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中信建投:储能已走出自己的增长曲线 仍将超预期落地
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-09-05 00:34
Core Viewpoint - Energy storage is identified as one of the fastest-growing and most cost-effective sectors within the new energy industry, despite recent underperformance in the market [1] Industry Analysis - The market anticipates that the rapid release of projects in regions like the Middle East will not be sustainable, and a slowdown in global photovoltaic installation growth this year will also impact energy storage growth [1] - Energy storage has developed its own growth trajectory, which is expected to exceed market expectations as the duration of storage increases and independent storage gains prominence [1] - The competitive landscape in the Middle East is perceived as intense, with no excess profits expected; however, projects like the recent Saudi PCS project are expected to maintain excess profits in advantageous segments [1] Market Trends - The household storage segment is entering a low season, with demand expected to decline in the fourth quarter; however, recent increases in European electricity prices and a recovery in shipments from Asia, Africa, and Latin America are anticipated to support a rebound in the household storage segment post-holiday [1] Investment Recommendations - The global explosion of large-scale storage is expected, with PCS being the most beneficial segment [1] - Leading integrators are maintaining high competitiveness, frequently securing orders [1] - Household storage is expected to recover, with new products like industrial and commercial storage beginning to gain traction [1]
中信建投:储能已走出自己的增长曲线,仍将超预期落地
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 00:14
Core Viewpoint - Energy storage is identified as one of the fastest-growing and most cost-effective sectors within the new energy industry, despite recent average market performance [1] Group 1: Market Expectations - The market anticipates that the rapid release of projects in regions like the Middle East may not be sustainable, and the slowdown in global photovoltaic installations this year will also impact energy storage growth [1] - Energy storage has developed its own growth trajectory, with increasing duration and the rise of independent storage, suggesting it will exceed expectations [1] Group 2: Profitability Insights - There is a perception of intense competition in the Middle East, leading to a belief that there are no excess profits; however, certain segments, exemplified by recent projects in Saudi Arabia, still possess the potential for excess profits [1] Group 3: Seasonal Trends and Regional Performance - The household storage sector is entering a low season, with a decline in demand expected in the fourth quarter; however, recent increases in European electricity prices and a recovery in shipments from Asia, Africa, and Latin America are promising for the sector [1] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The global explosion of large-scale storage is anticipated, with Power Conversion Systems (PCS) being the most beneficial segment [1] - Leading integrators are maintaining high competitiveness, frequently securing orders [1] - Household storage is expected to recover, with new products like industrial and commercial storage beginning to gain traction [1]