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IMF小幅上调2026年增长预期,警告不确定性让全球经济承压
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2026-01-20 00:17
Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised its global economic growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous prediction made in October last year [1] - The report highlights ongoing uncertainties due to trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts, which may exert additional pressure on global economic activities [1] Economic Growth Projections - The IMF forecasts that the global economy will grow by 3.3% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027, with the latter figure remaining unchanged from last year's forecast [1] - Emerging markets and developing economies are expected to maintain growth rates above 4.0% from 2026 to 2027, while developed economies are projected to grow by 1.8% in 2026 and 1.7% in 2027 [1] Inflation Expectations - The global overall inflation rate is anticipated to decrease from 4.1% in 2025 to 3.8% in 2026, and further decline to 3.4% in 2027 [1]