald Trump's foreign policy can be best described as "predatory hegemony," which aims to extract concessions and compliance from allies and adversaries in a zero-sum game world, ultimately leading to long-term failure for the U.S. and its allies [8][9]. Group 1: Historical Context and Evolution of U.S. Hegemony - Over the past 80 years, the global power structure has shifted from bipolar to unipolar and now to a multipolar world, prompting adjustments in U.S. strategy [10]. - During the Cold War, the U.S. acted as a "benign hegemon," prioritizing the welfare of allies to counter the Soviet threat, while also promoting mutual prosperity through established rules [10][11]. - In the unipolar era, U.S. arrogance led to costly military interventions and a disregard for the concerns of other nations, contributing to a backlash that facilitated Trump's rise to power [11][12]. Group 2: Characteristics of Predatory Hegemony - Predatory hegemony seeks to maximize benefits from every interaction, prioritizing asymmetric gains over mutual benefits, and often employing coercive tactics against both allies and adversaries [13][14]. - Unlike benign hegemony, which recognizes the value of cooperation and shared prosperity, predatory hegemony is characterized by a willingness to exploit both allies and adversaries equally [14][15]. - The strategy relies on maintaining a state of subservience among other nations, often demanding symbolic acts of submission to reinforce its dominance [16]. Group 3: Economic Policies and Trade Relations - Trump's obsession with trade deficits led to the imposition of tariffs, which he viewed as a form of extortion, aiming to redistribute economic benefits to Washington [18][19]. - The use of tariffs was not only aimed at economic protection but also to coerce other nations into changing non-economic policies, demonstrating a transactional approach to international relations [20][21]. - Trump's administration linked economic demands to military support, undermining the effectiveness of alliances and creating short-term economic gains at the expense of long-term stability [21][22]. Group 4: Global Reactions and Consequences - The predatory approach has led to increased resentment towards the U.S., weakening its influence and creating opportunities for rivals [9][30]. - Countries are actively seeking to reduce their dependence on the U.S., as evidenced by new trade agreements and partnerships that bypass American influence [33][34]. - The strategy of coercion and bullying is not sustainable, as it risks alienating allies and undermining the U.S.'s long-term power and influence [34][35]. Group 5: Long-term Implications - The article posits that predatory hegemony is a self-destructive strategy that will ultimately lead to a decline in U.S. security, prosperity, and global influence [40]. - The reliance on coercive tactics will erode the networks of power and influence that the U.S. has built over decades, making it more vulnerable in the future [39][40]. - A shift away from predatory practices is necessary for the U.S. to restore its reputation as a fair and just partner in international relations [40].