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Is It Time to Buy Energy Transfer as Growth Projects Ramp Up?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-20 22:35
Core Viewpoint - Energy Transfer is positioned as a compelling investment opportunity in the midstream sector, showcasing strong growth potential and an attractive dividend yield [1][8]. Financial Performance - In Q4, Energy Transfer's EBITDA increased by 8% year-over-year to $4.18 billion, benefiting from a favorable regulatory ruling on NGL pipeline pricing, which contributed $56 million to the quarter [5]. - Distributable cash flow (DCF) rose 3% to $2.04 billion, with a distribution payout of $1.15 billion, resulting in a coverage ratio of nearly 1.8 [6]. - The company slightly raised its full-year EBITDA forecast to a range of $17.45 billion to $17.85 billion, up from a previous range of $17.3 billion to $17.7 billion, attributed to an acquisition by its subsidiary, USA Compression [7]. Growth Opportunities - Energy Transfer is engaged in two significant natural gas projects in the Permian Basin: the Hugh Brison Pipeline, which is 75% complete and expected to come online by year-end, and the upsized Desert Southwest Pipeline, with an in-service date of late 2029 [2][4]. - The company plans to increase capital expenditures to a range of $5 billion to $5.5 billion in 2026, up from $4.5 billion in 2025, anticipating a mid-teens return and an incremental EBITDA increase of approximately $90 million once projects are fully operational [4]. Valuation - The stock is currently trading at an enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple of 8.6 times, one of the lowest valuations in the midstream MLP sector, making it an attractive investment option [8].