储能增长曲线

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中信建投:储能已走出自己的增长曲线 仍将超预期落地
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-05 00:34
Core Viewpoint - Energy storage is identified as one of the fastest-growing and most cost-effective sectors within the new energy industry, despite recent underperformance in the market [1] Industry Analysis - The market anticipates that the rapid release of projects in regions like the Middle East will not be sustainable, and a slowdown in global photovoltaic installation growth this year will also impact energy storage growth [1] - Energy storage has developed its own growth trajectory, which is expected to exceed market expectations as the duration of storage increases and independent storage gains prominence [1] - The competitive landscape in the Middle East is perceived as intense, with no excess profits expected; however, projects like the recent Saudi PCS project are expected to maintain excess profits in advantageous segments [1] Market Trends - The household storage segment is entering a low season, with demand expected to decline in the fourth quarter; however, recent increases in European electricity prices and a recovery in shipments from Asia, Africa, and Latin America are anticipated to support a rebound in the household storage segment post-holiday [1] Investment Recommendations - The global explosion of large-scale storage is expected, with PCS being the most beneficial segment [1] - Leading integrators are maintaining high competitiveness, frequently securing orders [1] - Household storage is expected to recover, with new products like industrial and commercial storage beginning to gain traction [1]
中信建投:储能已走出自己的增长曲线,仍将超预期落地
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 00:14
中信建投研报指出,储能是电新行业增速最快、投资性价比最高的板块之一,但近期市场表现一般。我 们认为预期差主要在于:量的方面,市场认为中东等地项目的快速释放无法持续,今年全球光伏装机增 速减缓亦将影响储能增速。而随着时长的增长,以及独立储能的崛起,储能已走出自己的增长曲线,仍 将超预期落地。利的方面,市场认为中东等地竞争激烈,不存在超额利润,而以近期沙特项目PCS为代 表,优势环节仍将具备超额利润。户储板块进入淡季,四季度需求有所下滑,但近期欧洲电价有所上 涨,亚非拉市场出货亦有所回复,看好节后户储板块基本面回暖。总之,从行业空间以及估值来看,储 能是电新行业投资价值最高的板块之一,值得重点关注。投资建议:1、大储全球爆发,PCS成为最受 益环节;2、头部集成商维持高竞争力,订单斩获频频;3、户储有望回暖,工商储等新产品起量。 ...