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BTC強勢反彈!再破小前高!這次去120000?是否新高?
提阿非羅大人TiaBTC· 2025-10-01 18:34
Market Analysis - Bitcoin is approaching a previous high point, with potential for a false breakout, similar to the previous instance where a short position yielded positive results [1] - The analyst initially anticipated Bitcoin potentially reaching around 121,000 or creating an all-time high, but now observes it nearing a Gartley pattern target at approximately the 0.786% level [1] - A large bearish candlestick pattern near the all-time high suggests significant selling pressure from major investors, leading the analyst to consider this area as a potential shorting opportunity if selling pressure persists upon retesting [1] - Ethereum has shown resilience by reclaiming a previous high point, indicating a potential AMD pattern formation, with a possible target at a prior high [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst suggests caution when using Wyckoff's accumulation and distribution concepts, especially for beginners, as it can lead to overconfidence and incorrect trading decisions [1] - For short-term Bitcoin trades, the analyst suggests considering a short position upon observing a bearish signal on the hourly chart, with a stop-loss above the high and targets at previous lows [1] - For Ethereum, if Bitcoin continues to rise, Ethereum may have room to rebound, potentially followed by a surge in altcoins before Bitcoin and Ethereum stall [2] Risk Management - The analyst expresses caution about shorting Bitcoin at the current level, suggesting that a slightly higher entry point might be more favorable due to liquidity concerns [1] - The analyst acknowledges the pressure faced when initial predictions are not immediately met, emphasizing that individual trading plans should be respected [1]