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特朗普和经济学家必须“死”一个
凤凰网财经· 2025-04-08 14:30
以下文章来源于新潮沉思录 ,作者潮思 新潮沉思录 . 新潮沉思录 来源 | 新潮沉思录 2025年4月2日,特朗普的关税大棒终于落下。由于征税的力度和范围远超资本的预期,美股应声下跌。随之而来的是特朗普的第二任期的支持率达到了新 低。根据路透社的最新民调显示,特朗普的支持率为43%,低于上任时的47%。 特朗普的关税战争也激起了全世界的惊涛骇浪。欧盟可能是除了中国以外最主要的战场,除了狡猾的英国人通过有效公关只被加收10%关税外,欧盟整体 被加收20%关税。在马克龙多次暗示敌在太平洋的情况下,特朗普的冷面无情与打脸无异。 社交媒体对特朗普关税战争的解构更为热闹。从"对万国宣战诏书"到"特朗普赢学"再到"草台班子论",特朗普的关税战争普遍被解释为反智主义或者单纯 的情绪价值,这在经济学相关人士和美股爱好者中特别明显。对前者而言,这是捍卫经济学作为科学的必要反应;对后者而言,真金白银的损失足以让他 们宣泄对罪魁祸首的愤怒。特朗普必须变为一个"异质性的疯子"。 通过"非人化"或者"非理性化"满足两边日益极化的政治情绪是一个有趣的问题,这不是本文的重点。笔者试图指出,还是存在着某种概率,特朗普的关税 战争有可能并非纯 ...
特朗普和经济学家必须“死”一个
虎嗅APP· 2025-04-05 13:40
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of Trump's tariff policies, suggesting they may not be purely irrational but part of a broader anti-neoliberal globalization agenda that Trump has contemplated for decades [2][14]. Group 1: Tariff Policies and Economic Impact - On April 2, 2025, Trump signed an executive order declaring a state of emergency in the U.S. economy, citing significant trade deficits as a threat to domestic manufacturing and national security [4]. - Trump's tariffs are seen as a response to perceived unfair trade practices by other nations, which he argues have led to the hollowing out of American manufacturing [5]. - The tariffs imposed on the EU and other trading partners are significantly higher than those faced by the U.S., with the EU facing a 20% tariff [1]. Group 2: Political and Ideological Context - The article posits that Trump's tariff war is a declaration of war against the neoliberal globalization system, which he believes undermines American community consensus [14][15]. - Trump's approach reflects a rejection of expert opinion and bureaucratic norms, leading to a perception of his administration as lacking sophistication in economic policy [10][11]. - The article highlights a fundamental ideological divide between traditional conservatism and neoliberalism, with Trump advocating for a trade system that prioritizes community ethics over pure economic efficiency [6][15]. Group 3: Future Implications - The article suggests that Trump's tariffs are just the beginning of a larger strategy to dismantle the neoliberal global order, which could have profound implications for global supply chains and international relations [17][18]. - The potential for increased economic isolationism and the decoupling of global supply chains is emphasized, particularly in relation to the EU's vulnerability in geopolitical conflicts without U.S. support [17]. - The long-term consequences of Trump's policies could lead to a significant transformation in how countries engage in trade and economic cooperation, marking the end of the neoliberal era [18].