金十数据4月22日讯，中信证券研报称，美国"对等关税"来势汹汹，但虎头蛇尾，而中国光伏在长期面 对"双反"、301、201等高额关税的情况下，对美出口已与关税脱敏，主要通过东南亚等海外基地实现对 美间接出口。"关税战"冲击虽造成中国光伏厂商海外产能成本上升并进一步挤压盈利，但相较于美国本 土制造成本，或仍具相对优势，美国光伏制造回流进程充满不确定性，中期内难改光伏产品进口依赖的 窘境。面对复杂多变的贸易和政策环境，加大非美市场开拓，推动技术升级和品牌塑造，实现市场多元 化+业务本地化+向解决方案服务商转型，或将成为对冲风险和盈利回升的关键。 中信证券：加大非美市场开拓实现转型 或将成光伏供应链对冲关税战风险的关键 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of increasing tariffs on Chinese photovoltaic (PV) exports to the U.S., highlighting that despite high tariffs, the industry has adapted through indirect exports via Southeast Asia, maintaining a competitive edge over U.S. manufacturing costs [1][2][11]. Group 1: Tariff Impact and Adaptation - U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports have surged, reaching rates as high as 145%, yet the Chinese PV industry has become desensitized to these tariffs, primarily exporting through Southeast Asian production bases [2][11]. - The ongoing "tariff war" has increased production costs for Chinese manufacturers overseas, which may squeeze profit margins, but they still retain a relative advantage compared to U.S. manufacturing costs [2][11]. - The U.S. domestic PV manufacturing capacity is lagging behind expectations, with projected capacities for silicon materials, wafers, cells, and modules by January 2025 being approximately 21 GW, 0 GW, 2 GW, and 35 GW respectively, indicating a significant reliance on imports [11]. Group 2: Market Diversification and Strategy - To mitigate risks and enhance profitability, the PV industry is encouraged to diversify markets, localize operations, and transition towards solution service providers, particularly in growing non-U.S. markets like Europe and Africa [15][19]. - The trend towards increased localization in manufacturing, especially in the component sector, is leading to a rise in direct exports of upstream materials like silicon and wafers, marking a new direction for global PV supply chains [15]. - Companies are shifting focus from capacity competition to sales and service competition, emphasizing the importance of technological advancement and the development of "PV+" system solutions [15]. Group 3: Company Investments and Projects - Several companies are making significant investments in overseas PV projects, such as GCL-Poly Energy with a 60,000-ton silicon production plan in the UAE, and JinkoSolar planning a 10 GW cell and module capacity in Saudi Arabia with an investment of approximately $985 million [17]. - Other notable projects include TCL Zhonghuan's 20 GW wafer capacity in Saudi Arabia and LONGi Green Energy's various investments in the Middle East, indicating a strategic shift towards international collaboration and production [17].