Core Viewpoint - Koshi Co., Ltd. (科思股份) is facing significant challenges in its business performance, particularly in its sunscreen product segment, leading to a substantial decline in projected profits for 2025 [1][2] Financial Performance - For 2025, the company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders between 90 million to 120 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 78.67% to 84% [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.116 billion yuan, down 39.93% year-on-year, with a net profit of approximately 77.93 million yuan, a decrease of 84.84% [2] - The gross margin fell from 48.8% in 2023 to 29.7% in the first three quarters of 2025, while the net margin dropped from 30.6% to 6.6% in the same period [2] Business Segment Insights - The core product line of the company includes "active ingredients and raw materials for cosmetics," with sunscreen agents being the primary focus, accounting for over 80% of total revenue [2] - Revenue from this segment decreased from 2.07 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.904 billion yuan in 2024, and more than 54% in the first half of 2025 [2] Market Dynamics - The global sunscreen market is experiencing a slowdown, with the market size reaching 15.287 billion USD in 2023 and an average annual growth rate of approximately 7.6% from 2021 to 2023, which is expected to decline to 4.3% from 2023 to 2028 [5] - Increased competition in the sunscreen market has led to a general decline in product prices, impacting profit margins [5] Competitive Landscape - The company is a major manufacturer of sunscreen agents, holding over 20% market share in 2023, with key clients including global giants like L'Oréal, Procter & Gamble, and Bayer [3] - The company’s overseas business accounted for 89.94% of its revenue in 2023, although this proportion decreased to 86.97% in 2024, with a significant drop in overseas revenue in the first half of 2025 [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating the construction of a 10,000-ton annual production project for sunscreen products in Malaysia to enhance its supply response capabilities in the European and Southeast Asian markets [3]