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高盛:我们现在可以预计,美国通胀率到圣诞节会达到4%,商品通胀率可能会达到6%-8%。
news flash· 2025-05-08 14:57
| | | | | GS Bottom-up Core PCE Model | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | March 2025 | Dec. 2025 | | | Dec. 2026 | | | Weight | YoY | YoY | Contribution to Change | YoY | Contribution to Change | | Core PCE | 100.0 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 2.7 | -0.3 | | Core Goods | 24.3 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | | New Vehicles | 2.2 | -0.4 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | | Used Vehicles | 1.1 | -0.1 | 8.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | | Household Appliances | 0.5 | -3.2 | 7.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | | Video, Audio, Compu ...