Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in Haitai Convertible Bond highlights the risks associated with speculative trading in the convertible bond market, particularly in the context of unusual price movements and impending forced redemption [1][3][4]. Group 1: Haitai Convertible Bond Performance - Haitai Convertible Bond experienced a significant price surge of over 19% on September 12, despite the underlying stock showing minimal volatility [1][3]. - On September 15, the bond reached a peak price of 223.225 CNY per share before closing with a 20% limit down, resulting in a loss exceeding 22% for investors who bought at the peak [3][4]. - The bond's price drop occurred even as the underlying stock, Haitai Technology, fell only 1.61% on the same day, indicating a disconnect between the bond and stock performance [3]. Group 2: Redemption and Market Dynamics - Haitai Technology announced that the bond would be subject to conditional redemption due to the stock price exceeding 130% of the conversion price for 15 trading days [4]. - The company plans to redeem the bonds at 100.260 CNY per share if they remain unconverted by September 29, 2025, urging investors to convert their bonds to avoid potential losses [4]. - The bond's conversion premium remains at 12.72%, suggesting that the bond's market price is still above its conversion value, which may attract speculative trading [3]. Group 3: Speculative Trading in Convertible Bonds - The phenomenon of "flash crashes" in convertible bonds, referred to as "demon bonds," has been observed frequently this year, with similar patterns seen in other convertible bonds like Haibo and Tianchuang [6][7]. - These bonds often experience extreme price volatility due to low liquidity and speculative trading, leading to significant losses for investors who buy at inflated prices [7][8]. - Analysts warn that such speculative behavior resembles a "kill pig" scheme, where prices are artificially inflated before a sudden sell-off, disrupting market order and harming investor interests [8].