Workflow
技術分析
icon
Search documents
比特幣12萬!總算來到!是否做空?還去新高嗎?ETH呢
我最常用Bybit,最符合技術分析:https://bit.ly/tiabtc 現貨常用幣安,最高減40%手續費:https://bit.ly/tiaba 老牌OKX歐易,長久可靠低費率:https://bit.ly/tiok 最強跟單Bitget,最多新手福利:https://bit.ly/tiabtg 註冊入金(或重啟老賬戶),免費體驗會員一月:https://bit.ly/tia_discord 客服:Discord社群中找@tiahelper 推特:https://x.com/tiabitcoin 課程:https://www.tiabtc.com Telegram:https://t.me/tiaalert #bitcoin #比特幣 #以太幣 #以太坊 #btc #大餅 #eth #doge #狗狗幣 #技術分析 #道氏理論 #波浪理論 #斐波拉契 #諧波形態 #自然交易理論 #自然交易法 #江恩理論 #sol #ada #bnb #xrp #dot #avax #luna #uni #大作手回憶錄 #傑西利弗莫爾 #李佛摩 #美聯儲 #美股 #幣圈 #加密貨幣 #數字貨幣 #硬件錢包 #中本聰 ...
半導體板塊異動:中芯國際能否領漲突圍?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-29 23:45
| 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 賣出 | | O | 技術指標呈現複雜訊號。雖然整體技術指標總結給出「賣出」信號,強度為8,但多個重要指標卻顯示積極跡象。RSI指標在74水平顯示超買狀態,但仍維 持買賣中立訊號。多個震盪指標呈現中立態勢,其中威廉指標和隨機震盪指標均保持中立,但CCI指標卻發出買入信號。MACD指標和保力加通道均呈現買 入訊號,這種技術面的分歧正反映市場對中芯短期方向存在較大分歧。 回顧中芯近期衍生產品表現,在9月23日提到的產品中,華泰認購證(14397)兩日後錄得34%的驚人升幅,瑞銀牛證(60514)也有33%的亮眼表現,信證 認購證(20290)則上漲18%,這些衍生產品均大幅跑贏正股同期5.79%的升幅,顯示在波動市中衍生工具的獲利潛力相當可觀。 | 11:03 | | II ? !!! | 11:03 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | AI Q C. ( | | | | 間表 資訊 | 開始 | | 間表 | 輪 論 評論 플言 | | 20322 中芯瑞銀六六購B ...
9月26日【港股Podcast】恆指、銀河、美團、建行、中芯、兗礦能源
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-29 04:42
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently experiencing mixed sentiments, with bullish investors expecting a settlement price above 26,400 next week, while bearish investors anticipate a drop to between 25,500 and 25,300 [1] - Technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with support levels at 25,574 and 25,200, and resistance levels at 26,700 and 26,900 [1] Group 2: Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK) - Galaxy Entertainment's stock has been stable in recent months, with a current price of 43 HKD, but technical signals suggest a "sell" stance [4] - Support levels are identified at 42.1 HKD and 40.4 HKD, while resistance levels are at 43.4 HKD and 44.2 HKD [4] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock is currently stabilizing around 100 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy" recommendation [10] - Resistance is noted at 107 HKD, with potential to rise to 115 HKD if this level is breached; support levels are at 96.2 HKD and 91.7 HKD [10] Group 4: China Construction Bank (00939.HK) - China Construction Bank's stock has seen a low of 7.22 HKD, with a technical signal leaning towards "buy" [17] - Resistance levels are at 7.63 HKD and 7.86 HKD, with options available at a strike price of 9.9 HKD [17] Group 5: SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock is currently at 72.95 HKD, with a technical signal indicating a "sell" recommendation [23] - Support levels are at 66.4 HKD and 58.9 HKD, while the first resistance level is at 80.1 HKD [23] Group 6: Yancoal Australia (01171.HK) - Yancoal's stock is currently at 10.31 HKD, with technical signals showing a neutral stance [27] - Resistance levels are at 10.7 HKD and 11.3 HKD, with support levels at 9.8 HKD and 9.4 HKD [27]
金價波動助推山東黃金!技術指標現超買警訊
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-28 07:45
山東黃金(01787)近期受國際金價波動影響,呈現劇烈震盪走勢。從技術面分析,該股目前價位38.36元已突破十日移動平均線,並大幅高於三十日線30.99 元及六十日線28.93元,顯示中期趨勢偏強。然而相對強弱指數(rsi)達77水平,威廉指標與隨機震盪指標均顯示超買狀態,同時動量指標出現頂背離賣出 信號,這些技術指標暗示股價可能面臨回調壓力。不過,牛熊力量指標與macd仍維持買入信號,反映多空力量正在激烈博弈。 回顧昨日專欄【港股Podcast】中提到山東黃金 (01787.HK):黃金再創高位,投資者問還上升空間?窩輪市場上,在上週有投資者持有認購證, 行使價33.93元 Simon:收市價38.26元。過往兩日的升幅比較顯著。目前短線的技術信號總結"賣出"。阻力位在40.6元和43.1元。下方的支持位在33.4元和30.6元 關鍵價位方面,初步支持位落在34.4元,若跌破則可能下探30.6元關卡。上行阻力先看40.7元,突破後有望挑戰43.2元目標位。特別值得注意的是,該股五日 振幅高達14%,市場參與度相當活躍,但波動風險也隨之增加。從保力加通道觀察,股價波動區間持續擴張,投資者需謹慎控制倉位。 | ...
銀娛多頭排列成形 43.3元阻力位攻防戰
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-27 12:40
港股週五表現反覆,但博彩板塊卻逆市走強。銀河娛樂(00027)今日上升2.5%,收報42.66元,成功突破近期整理區間,成交額5.22億元顯示資金流入積極。作為澳 門博彩業龍頭,銀娛近期技術形態出現明顯改善,多項指標支持短線繼續上行空間。 從技術走勢分析,銀娛目前已經站穩所有主要均線之上,10天線41.66元明顯高於30天線41.25元及60天線39.93元,形成多頭排列格局。當前首要阻力位在 43.3元水準,突破後下一目標將指向44.4元;下方支持方面,41.2元為近期關鍵支撐,更強支持則位於40.6元。值得留意的是,雖然技術指標總結信號顯示 「賣出」,但多個震盪指標如動量指標和變動率指標均發出買入信號,這種技術背離值得投資者深入解讀。 | | | 觀察到MACD指標維持買入信號,但心理線指標出現頂背離現象,這可能預示著短期上升動能有所減弱。在這種矛盾信號並存的情況下,您會選擇順勢追漲 還是等待回調機會?對於習慣技術分析的投資者而言,這種背離現象又該如何解讀? 回顧近期輪證表現,在9月24日銀娛股價上升1.97%時,華泰認購證17876在兩日內錄得9%的升幅,展現出輪證產品的杠杆效應。這也提醒我們,在正股出 ...
半導體股衝高!華虹短線追漲還是等待回調?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-26 15:42
| | | 回顧近期窩輪市場表現,9月18日推薦的中銀認購證(19312)在正股上漲7.77%的帶動下,兩日內實現15%的可觀回報,顯示半導體板塊衍生產品在上升行 情中具備良好的獲利能力。 在當前市況下,投資者可關注信證認購證(18768),該產品提供4倍槓桿,行使價設定在75元,最大優勢在於引伸波幅為同類產品中最低,適合看好後市但 希望控制成本的投資者。中銀認購證(19857)行使價73.52元,槓桿2.6倍,溢價32.78%;摩通認購證(19880)同個行使價,槓桿同為2.6倍,溢價更低一 些,處於32.68%;華泰認購證(19739),行使價72.8元,價外10.05%,槓桿有2.54倍。 華虹半導體(01347)近日表現強勢,週三股價上漲3.86%至63.25元,成交金額達38.72億元,顯示市場關注度持續升溫。今日(25日)截止10點05分,股價續升 3.72%,報65.55元。特別值得注意的是,五日振幅高達19%,成交活躍度明顯提升,但保力加通道極度擴張也反映波動風險正在加劇。 回顧昨日專欄【港股Podcast】華虹半導體 (01347.HK):晶片大爆發,回到什麼位置可以加倉?窩輪市場上,有投資 ...
突破關鍵阻力!舜宇光學輪證策略全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 11:43
Group 1 - The stock price of Sunny Optical Technology (02382) reached a high of 88.35 HKD, successfully breaking through key resistance levels at 81.79 HKD (10-day moving average) and 80.87 HKD (30-day moving average), indicating a bullish trend [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 61, suggesting it is not yet in the overbought territory, while other indicators like the stochastic oscillator and MACD are signaling buy opportunities [1] - The stock has shown significant volatility with a 5-day price fluctuation of 9.8%, presenting both opportunities and risks for short-term traders [2] Group 2 - Recent market performance of related products has been strong, with UBS warrants (64956) surging 40% in two days due to a 6.29% increase in the underlying stock, indicating investor optimism in the optical sector [4] - Current resistance levels for Sunny Optical are at 92.4 HKD and 93.9 HKD, while support is seen at 81 HKD, with potential downside to 79.2 HKD if the support is breached [2] - Investors are advised to consider various warrant strategies, with UBS call warrants (15320) offering a leverage of 5.6 times and a strike price of 95.93 HKD, suitable for those expecting further price increases [4][6]
港交所技術面現分歧!熊證兩日賺27%的啟示
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 03:59
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market, represented by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388), is currently experiencing a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish sentiments, with technical indicators sending mixed signals [1] - As of 13:15, the stock price is at HKD 435.8, down 1.49%, oscillating near the 10-day moving average of HKD 446.36 and the 30-day moving average of HKD 444.37, while remaining above the 60-day moving average of HKD 435.69 [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 46, indicating a potential oversold condition, while the MACD and Ichimoku indicators suggest a bearish trend, indicating an imminent decision on short-term direction [1] Technical Analysis - Key support levels are identified between HKD 418 and HKD 428, while resistance levels are at HKD 450 and a stronger resistance at HKD 466 [1] - Despite a modest 5.5% fluctuation over five days, the overall strength of technical indicators reaches an 8-level buy signal, suggesting a potential breakout momentum [1] - The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate that the market is in a state of consolidation, poised for a breakout [1] Derivative Market Performance - Recent performance in the warrants market shows significant gains, with the recommended Morgan Stanley bear certificate (60987) rising 27% within two days despite a 2.07% drop in the underlying stock [3] - The Bank of China put option (19860) also recorded an 11% increase during the same period, highlighting the potential for significant returns from bearish products during market volatility [3] Investment Strategies - For bullish positions, UBS call options (16698) offer a high leverage of 17.6 times, while Societe Generale call options (16900) provide even higher leverage at 18 times, both with an exercise price set at HKD 484.08 [6] - Bearish strategies can focus on Bank of China put options (19860) and UBS put options (19854), both maintaining low implied volatility and offering leverage above 7 times [8] - Morgan Stanley bear certificate (66719) has a redemption price of HKD 473, noted for its low premium and high actual leverage, while UBS bear certificate (60541) strikes a good balance between leverage and premium [8]
9月22日【港股Podcast】恆指、舜宇、山東黃金、中芯、藥明生物、聯想
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-23 07:40
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,344 points, with short-term technical signals indicating a "buy" but not a "strong buy" [1] - Resistance levels are identified at 26,840 points and 27,500 points, while support levels are at 25,700 points and 25,000 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider the premium levels of products, as high premiums can affect purchase prices [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Sunny Optical's stock rose to a high of 87.7 HKD, closing at 87 HKD, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band [3] - Current technical signals suggest a "sell" with slight bearish sentiment, and the first resistance level is at 91.2 HKD [3] - Investors are encouraged to compare options with a 2%-3% out-of-the-money range for better leverage [3] Group 3: Company Analysis - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) - Shandong Gold's stock closed at 38.26 HKD, showing significant gains over the past two days [6] - Current technical signals indicate a "sell," with resistance levels at 40.6 HKD and 43.1 HKD, and support levels at 33.4 HKD and 30.6 HKD [6] Group 4: Company Analysis - SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock reached a high of 74.05 HKD, with current technical signals summarizing as "sell" [9] - Support levels are noted at 64.7 HKD and 58.6 HKD, with a recommendation for safer options around 58-59 HKD [9] Group 5: Company Analysis - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) - WuXi Biologics' stock peaked at 40.2 HKD, closing at 40.08 HKD, with short-term technical signals indicating a "sell" [12] - Resistance levels are at 42.1 HKD and 43.8 HKD, while support levels are at 36.8 HKD and 33.6 HKD [12] Group 6: Company Analysis - Lenovo Group (00992.HK) - Lenovo's stock closed at 12.2 HKD, with technical signals summarizing as "sell" and short-term outlook being pessimistic [15] - Resistance levels are at 12.6 HKD and 13.4 HKD, with support levels at 11.5 HKD and 11 HKD [15]
瑞聲短線爆發前奏?捕捉技術突破的輪證策略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-22 19:40
Core Viewpoint - 瑞声科技 (02018.HK) is currently experiencing a consolidation phase, with stock prices fluctuating between 43 and 47 HKD, indicating potential for a breakout in the near future [3][4]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has shown a neutral technical signal, with resistance levels identified at 47 HKD and 49.6 HKD, while a target price of 50 HKD requires breaking through these resistance levels [1][3]. - The stock is at a critical point in a triangular consolidation pattern, with key support at approximately 43 HKD and significant support at 42.69 HKD from the 60-day moving average [3]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55, indicating a balanced power between bulls and bears, but several oscillators are showing buy signals, suggesting a potential upward movement [3]. Market Sentiment and Derivative Products - Recent performance in the warrant market shows that even with minor fluctuations in the underlying stock, suitable warrant products can yield substantial returns, reflecting ongoing investor interest in 瑞声科技 [4]. - For bullish investors, two call warrants are highlighted: 中銀認購證 (18352) with a leverage of 3.07 times and a strike price of 54.04 HKD, and 法興認購證 (13937) offering a higher leverage of 6.1 times with a strike price of 52.88 HKD [6]. - For bearish investors, two put warrants are available: 瑞銀認沽證 (19352) and 花旗認沽證 (14757), both providing a leverage of 1.9 times, with strike prices of 40.86 HKD and 40.88 HKD respectively [6].