印度河河水条约

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印巴冲突,为何不断升级
Hu Xiu· 2025-05-03 12:46
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the escalating conflict between India and Pakistan, particularly following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir, which has led to heightened military tensions and retaliatory measures from both sides [1][2][5][6]. Group 2 - The conflict is rooted in the complex historical, religious, and political dynamics of the Kashmir region, exacerbated by India's 2019 constitutional changes that revoked the special status of Jammu and Kashmir, leading to increased local resistance and violence [6][8]. - The Indian government has accused Pakistan of supporting the attackers, while Pakistan denies these allegations and has taken reciprocal measures, including closing airspace and suspending trade [1][10]. - The Indian government's recent actions, including the suspension of the Indus Water Treaty, represent a significant escalation in the conflict, indicating a shift towards a new phase of strategic deterrence that includes water security as a weapon [11][12]. Group 3 - The strategic considerations for India involve demonstrating a strong anti-terror stance to appease domestic sentiments and deflect criticism of its Kashmir policies, while also seeking to modify the Indus Water Treaty to gain control over water resources [15][16]. - For Pakistan, the response to the conflict is largely reactive, focusing on diplomatic efforts to clarify its position and seeking international support to address the crisis, particularly regarding water security [18][19]. - The international community, including major powers like the US, Russia, and regional players, is generally opposed to a military escalation between India and Pakistan, emphasizing the need for diplomatic solutions to avoid destabilization in South Asia [20][23].