创新药上行周期
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昭衍新药涨近10% 月内累升超30% 机构指头部CRO有望受益于行业回暖+实验猴涨价
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-17 03:30
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant rise in the stock price of Zhaoyan New Drug (6127.HK), which increased nearly 10% to HKD 22.48, marking a two-month high, with a cumulative increase of over 30% in December, leading to a total market capitalization of HKD 16.86 billion [1] - The price of experimental monkeys has surged, with the cost of 3-5 year old crab-eating macaques reaching HKD 140,000 each, indicating a supply-demand imbalance this year [1] - The recovery in the CRO (Contract Research Organization) industry and the upward cycle of innovative drugs are contributing factors to the rising prices of experimental monkeys, with several CRO companies, including Zhaoyan New Drug and Yinos, having substantial resources in this area [1] Group 2 - According to Founder Securities, leading CROs with rich strategic resource reserves are expected to benefit from the industry recovery and the fair value gains from monkey prices [1] - For Zhaoyan New Drug, assuming an average price of HKD 84,900 per monkey in 2024 and an increase to HKD 140,000 by Q4 2025, with an estimated output rate of 17% from 23,200 monkeys, the projected new fair value in 2025 could be approximately HKD 220 million [1]
港股异动|昭衍新药涨近10% 月内累升超30% 机构指头部CRO有望受益于行业回暖+实验猴涨价
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-17 03:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant rise in the stock price of Zhaoyan New Drug (6127.HK), which increased nearly 10% to HKD 22.48, marking a two-month high, with a cumulative increase of over 30% in the month, resulting in a total market capitalization of HKD 16.86 billion [1] - The price of experimental monkeys has surged, with the cost for 3-5 year old crab-eating macaques reaching HKD 140,000 each, indicating a supply-demand imbalance this year [1] - The increase in monkey prices is linked to the upward cycle of innovative drugs and the recovery of orders in the CRO industry, with several CRO companies, including Zhaoyan New Drug and Yinos, having substantial resources in experimental monkeys [1] Group 2 - According to Founder Securities, leading CROs with rich strategic resource reserves are expected to benefit from the industry recovery and the fair value gains from monkey prices [1] - For Zhaoyan New Drug, assuming an average price of HKD 84,900 per monkey in 2024 and an increase to HKD 140,000 by Q4 2025, with an estimated output rate of 17% from a known 23,200 monkeys, the projected new fair value in 2025 could be approximately HKD 220 million [1]
实验猴涨至14万元一只!有商家预计还要涨,多家CRO企业有所布局
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-10 04:23
Group 1 - The price of experimental monkeys has surged, with the cost for 3-5 year old crab-eating macaques reaching 140,000 yuan each as of December 9, indicating a supply-demand imbalance in the market [1] - The price of experimental monkeys had previously experienced significant fluctuations, peaking at nearly 200,000 yuan each around 2023 before dropping to as low as 50,000 yuan [1] - The current increase in monkey prices is linked to the upward cycle of innovative drugs and the recovery of orders in the CRO (Contract Research Organization) industry [1] Group 2 - Several CRO companies, including Zhaoyan New Drug and Yinos, have made significant investments in experimental monkeys, indicating a strategic focus on this resource [1] - Since 2018, leading companies such as WuXi AppTec and Kanglong Chemical have been acquiring monkey breeding facilities, reflecting a trend of stockpiling monkeys in anticipation of price increases [1] - A substantial rise in monkey prices could positively impact the fair value changes of companies' biological assets [1]