冲突风险减弱
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国际银目前多空交锋 三方会谈释放偏空信号
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-02-02 03:28
Group 1 - The international silver price is currently trading above $81.82, with a recent high of $87.91 and a low of $78.93, indicating a short-term bullish trend despite a 1.74% decline to $83.16 [1] - Recent three-party talks involving Russia, Ukraine, and the United States in Abu Dhabi suggest a significant policy shift from Russia, incorporating the U.S. into the negotiation process [1] - The potential agreement may involve Ukraine relinquishing control over parts of Donbas in exchange for U.S. security guarantees and NATO military presence, which could lead to a reduction in conflict risk and negatively impact safe-haven assets like silver [1] Group 2 - Silver prices have broken through two short-term retracement zones and a steep upward trend line, with key support focusing on Fibonacci retracement levels and moving average confluence [2] - The 50% retracement level from the recent price increase corresponds to $83.61, with the daily low touching $83.06, indicating a slight breach of this support level [2] - The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $74.63, along with the 50-day moving average at $74.55, forms a stronger support zone, viewed as a more favorable reference point for potential rebounds [2]