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大行评级|里昂:对医药分销行业结构性乐观态度 上调国药控股及上海医药目标价
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-15 02:37
Core Viewpoint - The report from Citi expresses a structurally optimistic outlook for the Chinese pharmaceutical distribution industry despite the lack of a turnaround in the first half of the year [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - Potential easing of medical insurance expenditures is anticipated, which may positively impact the industry [1] - Possible optimization of centralized procurement policies is expected due to potential anti-involution measures in the healthcare sector [1] - Strengthening of direct cash settlement from medical insurance funds is noted as a positive development for the industry [1] - The domestic interest rate cut cycle is expected to improve the financial leverage of distributors [1] Group 2: Company Target Price Adjustments - The target price for China National Pharmaceutical Group (国药控股) is raised from HKD 20 to HKD 24.5 [1] - The target price for Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (上海医药) is increased from HKD 12.3 to HKD 14.2 [1] - The target price for China Resources Pharmaceutical (华润医药) is decreased from HKD 5.9 to HKD 5.6, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] - China National Pharmaceutical Group is identified as the preferred choice among pure distributors [1]
里昂:对医药分销行业结构性乐观态度 上调国药控股及上海医药目标价
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 02:37
里昂发表报告指,虽然中国领先医药分销商上半年业绩未呈转势,但对该行业持结构性乐观态度,原因 包括医疗保险支出潜在放宽,考虑到医疗行业可能的反内卷措施,料优化集中采购政策,医疗保险基金 的直接现金结算加强,国内降息周期有助于改善分销商的财务杠杆。里昂将国药控股目标价从20港元上 调至24.5港元,将上海医药H股目标价从12.3港元上调至14.2港元,同时将华润医药的目标价从5.9港元 下调至5.6港元,均维持"跑赢大市"评级。作为纯粹的分销商,国药控股是该行的首选。 ...