（文章来源：新华网） 新华社快讯：国际货币基金组织（IMF）29日发布《世界经济展望报告》更新内容，预计2025年和2026 年世界经济将分别增长3%和3.1%，较今年4月预测值分别上调0.2和0.1个百分点。 ...

2025 年 7 月 30 日 原油：多单持有，或再挑战 80 美元/桶 黄柳楠 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015892 huangliunan021151@gtjas.com 【国际原油】 WTI9 原油期货收涨 2.50 美元/桶，涨幅 3.75%，报 69.21 美元/桶；布伦特 9 月原油期货收涨 2.47 美元/桶，涨幅 3.52%，报 72.51 美元/桶；SC2509 原油期货收涨 12.80 元/桶，涨幅 2.49%， 报 527.50 元/桶。 6. 欧佩克+联合部长级监督委员会再次敦促成员国完全遵守配额的重要性。 11. IMF 将今年世界经济增长预期上调至 3%，将美国增长预测上调至 1.9%，将中国增长预测上调至 4.8%。 （以上资讯来源于金十数据） 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 研 究 所 商 品 研 究 1. 美国高级行政官员：特朗普建议欧盟在其任期内购买 1 万亿美元的美国能源，欧盟最终决定以 购买 7500 亿美元达成协议。 2. 美国至 7 月 25 日当周 API 原油库存(万桶)：前值 -57.7 预期 -250 公布 153.9；美国至 7 月 25 日当周 A ...

Core Viewpoint - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised its global economic growth forecasts for the next two years, indicating a fragile global economy influenced by U.S. trade policies and other uncertainties [1] Economic Growth Projections - The IMF projects global economic growth of 3% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, which is an increase of 0.2 and 0.1 percentage points from the April forecast [1] - Emerging markets and developing economies are expected to grow by 4.1% and 4% in the next two years, up by 0.4 and 0.1 percentage points from the previous forecast [1] - Developed economies are projected to grow by 1.5% and 1.6%, with an increase of 0.1 percentage points for both years [1] Factors Influencing Economic Outlook - The upward revision in forecasts is attributed to importers stockpiling goods in anticipation of potential U.S. tariffs [1] - The report highlights that economic activity is distorted due to expectations of significant tariff increases [1] Risks to Economic Stability - The IMF warns that high uncertainty in trade policies, escalating geopolitical tensions, and increasing fiscal vulnerabilities pose risks to global economic stability [1] - It emphasizes the importance of clear and transparent trade frameworks to mitigate uncertainty and encourages practical cooperation among economies to reduce trade and investment barriers [1]